10144 CRUMLEY RANCH RD TX 78738
| Owner | REAVIS JULIA K & CRAIG HERRING |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0102870105 |
| Short ID | 103117 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 392,040 SF |
| Acres | 9.000 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | 9.00 AC OF TRT 4A ROCKY CREEK ESTATES SEC 2 (1-d-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN220 |
| Land | $773,685 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $773,685 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $773,685 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $773,685 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$772,641 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $1,044 |
| Taxable Value | $1,044 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +245.5% from $223,925 (2021) to $773,685 (2025), a CAGR of 36.3% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2025→2026), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 1.6240% in 2025 (+0.0184% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $17. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 64.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($1,044) is $772,641 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($773,685 land vs $0 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $773,685, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +24.6% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $3,509,730 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $49,306. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $10.85 | $10.85 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $3.92 | $3.92 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $1.23 | $1.23 | Paid |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $0.94 | $0.94 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.7993% | 1.7157% | 1.5625% | 1.6056% | 1.6240% | +0.0184% | $16.94 | $16.94 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.0397% | $10.85 | 64.0% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $3.92 | 23.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $1.23 | 7.3% |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.0904% | $0.94 | 5.5% |
| Total | 1.6240% | $16.94 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,170,000 | $773,685 | +51.2% |
| Assessed Value | $965 | $1,044 | -7.6% |
| Land Value | $1,170,000 | $773,685 | +51.2% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $965 | $1,044 | -7.6% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,169,035 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$16
Estimated
|
~$17
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,170,000 | $1,170,000 | — | −$1,169,035 | $965 | $965 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $773,685 | $773,685 | — | −$772,641 | $1,044 | $1,044 | ~$17 | Partial |
| 2024 | $773,685 | $773,685 | — | −$772,692 | $993 | $993 | $16 | Verified |
| 2023 | $485,865 | $485,865 | — | −$484,881 | $984 | $984 | $15 | Verified |
| 2022 | $485,865 | $485,865 | — | — | $485,865 | $485,865 | $8,336 | Verified |
| 2021 | $223,925 | — | — | −$223,087 | $838 | $838 | $15 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +51.2% | -7.6% | 0.1% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +5.1% | 0.1% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +59.2% | +0.9% | 0.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | -99.8% | 0.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +117.0% ! | +57879.1% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +245.5% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +51.2% | +45.5% | +24.6% | +117.0% | 2022 | +0.0% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.1% | 16.8% | — | 100.0% | 2022 | 0.1% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$17 | $1,680 | ~$34,960 | $8,336 | 2022 | $15 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 117% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,457,483 | ~$1,457,483 | ~1.5801% | ~$23,030 | +24.6% |
| 2028 | ~$1,815,603 | ~$1,815,603 | ~1.5363% | ~$27,893 | +55.2% |
| 2029 | ~$2,261,718 | ~$2,261,718 | ~1.4925% | ~$33,756 | +93.3% |
| 2030 | ~$2,817,449 | ~$2,817,449 | ~1.4487% | ~$40,815 | +140.8% |
| 2031 | ~$3,509,730 | ~$3,509,730 | ~1.4048% | ~$49,306 | +200.0% |
| 2027 | ~$1,434,083 | ~$1,434,083 | ~1.6240% | ~$23,289 | +22.6% |
| 2028 | ~$1,757,772 | ~$1,757,772 | ~1.6240% | ~$28,546 | +50.2% |
| 2029 | ~$2,154,522 | ~$2,154,522 | ~1.6240% | ~$34,989 | +84.1% |
| 2030 | ~$2,640,823 | ~$2,640,823 | ~1.6240% | ~$42,886 | +125.7% |
| 2031 | ~$3,236,888 | ~$3,236,888 | ~1.6240% | ~$52,566 | +176.7% |
| 2027 | ~$1,480,883 | ~$1,480,883 | ~1.5582% | ~$23,075 | +26.6% |
| 2028 | ~$1,874,371 | ~$1,874,371 | ~1.4925% | ~$27,975 | +60.2% |
| 2029 | ~$2,372,413 | ~$2,372,413 | ~1.4267% | ~$33,848 | +102.8% |
| 2030 | ~$3,002,791 | ~$3,002,791 | ~1.3610% | ~$40,868 | +156.6% |
| 2031 | ~$3,800,668 | ~$3,800,668 | ~1.2953% | ~$49,228 | +224.8% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $773,685 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +38% above the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $773,685 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $773,685 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Above median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $485,865 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $485,865 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Above median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $223,925 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↓ Below median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |