6316 MARSHALL RANCH RD 78746
| Owner | LOST CREEK MARSHALL DEVELOPMENT INC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0113230326 |
| Short ID | 978818 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 16,107 SF |
| Acres | 0.370 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | MARSHALL RANCH SUBD BLK A LOT 18 (1-D-1W) |
| Neighborhood | N15000 |
| Land | $150,334 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $150,334 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $150,334 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $150,334 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$150,296 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $38 |
| Taxable Value | $38 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +0.2% from $150,000 (2024) to $150,334 (2025), a CAGR of 0.2% over 1 year. Growth has been relatively flat for this asset class. Most of this growth came in a single year (2025→2026), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide fell -2.3%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.9535% in 2025 (+0.0367% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $1. Eanes ISD is the largest single contributor, at 42.6% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($38) is $150,296 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($150,334 land vs $0 improvements), about $9/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $150,334, this parcel sits in the bottom quartile (<25th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +93.6% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $15,276,626 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $255,978. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IEA Eanes ISD | 1.0608% | 1.0046% | 0.8880% | 0.8855% | 0.8322% | -0.0533% | $1,251.08 | $1,251.08 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $787.78 | $787.78 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $565.02 | $565.02 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $177.43 | $177.43 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $155.45 | $155.45 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.1758% | 1.9829% | 1.8377% | 1.9168% | 1.9535% | +0.0367% | $2,936.76 | $2,936.76 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IEA Eanes ISD | 0.8322% | $1,251.08 | 42.6% |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5240% | $787.78 | 26.8% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $565.02 | 19.2% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $177.43 | 6.0% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $155.45 | 5.3% |
| Total | 1.9535% | $2,936.76 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $562,066 | $150,334 | +273.9% |
| Assessed Value | $562,066 | $38 | +1479021.1% |
| Land Value | $702,583 | $150,334 | +367.3% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $562,066 | $38 | +1479021.1% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$10,980
Estimated
|
~$2,937
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $562,066 | $702,583 | — | — | $562,066 | $562,066 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $150,334 | $150,334 | — | −$150,296 | $38 | $38 | ~$2,937 | Partial |
| 2024 | $150,000 | $150,000 | — | −$149,965 | $35 | $35 | $2,723 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +273.9% ! | +1479021.1% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.2% | +8.6% | 0.0% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | base year | — | 0.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +0.2% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +273.9% | +137.0% | +93.6% | +273.9% | 2026 | +0.2% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 33.3% | — | 100.0% | 2026 | 0.0% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.9500% | 1.9500% | — | 1.9500% | 2025 | 1.9500% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$2,937 | $2,830 | ~$104,980 | $2,937 | 2025 | $2,723 | 2024 |
Market value changed by 274% in 2026, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,088,016 | ~$1,088,016 | ~1.8979% | ~$20,650 | +93.6% |
| 2028 | ~$2,106,121 | ~$2,106,121 | ~1.8423% | ~$38,802 | +274.7% |
| 2029 | ~$4,076,913 | ~$4,076,913 | ~1.7868% | ~$72,845 | +625.3% |
| 2030 | ~$7,891,861 | ~$7,891,861 | ~1.7312% | ~$136,623 | +1304.1% |
| 2031 | ~$15,276,626 | ~$15,276,626 | ~1.6756% | ~$255,978 | +2617.9% |
| 2027 | ~$1,076,775 | ~$1,076,775 | ~1.9535% | ~$21,035 | +91.6% |
| 2028 | ~$2,062,825 | ~$2,062,825 | ~1.9535% | ~$40,297 | +267.0% |
| 2029 | ~$3,951,846 | ~$3,951,846 | ~1.9535% | ~$77,199 | +603.1% |
| 2030 | ~$7,570,728 | ~$7,570,728 | ~1.9535% | ~$147,893 | +1246.9% |
| 2031 | ~$14,503,580 | ~$14,503,580 | ~1.9535% | ~$283,325 | +2480.4% |
| 2027 | ~$1,099,257 | ~$1,099,257 | ~1.8701% | ~$20,557 | +95.6% |
| 2028 | ~$2,149,867 | ~$2,149,867 | ~1.7868% | ~$38,413 | +282.5% |
| 2029 | ~$4,204,590 | ~$4,204,590 | ~1.7034% | ~$71,621 | +648.1% |
| 2030 | ~$8,223,104 | ~$8,223,104 | ~1.6200% | ~$133,218 | +1363.0% |
| 2031 | ~$16,082,289 | ~$16,082,289 | ~1.5367% | ~$247,134 | +2761.3% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $150,334 places it in the bottom 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — -73% below the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $150,334 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $150,000 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +23.7% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |