W STATE HY 71 TX 78669
| Owner | LAZY NINE MUNICIPAL UTILITY DISTRICT NO 1B |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0126960129 |
| Short ID | 857954 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 352,313 SF |
| Acres | 8.088 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 2679 SUR 86 BARLOW W A & ABS 1025 SUR 527 WILDY S & VAR SURS ACR 29.3795 (1-D-1W) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN250 |
| Land | $721,102 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $721,102 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $721,102 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $721,102 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $721,102 |
| Taxable Value | $721,102 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has fallen -55.3% from $1,613,562 (2021) to $721,102 (2025), a CAGR of -18.2% over 4 years. Growth has been relatively flat for this asset class. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2022), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has lagged the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($721,102 land vs $0 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $721,102, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +31.7% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $4,308,430 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $0. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,088,321 | $721,102 | +50.9% |
| Assessed Value | $1,088,321 | $721,102 | +50.9% |
| Land Value | $1,088,321 | $721,102 | +50.9% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | — | — | — |
| Exemptions | — | E | |
| Total Tax | Pending certification | — | |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,088,321 | $1,088,321 | — | — | $1,088,321 | $— | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $721,102 | $721,102 | — | — | $721,102 | $— | not in county billing file Why? | Partial |
| 2024 | $72,071 | $720,712 | — | — | $72,071 | $72,071 | $1,802 | Verified |
| 2023 | $447,418 | $447,418 | — | — | $447,418 | $447,418 | $8,896 | Verified |
| 2022 | $361,999 | $723,998 | — | — | $361,999 | $361,999 | $9,541 | Verified |
| 2021 | $1,613,562 | $1,136,309 | — | −$475,759 | $1,137,803 | $331,022 | $10,594 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +50.9% | +50.9% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +900.5% ! | +900.5% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -83.9% ! | -83.9% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +23.6% | +23.6% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | -77.6% ! | -68.2% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 70.5% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): -55.3% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +50.9% | +162.7% | +31.7% | +900.5% | 2025 | -83.9% | 2024 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 95.1% | — | 100.0% | 2022 | 70.5% | 2021 |
|
Effective Tax Rate (2025)
⚑ Billing data available for 2025 only |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tax Amount | $1,802 | $7,709 | — | $10,594 | 2021 | $1,802 | 2024 |
Market value changed by 78% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,433,077 | ~$1,433,077 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +31.7% |
| 2028 | ~$1,887,043 | ~$1,887,043 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +73.4% |
| 2029 | ~$2,484,816 | ~$2,484,816 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +128.3% |
| 2030 | ~$3,271,950 | ~$3,271,950 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +200.6% |
| 2031 | ~$4,308,430 | ~$4,308,430 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +295.9% |
| 2027 | ~$1,411,310 | ~$1,411,310 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +29.7% |
| 2028 | ~$1,830,155 | ~$1,830,155 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +68.2% |
| 2029 | ~$2,373,304 | ~$2,373,304 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +118.1% |
| 2030 | ~$3,077,648 | ~$3,077,648 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +182.8% |
| 2031 | ~$3,991,025 | ~$3,991,025 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +266.7% |
| 2027 | ~$1,454,843 | ~$1,454,843 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +33.7% |
| 2028 | ~$1,944,802 | ~$1,944,802 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +78.7% |
| 2029 | ~$2,599,767 | ~$2,599,767 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +138.9% |
| 2030 | ~$3,475,310 | ~$3,475,310 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +219.3% |
| 2031 | ~$4,645,717 | ~$4,645,717 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +326.9% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $721,102 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +28% above the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $721,102 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $72,071 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $447,418 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $361,999 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↓ Below median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $1,613,562 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |