LOT 745 BLK A SERENE HILLS SUBD PHS 5
| Owner | CITY OF LAKEWAY |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0125830216 |
| Short ID | 950744 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 363,726 SF |
| Acres | 8.350 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 745 BLK A SERENE HILLS SUBD PHS 5 |
| Neighborhood | R3014 |
| Land | $1,291,467 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,291,467 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $1,291,467 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,291,467 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $1,291,467 |
| Taxable Value | $1,291,467 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +125.3% from $573,228 (2022) to $1,291,467 (2025), a CAGR of 31.1% over 3 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +53.5%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($1,291,467 land vs $0 improvements), about $4/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,291,467, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +22.5% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $3,564,743 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $0. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,291,467 | $1,291,467 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $1,291,467 | $1,291,467 | +0.0% |
| Land Value | $1,291,467 | $1,291,467 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | — | — | — |
| Exemptions | — | E | |
| Total Tax | Pending certification | — | |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,291,467 | $1,291,467 | — | — | $1,291,467 | $— | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $1,291,467 | $1,291,467 | — | — | $1,291,467 | $— | not in county billing file Why? | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,291,467 | $1,291,467 | — | −$603,593 | $687,874 | $— | not in county billing file Why? | Partial |
| 2023 | $573,228 | $573,228 | — | — | $573,228 | $573,228 | not in county billing file Why? | Partial |
| 2022 | $573,228 | $573,228 | — | — | $573,228 | $573,228 | $739 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +87.7% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +125.3% ! | +20.0% | 53.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +125.3% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +31.3% | +22.5% | +125.3% | 2024 | +0.0% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 90.7% | — | 100.0% | 2022 | 53.3% | 2024 |
|
Effective Tax Rate (2025)
⚑ Billing data available for 2025 only |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tax Amount | $739 | $739 | — | $739 | 2022 | $739 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 125% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,582,240 | ~$1,582,240 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +22.5% |
| 2028 | ~$1,938,480 | ~$1,938,480 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +50.1% |
| 2029 | ~$2,374,927 | ~$2,374,927 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +83.9% |
| 2030 | ~$2,909,640 | ~$2,909,640 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +125.3% |
| 2031 | ~$3,564,743 | ~$3,564,743 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +176.0% |
| 2027 | ~$1,556,410 | ~$1,556,410 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +20.5% |
| 2028 | ~$1,875,707 | ~$1,875,707 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +45.2% |
| 2029 | ~$2,260,506 | ~$2,260,506 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +75.0% |
| 2030 | ~$2,724,248 | ~$2,724,248 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +110.9% |
| 2031 | ~$3,283,125 | ~$3,283,125 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +154.2% |
| 2027 | ~$1,608,069 | ~$1,608,069 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +24.5% |
| 2028 | ~$2,002,286 | ~$2,002,286 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +55.0% |
| 2029 | ~$2,493,145 | ~$2,493,145 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +93.0% |
| 2030 | ~$3,104,337 | ~$3,104,337 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +140.4% |
| 2031 | ~$3,865,363 | ~$3,865,363 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +199.3% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,291,467 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 15× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,291,467 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $1,291,467 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $573,228 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $573,228 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2022–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |