3754 S PAWNEE PASS TX 78738
| Owner | TRADD ALEXANDER S II & SUSAN E |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0127760107 |
| Short ID | 564038 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 6,097 SF |
| Land SF | 866,408 SF |
| Acres | 19.890 |
| Year Built | 1995 |
| Legal | ABS 2204 SUR 56 WARNOCK J P ACR 18.890 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | R3014 |
| Land | $1,318,522 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,318,522 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $1,155,025 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,155,025 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$1,152,496 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $2,529 |
| Taxable Value | $2,529 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +3.4% from $1,116,586 (2021) to $1,155,025 (2025), a CAGR of 0.8% over 4 years. Growth has been relatively flat for this asset class. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has lagged the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 1.6240% in 2025 (+0.0184% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $41. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 64.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($2,529) is $1,152,496 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 114% of market value ($1,318,522 land vs $0 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~31-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,155,025, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +8.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $1,938,977 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $59. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
8 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 5,095 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 4,097 SF | ✗ |
| 298 | LIGHT UTILITY BLDG | 3,200 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 1,016 SF | ✓ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,002 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 871 SF | ✗ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 522 | FIREPLACE | 1 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $26.29 | $26.29 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $9.51 | $9.51 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $2.98 | $2.98 | Paid |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $2.29 | $2.29 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.7993% | 1.7157% | 1.5625% | 1.6056% | 1.6240% | +0.0184% | $41.07 | $41.07 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.0397% | $26.29 | 64.0% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $9.51 | 23.2% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $2.98 | 7.3% |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.0904% | $2.29 | 5.6% |
| Total | 1.6240% | $41.07 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,318,522 | $1,155,025 | +14.2% |
| Assessed Value | $2,594 | $2,529 | +2.6% |
| Land Value | $1,318,522 | $1,318,522 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $2,594 | $2,529 | +2.6% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,315,928 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$42
Estimated
|
~$41
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,318,522 | $1,318,522 | — | −$1,315,928 | $2,594 | $2,594 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $1,155,025 | $1,318,522 | — | −$1,152,496 | $2,529 | $2,529 | ~$41 | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,414,880 | $1,414,880 | — | −$1,412,557 | $2,323 | $2,323 | $3,780 | Verified |
| 2023 | $851,989 | $1,097,698 | — | −$849,650 | $2,339 | $2,339 | $3,192 | Verified |
| 2022 | $968,499 | $1,097,698 | — | −$966,347 | $2,152 | $2,152 | $5,613 | Verified |
| 2021 | $1,116,586 | — | — | −$1,114,624 | $1,962 | $1,962 | $5,696 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +14.2% | +2.6% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -18.4% | +8.9% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +66.1% | -0.7% | 0.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | -12.0% | +8.7% | 0.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | -13.3% | +9.7% | 0.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +3.4% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +14.2% | +7.3% | +8.0% | +66.1% | 2024 | -18.4% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.2% | 0.2% | — | 0.3% | 2023 | 0.2% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$41 | $3,665 | ~$52 | $5,696 | 2021 | $41 | 2025 |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,424,244 | ~$2,853 | ~1.5801% | ~$45 | +8.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,538,443 | ~$3,139 | ~1.5363% | ~$48 | +16.7% |
| 2029 | ~$1,661,799 | ~$3,453 | ~1.4925% | ~$52 | +26.0% |
| 2030 | ~$1,795,046 | ~$3,798 | ~1.4487% | ~$55 | +36.1% |
| 2031 | ~$1,938,977 | ~$4,178 | ~1.4048% | ~$59 | +47.1% |
| 2027 | ~$1,397,874 | ~$2,853 | ~1.6240% | ~$46 | +6.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,482,001 | ~$3,139 | ~1.6240% | ~$51 | +12.4% |
| 2029 | ~$1,571,191 | ~$3,453 | ~1.6240% | ~$56 | +19.2% |
| 2030 | ~$1,665,749 | ~$3,798 | ~1.6240% | ~$62 | +26.3% |
| 2031 | ~$1,765,998 | ~$4,178 | ~1.6240% | ~$68 | +33.9% |
| 2027 | ~$1,450,615 | ~$2,853 | ~1.5582% | ~$44 | +10.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,595,940 | ~$3,139 | ~1.4925% | ~$47 | +21.0% |
| 2029 | ~$1,755,825 | ~$3,453 | ~1.4267% | ~$49 | +33.2% |
| 2030 | ~$1,931,728 | ~$3,798 | ~1.3610% | ~$52 | +46.5% |
| 2031 | ~$2,125,253 | ~$4,178 | ~1.2953% | ~$54 | +61.2% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,155,025 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +106% above the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,155,025 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $1,414,880 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $851,989 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $968,499 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $1,116,586 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |