BRISTOL CREEK BEND 78669
| Owner | ROLAND MATTHEW ALLEN |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0137900272 |
| Short ID | 980118 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 32,264 SF |
| Acres | 0.741 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LAKEWAY HIGHLANDS PHS 3 SEC 7 BLK A LOT 200 |
| Neighborhood | R31000 |
| Land | $948,465 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $948,465 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $758,772 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $758,772 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$499,572 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $259,200 |
| Taxable Value | $259,200 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +251.3% from $216,000 (2024) to $758,772 (2025), a CAGR of 251.3% over 1 year. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2025→2026), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.9341% in 2025 (+0.0156% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $5,013. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 51.7% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($259,200) is $499,572 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: O. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 125% of market value ($948,465 land vs $0 improvements), about $29/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +195.5% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $425,394,389 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $5,264,630. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $2,694.90 | $2,694.90 | Paid |
| U4L Travis County MUD # 13 | 0.6950% | 0.4950% | 0.3569% | 0.3175% | 0.3075% | -0.0100% | $996.30 | $996.30 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $974.19 | $974.19 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $305.92 | $305.92 | Paid |
| E08 Travis County ESD # 08 | 0.0970% | 0.0790% | 0.0810% | 0.0830% | 0.0930% | +0.0100% | $241.09 | $241.09 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4913% | 2.2030% | 1.9173% | 1.9185% | 1.9341% | +0.0156% | $5,212.40 | $5,212.40 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.0397% | $2,694.90 | 51.7% |
| U4L Travis County MUD # 13 | 0.3075% | $996.30 | 19.1% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $974.19 | 18.7% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $305.92 | 5.9% |
| E08 Travis County ESD # 08 | 0.0930% | $241.09 | 4.6% |
| Total | 1.9341% | $5,212.40 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,886,658 | $758,772 | +148.6% |
| Assessed Value | $1,886,658 | $259,200 | +627.9% |
| Land Value | $1,354,950 | $948,465 | +42.9% |
| Improvement Value | $531,708 | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $1,886,658 | $259,200 | +627.9% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$36,490
Estimated
|
~$5,212
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,886,658 | $1,354,950 | $531,708 | — | $1,886,658 | $1,886,658 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $758,772 | $948,465 | — | −$499,572 | $259,200 | $259,200 | ~$5,212 | Partial |
| 2024 | $216,000 | $270,000 | — | — | $216,000 | $216,000 | $4,315 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +148.6% ! | +627.9% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +251.3% ! | +20.0% | 34.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +251.3% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +148.6% | +199.9% | +195.5% | +251.3% | 2025 | +148.6% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 78.1% | — | 100.0% | 2024 | 34.2% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.6900% | 0.6900% | — | 0.6900% | 2025 | 0.6900% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$5,212 | $4,764 | ~$1,671,557 | $5,212 | 2025 | $4,315 | 2024 |
Market value changed by 251% in 2025, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$5,575,873 | ~$5,575,873 | ~1.7948% | ~$100,075 | +195.5% |
| 2028 | ~$16,479,067 | ~$16,479,067 | ~1.6555% | ~$272,808 | +773.5% |
| 2029 | ~$48,702,620 | ~$48,702,620 | ~1.5162% | ~$738,422 | +2481.4% |
| 2030 | ~$143,936,866 | ~$143,936,866 | ~1.3769% | ~$1,981,848 | +7529.2% |
| 2031 | ~$425,394,389 | ~$425,394,389 | ~1.2376% | ~$5,264,630 | +22447.5% |
| 2027 | ~$5,538,140 | ~$5,538,140 | ~1.9341% | ~$107,112 | +193.5% |
| 2028 | ~$16,256,786 | ~$16,256,786 | ~1.9341% | ~$314,420 | +761.7% |
| 2029 | ~$47,720,552 | ~$47,720,552 | ~1.9341% | ~$922,955 | +2429.4% |
| 2030 | ~$140,080,028 | ~$140,080,028 | ~1.9341% | ~$2,709,264 | +7324.8% |
| 2031 | ~$411,194,199 | ~$411,194,199 | ~1.9341% | ~$7,952,837 | +21694.8% |
| 2027 | ~$5,613,606 | ~$5,613,606 | ~1.7251% | ~$96,842 | +197.5% |
| 2028 | ~$16,702,856 | ~$16,702,856 | ~1.5162% | ~$253,246 | +785.3% |
| 2029 | ~$49,698,070 | ~$49,698,070 | ~1.3072% | ~$649,672 | +2534.2% |
| 2030 | ~$147,872,804 | ~$147,872,804 | ~1.0983% | ~$1,624,071 | +7737.8% |
| 2031 | ~$439,984,209 | ~$439,984,209 | ~0.8893% | ~$3,912,958 | +23220.8% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |