10419 CRUMLEY RANCH RD TX 78738
| Owner | CRUMLEY ESTIN |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0102870226 |
| Short ID | 103133 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 1,022 SF |
| Land SF | 1,491,494 SF |
| Acres | 34.240 |
| Year Built | 1983 |
| Legal | ABS 452 SUR 401 JOHNSON W S ACR 33.24 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN220 |
| Land | $1,972,403 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,972,403 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $1,972,403 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,972,403 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$1,968,995 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $3,408 |
| Taxable Value | $3,408 |
|---|
| Total Due | $277.00 |
|---|---|
| First Delinquent | 2022 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +123.1% from $884,282 (2021) to $1,972,403 (2025), a CAGR of 22.2% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2025→2026), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 1.6240% in 2025 (+0.0184% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $55. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 64.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($3,408) is $1,968,995 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($1,972,403 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~43-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,972,403, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +18.6% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $6,395,884 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $53,550. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
Delinquent Taxes: $277.00 in unpaid taxes since 2022. These become a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
3 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| SO | Sketch Only | 1,064 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,022 SF | ✓ |
| 121 | WATER/SEWER INF | 1 SF | ✓ |
| Entity | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | Rate Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Travis County | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +1 |
| Lake Travis ISD | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -1 |
| Travis Central Health | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0 |
| Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0 |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $35.43 | $— | $35.43 |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $12.81 | $— | $12.81 |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $4.02 | $— | $4.02 |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $3.08 | $— | $3.08 |
| Combined Rate | 1.7993% | 1.7157% | 1.5625% | 1.6056% | 1.6240% | +0.0184% | $55.34 | $0.00 | $55.34 |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.0397% | $35.43 | 64.0% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $12.81 | 23.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $4.02 | 7.3% |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.0904% | $3.08 | 5.6% |
| Total | 1.6240% | $55.34 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,731,442 | $1,972,403 | +38.5% |
| Assessed Value | $2,366,884 | $3,408 | +69350.8% |
| Land Value | $2,731,442 | $1,972,403 | +38.5% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $2,366,884 | $3,408 | +69350.8% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$364,558 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$38,437
Estimated
|
$55 | |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $2,731,442 | $2,731,442 | — | −$364,558 | $2,366,884 | $2,366,884 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $1,972,403 | $1,972,403 | — | −$1,968,995 | $3,408 | $3,408 | $55 | Verified |
| 2024 | $1,972,403 | $1,972,403 | — | −$1,969,270 | $3,133 | $3,133 | $926 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,382,882 | $1,382,882 | — | −$1,379,725 | $3,157 | $3,157 | $759 | Verified |
| 2022 | $1,382,882 | $1,382,882 | — | −$1,379,874 | $3,008 | $3,008 | $831 | Verified |
| 2021 | $884,282 | — | — | −$881,425 | $2,857 | $2,857 | $599 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +38.5% | +69350.8% | 86.6% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +8.8% | 0.2% | 0.0000% | Verified |
| 2024 | +42.6% | -0.8% | 0.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +5.0% | 0.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +56.4% | +5.3% | 0.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +123.1% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +38.5% | +27.5% | +18.6% | +56.4% | 2022 | +0.0% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 86.7% | 14.6% | — | 86.7% | 2026 | 0.2% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
| Tax Amount | $55 | $634 | ~$47,182 | $926 | 2024 | $55 | 2025 |
This parcel has unpaid taxes on record. Delinquent taxes are a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$3,238,126 | ~$2,603,572 | ~1.5801% | ~$41,140 | +18.6% |
| 2028 | ~$3,838,799 | ~$2,863,930 | ~1.5363% | ~$43,999 | +40.5% |
| 2029 | ~$4,550,898 | ~$3,150,323 | ~1.4925% | ~$47,018 | +66.6% |
| 2030 | ~$5,395,092 | ~$3,465,355 | ~1.4487% | ~$50,201 | +97.5% |
| 2031 | ~$6,395,884 | ~$3,811,890 | ~1.4048% | ~$53,550 | +134.2% |
| 2027 | ~$3,183,497 | ~$2,603,572 | ~1.6240% | ~$42,281 | +16.6% |
| 2028 | ~$3,710,367 | ~$2,863,930 | ~1.6240% | ~$46,509 | +35.8% |
| 2029 | ~$4,324,434 | ~$3,150,323 | ~1.6240% | ~$51,160 | +58.3% |
| 2030 | ~$5,040,130 | ~$3,465,355 | ~1.6240% | ~$56,276 | +84.5% |
| 2031 | ~$5,874,274 | ~$3,811,890 | ~1.6240% | ~$61,904 | +115.1% |
| 2027 | ~$3,292,754 | ~$2,603,572 | ~1.5582% | ~$40,570 | +20.6% |
| 2028 | ~$3,969,417 | ~$2,863,930 | ~1.4925% | ~$42,744 | +45.3% |
| 2029 | ~$4,785,134 | ~$3,150,323 | ~1.4267% | ~$44,947 | +75.2% |
| 2030 | ~$5,768,481 | ~$3,465,355 | ~1.3610% | ~$47,163 | +111.2% |
| 2031 | ~$6,953,906 | ~$3,811,890 | ~1.2953% | ~$49,374 | +154.6% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,972,403 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 4× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,972,403 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $1,972,403 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $1,382,882 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $1,382,882 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $884,282 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Verified |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| TaxDelqOpenData ↗ | Delinquent-account status and balance due | As of June 20, 2026 — balance grows monthly (Tax Code §33.01) | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |