2709 S F M RD 620 TX
| Owner | ARNOLD FAMILY 620 LP |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0150630124 |
| Short ID | 922723 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 165,310 SF |
| Acres | 3.795 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 40A JAYLEE BUSINESS PARK |
| Neighborhood | 1SW2 |
| Land | $2,314,343 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $2,314,343 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $2,150,000 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,150,000 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $2,150,000 |
| Taxable Value | $2,150,000 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +92.7% from $1,115,842 (2021) to $2,150,000 (2025), a CAGR of 17.8% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2022), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.6800% in 2025 (+0.0211% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $36,119. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 61.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 108% of market value ($2,314,343 land vs $0 improvements), about $14/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $2,150,000, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +15.7% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $4,800,127 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $70,074. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $22,353.55 | $22,353.55 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $8,080.67 | $8,080.67 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $2,537.49 | $2,537.49 | Paid |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $1,943.58 | $1,943.58 | Paid |
| W17 WCID # 17 | 0.0568% | 0.0543% | 0.0533% | 0.0533% | 0.0560% | +0.0027% | $1,204.00 | $1,204.00 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.8561% | 1.7700% | 1.6158% | 1.6589% | 1.6800% | +0.0211% | $36,119.29 | $36,119.29 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.0397% | $22,353.55 | 61.9% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $8,080.67 | 22.4% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $2,537.49 | 7.0% |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.0904% | $1,943.58 | 5.4% |
| W17 WCID # 17 | 0.0560% | $1,204.00 | 3.3% |
| Total | 1.6800% | $36,119.29 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,314,343 | $2,150,000 | +7.6% |
| Assessed Value | $2,314,343 | $2,150,000 | +7.6% |
| Land Value | $2,314,343 | $2,314,343 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $2,314,343 | $2,150,000 | +7.6% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$38,880
Estimated
|
~$36,119
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $2,314,343 | $2,314,343 | — | — | $2,314,343 | $2,314,343 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $2,150,000 | $2,314,343 | — | — | $2,150,000 | $2,150,000 | ~$36,119 | Partial |
| 2024 | $2,150,000 | $2,314,343 | — | — | $2,150,000 | $2,150,000 | $35,667 | Verified |
| 2023 | $2,314,343 | $2,314,343 | — | — | $2,314,343 | $2,314,343 | $32,054 | Verified |
| 2022 | $2,314,343 | $2,314,343 | — | — | $2,314,343 | $2,314,343 | $27,966 | Verified |
| 2021 | $1,115,842 | $1,115,842 | — | — | $1,115,842 | $1,115,842 | $20,711 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +7.6% | +7.6% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -7.1% | -7.1% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +107.4% ! | +107.4% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +92.7% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +7.6% | +21.6% | +15.7% | +107.4% | 2022 | -7.1% | 2024 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 100.0% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.6800% | 1.6800% | — | 1.6800% | 2025 | 1.6800% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$36,119 | $30,503 | ~$56,218 | $36,119 | 2025 | $20,711 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 107% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$2,677,890 | ~$2,677,890 | ~1.6359% | ~$43,809 | +15.7% |
| 2028 | ~$3,098,544 | ~$3,098,544 | ~1.5919% | ~$49,326 | +33.9% |
| 2029 | ~$3,585,277 | ~$3,585,277 | ~1.5479% | ~$55,496 | +54.9% |
| 2030 | ~$4,148,468 | ~$4,148,468 | ~1.5039% | ~$62,387 | +79.3% |
| 2031 | ~$4,800,127 | ~$4,800,127 | ~1.4598% | ~$70,074 | +107.4% |
| 2027 | ~$2,631,603 | ~$2,631,603 | ~1.6800% | ~$44,210 | +13.7% |
| 2028 | ~$2,992,355 | ~$2,992,355 | ~1.6800% | ~$50,271 | +29.3% |
| 2029 | ~$3,402,559 | ~$3,402,559 | ~1.6800% | ~$57,162 | +47.0% |
| 2030 | ~$3,868,997 | ~$3,868,997 | ~1.6800% | ~$64,998 | +67.2% |
| 2031 | ~$4,399,376 | ~$4,399,376 | ~1.6800% | ~$73,908 | +90.1% |
| 2027 | ~$2,724,177 | ~$2,724,177 | ~1.6139% | ~$43,966 | +17.7% |
| 2028 | ~$3,206,586 | ~$3,206,586 | ~1.5479% | ~$49,634 | +38.6% |
| 2029 | ~$3,774,422 | ~$3,774,422 | ~1.4818% | ~$55,931 | +63.1% |
| 2030 | ~$4,442,813 | ~$4,442,813 | ~1.4158% | ~$62,901 | +92.0% |
| 2031 | ~$5,229,565 | ~$5,229,565 | ~1.3498% | ~$70,586 | +126.0% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,150,000 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 25× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,150,000 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $2,150,000 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $2,314,343 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $2,314,343 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $1,115,842 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |