17108 MORNING GROVE LN 78738
| Owner | KEEVER BRADLEY PRICE & |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0121860222 |
| Short ID | 953045 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 4,542 SF |
| Land SF | 36,926 SF |
| Acres | 0.848 |
| Year Built | 2022 |
| Legal | LOT 76 BLK A MADRONE CANYON |
| Neighborhood | P5180 |
| Land | $557,662 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $557,662 |
| Improvement | $2,079,588 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $2,079,588 |
| Market | $2,637,250 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,637,250 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $2,637,250 |
| Exemptions on file | HS |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $2,637,250 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +1072.1% from $225,000 (2022) to $2,637,250 (2025), a CAGR of 127.2% over 3 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +53.5%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.6240% in 2025 (+0.0184% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $69,201. Lazy Nine MUD #1A is the largest single contributor, at 44.3% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 21% of market value ($557,662 land vs $2,079,588 improvements), about $15/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~4 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Submarket Position: At $2,637,250, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +79.7% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $44,064,126 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $90,961. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
9 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 4,542 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 4,542 SF | ✗ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 1,463 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 907 SF | ✗ |
| 581 | STORAGE ATT | 119 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 522 | FIREPLACE | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 250 | HALF BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U5L Lazy Nine MUD #1A | 1.0000% | 1.0000% | 1.0000% | 1.0000% | 1.0000% | +0.0000% | $23,629.76 | $23,629.76 | Paid |
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $18,198.71 | $18,198.71 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $7,104.90 | $7,104.90 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $2,231.08 | $2,231.08 | Paid |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $2,136.11 | $2,136.11 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.7993% | 2.7157% | 2.5625% | 2.6056% | 2.6240% | +0.0184% | $53,300.56 | $53,300.56 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| U5L Lazy Nine MUD #1A | 1.0000% | $23,629.76 | 44.3% |
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.0397% | $18,198.71 | 34.1% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $7,104.90 | 13.3% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $2,231.08 | 4.2% |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.0904% | $2,136.11 | 4.0% |
| Total | 2.6240% | $53,300.56 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,348,583 | $2,637,250 | -10.9% |
| Assessed Value | $2,348,583 | $2,637,250 | -10.9% |
| Land Value | $314,629 | $557,662 | -43.6% |
| Improvement Value | $2,033,954 | $2,079,588 | -2.2% |
| Taxable Value | $2,348,583 | $2,637,250 | -10.9% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$61,626
Estimated
|
~$53,301
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $2,348,583 | $314,629 | $2,033,954 | — | $2,348,583 | $2,348,583 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $2,637,250 | $557,662 | $2,079,588 | — | $2,637,250 | $2,637,250 | ~$53,301 | Partial |
| 2024 | $2,400,000 | $557,662 | $1,842,338 | — | $2,400,000 | $1,920,000 | $54,183 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,446,135 | $551,005 | $895,130 | — | $1,446,135 | $1,446,135 | $28,335 | Verified |
| 2022 | $225,000 | $225,000 | — | — | $225,000 | $225,000 | $6,110 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -10.9% | -10.9% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +9.9% | +9.9% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +66.0% | +66.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +542.7% ! | +542.7% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +1072.1% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -10.9% | +151.9% | +79.7% | +542.7% | 2023 | -10.9% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2022 | 100.0% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 2.0200% | 2.0200% | — | 2.0200% | 2025 | 2.0200% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$53,301 | $35,482 | ~$78,361 | $54,183 | 2024 | $6,110 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 543% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$4,221,451 | ~$2,583,441 | ~2.5801% | ~$66,656 | +79.7% |
| 2028 | ~$7,587,830 | ~$2,841,785 | ~2.5363% | ~$72,077 | +223.1% |
| 2029 | ~$13,638,715 | ~$3,125,964 | ~2.4925% | ~$77,914 | +480.7% |
| 2030 | ~$24,514,854 | ~$3,438,560 | ~2.4487% | ~$84,198 | +943.8% |
| 2031 | ~$44,064,126 | ~$3,782,416 | ~2.4048% | ~$90,961 | +1776.2% |
| 2027 | ~$4,174,479 | ~$2,583,441 | ~2.6240% | ~$67,789 | +77.7% |
| 2028 | ~$7,419,912 | ~$2,841,785 | ~2.6240% | ~$74,568 | +215.9% |
| 2029 | ~$13,188,492 | ~$3,125,964 | ~2.6240% | ~$82,024 | +461.6% |
| 2030 | ~$23,441,833 | ~$3,438,560 | ~2.6240% | ~$90,227 | +898.1% |
| 2031 | ~$41,666,591 | ~$3,782,416 | ~2.6240% | ~$99,249 | +1674.1% |
| 2027 | ~$4,268,423 | ~$2,583,441 | ~2.5582% | ~$66,090 | +81.7% |
| 2028 | ~$7,757,628 | ~$2,841,785 | ~2.4925% | ~$70,831 | +230.3% |
| 2029 | ~$14,099,069 | ~$3,125,964 | ~2.4267% | ~$75,859 | +500.3% |
| 2030 | ~$25,624,297 | ~$3,438,560 | ~2.3610% | ~$81,184 | +991.1% |
| 2031 | ~$46,570,776 | ~$3,782,416 | ~2.2953% | ~$86,816 | +1882.9% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,637,250 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 31× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,637,250 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $2,400,000 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $1,446,135 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $225,000 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2022–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |