15809 FLINT ROCK RD TX 78738
| Owner | KNOP TODD J & LAURA S |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0129760204 |
| Short ID | 564265 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 6,385 SF |
| Land SF | 809,606 SF |
| Acres | 18.586 |
| Year Built | 1995 |
| Legal | 17.586AC OF LOT 1&3 TWO CREEKS ADDN [1-D-1W] |
| Neighborhood | R3014 |
| Land | $1,234,631 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,234,631 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $1,234,631 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,234,631 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$1,189,929 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $44,702 |
| Taxable Value | $44,702 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +16.2% from $1,062,439 (2021) to $1,234,631 (2025), a CAGR of 3.8% over 4 years. Growth has been relatively flat for this asset class. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has lagged the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 1.6240% in 2025 (+0.0184% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $726. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 64.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($44,702) is $1,189,929 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($1,234,631 land vs $0 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~31-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,234,631, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +4.3% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $1,521,033 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $1,202. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
12 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 6,385 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 4,027 SF | ✓ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 2,358 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 1,697 SF | ✗ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 1,610 SF | ✓ |
| SO | Sketch Only | 1,224 SF | ✗ |
| 301 | BARN SF | 1,156 SF | ✓ |
| 051 | CARPORT DET 1ST | 1,012 SF | ✗ |
| 512 | DECK UNCOVRED | 192 SF | ✗ |
| 612 | TERRACE UNCOVERD | 120 SF | ✗ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 5 SF | ✓ |
| 522 | FIREPLACE | 1 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $464.77 | $464.77 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $168.01 | $168.01 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $52.76 | $52.76 | Paid |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $40.41 | $40.41 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.7993% | 1.7157% | 1.5625% | 1.6056% | 1.6240% | +0.0184% | $725.95 | $725.95 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.0397% | $464.77 | 64.0% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $168.01 | 23.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $52.76 | 7.3% |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.0904% | $40.41 | 5.6% |
| Total | 1.6240% | $725.95 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,234,631 | $1,234,631 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $53,113 | $44,702 | +18.8% |
| Land Value | $1,234,631 | $1,234,631 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $53,113 | $44,702 | +18.8% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,181,518 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$863
Estimated
|
~$726
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,234,631 | $1,234,631 | — | −$1,181,518 | $53,113 | $53,113 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $1,234,631 | $1,234,631 | — | −$1,189,929 | $44,702 | $44,702 | ~$726 | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,317,791 | $1,317,791 | — | −$1,280,532 | $37,259 | $37,259 | $13,668 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,044,855 | $1,044,855 | — | −$1,013,525 | $31,330 | $31,330 | $17,812 | Verified |
| 2022 | $1,044,855 | $1,044,855 | — | −$1,013,602 | $31,253 | $31,253 | $19,009 | Verified |
| 2021 | $1,062,439 | $30,207 | — | −$1,030,763 | $31,676 | $31,676 | $15,890 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +18.8% | 4.3% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -6.3% | +20.0% | 3.6% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +26.1% | +18.9% | 2.8% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.2% | 3.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | -1.7% | -1.3% | 3.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 3.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +16.2% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +3.6% | +4.3% | +26.1% | 2024 | -6.3% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 4.3% | 3.3% | — | 4.3% | 2026 | 2.8% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0600% | 0.0600% | — | 0.0600% | 2025 | 0.0600% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$726 | $13,421 | ~$1,059 | $19,009 | 2022 | $726 | 2025 |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,287,234 | ~$58,424 | ~1.5801% | ~$923 | +4.3% |
| 2028 | ~$1,342,078 | ~$64,267 | ~1.5363% | ~$987 | +8.7% |
| 2029 | ~$1,399,259 | ~$70,693 | ~1.4925% | ~$1,055 | +13.3% |
| 2030 | ~$1,458,876 | ~$77,763 | ~1.4487% | ~$1,127 | +18.2% |
| 2031 | ~$1,521,033 | ~$85,539 | ~1.4048% | ~$1,202 | +23.2% |
| 2027 | ~$1,262,541 | ~$58,424 | ~1.6240% | ~$949 | +2.3% |
| 2028 | ~$1,291,082 | ~$64,267 | ~1.6240% | ~$1,044 | +4.6% |
| 2029 | ~$1,320,269 | ~$70,693 | ~1.6240% | ~$1,148 | +6.9% |
| 2030 | ~$1,350,115 | ~$77,763 | ~1.6240% | ~$1,263 | +9.4% |
| 2031 | ~$1,380,636 | ~$85,539 | ~1.6240% | ~$1,389 | +11.8% |
| 2027 | ~$1,311,927 | ~$58,424 | ~1.5582% | ~$910 | +6.3% |
| 2028 | ~$1,394,061 | ~$64,267 | ~1.4925% | ~$959 | +12.9% |
| 2029 | ~$1,481,338 | ~$70,693 | ~1.4267% | ~$1,009 | +20.0% |
| 2030 | ~$1,574,079 | ~$77,763 | ~1.3610% | ~$1,058 | +27.5% |
| 2031 | ~$1,672,626 | ~$85,539 | ~1.2953% | ~$1,108 | +35.5% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,234,631 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +120% above the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,234,631 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $1,317,791 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Above median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $1,044,855 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $1,044,855 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $1,062,439 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |