Travis County Market Snapshot

2026 Certified vs 2025 Certified Certified

Overall Residential Multi-Family Retail Industrial Office Hotel Land Agricultural Other
2025 Total MV (Certified)
$71.48B
Verified
2026 Total MV (Certified)
$73.96B
Certified
Net Change
+$2.48B
+3.5% vs 2025
Median Parcel Change
+0.32%
7,234 ↑  3,467 ↓
Large Value-Jump Signals
926
parcels flagged for an unusually large value change this year
New Construction
29
parcels built 2025 or later — same cutoff as Search's New Construction filter
Investor / developer takeaway: Travis County commercial values show a median change of +0.32% (13,514 parcels, AJR* personal property supplements excluded). Warehouse (<20,000 SF): median +13.01%, $2.70B → $3.07B. Office / Retail (SFR Conv.): median +12.32%, $1.29B → $1.45B. Note: 26 non-supplement commercial parcels had >500% increases (genuine TCAD reappraisals); the median is the reliable central-tendency statistic.
2026 Certified vs 2025 Certified — By Property Type Certified
Property Type Parcels ↑ Up ↓ Down = Flat Median Δ P25 / P75 2025 Total MV 2026 Total MV Net Δ ($B)
Warehouse (<20,000 SF) ↗ 2,088 1,554 298 236 +13.01% +0.00% / +38.02% $2.70B $3.07B +$0.38B
Office / Retail (SFR Conv.) ↗ 1,106 801 150 155 +12.32% +0.00% / +36.84% $1.29B $1.45B +$0.16B
Office Small (<10,000 SF) ↗ 956 577 236 143 +2.40% +0.00% / +14.01% $1.88B $1.93B +$0.06B
Small Store (<10,000 SF) ↗ 684 360 146 178 +0.14% +0.00% / +3.18% $0.98B $1.00B +$0.02B
Service / Repair Garage ↗ 532 329 128 75 +2.83% +0.00% / +14.23% $0.95B $0.96B +$0.00B
Small Office Condo ↗ 530 233 158 139 +0.00% -0.68% / +4.13% $0.60B $0.60B $-0.00B
Other Commercial ↗ 7,618 3,380 2,351 1,887 — — $63.09B $64.96B +$1.87B
All Commercial 13,514 7,234 3,467 2,813 +0.32% — $71.48B $73.96B +$2.48B
Based on 2026 Certified TCAD Appraisal Export vs 2025 Certified Export. 2026 values are final, not subject to change. Excludes: tax-exempt accounts (X state_cd1 prefix), personal property accounts (N prefix, 3 accounts), and AJR* personal property supplement records (placeholder $1 values in certified data). M (manufactured homes) and O/G/J (other real property, minerals, utilities) are included as real property. Sector tabs (Residential/Multi-Family/Retail/Industrial/Office/Hotel/Land/Agricultural/Other) use a Market-Snapshot-specific classification separate from the rest of the site's canonical property-type system, built from real TCAD use codes. "Other" combines the canonical-unclassified O/G/J parcels with any commercial-adjacent parcel whose use code doesn't cleanly sort into Retail/Industrial/Office/Hotel. Within a sector, only the top 7 real subtypes by parcel count are shown individually; the rest are combined into one "Other <Sector>" row (real summed parcel counts and dollar totals, but no median/percentile — see that row's tooltip). Median Δ = median parcel-level % change; P25/P75 = 25th/75th percentiles.
Top & Bottom Moving Neighborhoods
Largest increases
61SWE/C +109.57% 20 parcels
SWE-SML IND CON +87.82% 81 parcels
61FEA +60.66% 115 parcels
FE2 +57.80% 19 parcels
26CBD02 +55.30% 48 parcels
Largest decreases
54SOU -26.24% 36 parcels
53SOU -20.79% 84 parcels
83SWE -14.48% 35 parcels
24SC01 -14.32% 15 parcels
CBDR_C -14.23% 251 parcels
Median parcel-level YoY % change by neighborhood_cd, current sector only (13,514 parcels total). Neighborhoods with fewer than 10 qualifying parcels are excluded. Click a neighborhood code to browse its parcels in Search.
Annual Trends — Commercial 2021–2026
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 V 2026
Median Market Value $1,142,600 $1,215,730 $1,414,358 $1,438,465 $1,417,484 $1,511,776
P25 / P75 $517K / $2,780K $553K / $2,939K $667K / $3,374K $661K / $3,471K $649K / $3,347K $698K / $3,450K
Median Asmt. Ratio 48.6% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Median YoY Change base yr +3.3% +9.7% +0.0% -0.8% +6.6%
Parcels in This Category 13,067 13,525 13,637 13,714 13,608 13,524
Commercial medians from county_benchmark table. Assessment ratio = median(assessed ÷ market) across all parcels in this category. A median ratio below ~100% is expected and common at the county level — it reflects the many parcels in this category with an active homestead or other value-limiting cap, not a data issue. YoY Change = median parcel-level year-over-year % change. Partial = AJR data. V = Certified 2025 data.
Net Value Change by Property Type, 2025→2026 ($B)
% view = aggregate value change per sector (total 2026 MV ÷ total 2025 MV − 1) — the same underlying totals as the $ view, just normalized by sector size, so it answers "what's changing fastest proportionally" rather than "which sector holds the most value."