SPICEWOOD SPRINGS RD TX 78759
| Owner | HORSE THIEF HOLLOW RANCHES LTD |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0151180101 |
| Short ID | 153080 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 11,324,572 SF |
| Acres | 259.976 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 514 SUR 29 MCCOY G ACR 259.9764 (1-D-1W) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN110 |
| Land | $8,925,103 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $8,925,103 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $8,925,103 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $8,925,103 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$8,902,072 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $23,031 |
| Taxable Value | $23,031 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +243.3% from $2,599,764 (2021) to $8,925,103 (2025), a CAGR of 36.1% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.5170% in 2025 (+0.0402% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $349. Round Rock ISD is the largest single contributor, at 58.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($23,031) is $8,902,072 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($8,925,103 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $8,925,103, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the -11.8% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $2,084,508 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $24,570. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IRR Round Rock ISD | 1.1336% | 1.0626% | 0.9190% | 0.8931% | 0.8931% | +0.0000% | $205.69 | $205.69 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $86.56 | $86.56 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $27.18 | $27.18 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $23.81 | $23.81 | Paid |
| E04 Travis County ESD # 04 | 0.0800% | 0.0600% | 0.0400% | 0.0300% | 0.0266% | -0.0034% | $6.13 | $6.13 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.7876% | 1.6382% | 1.4629% | 1.4768% | 1.5170% | +0.0402% | $349.37 | $349.37 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IRR Round Rock ISD | 0.8931% | $205.69 | 58.9% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $86.56 | 24.8% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $27.18 | 7.8% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $23.81 | 6.8% |
| E04 Travis County ESD # 04 | 0.0266% | $6.13 | 1.8% |
| Total | 1.5170% | $349.37 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $3,899,646 | $8,925,103 | -56.3% |
| Assessed Value | $21,349 | $23,031 | -7.3% |
| Land Value | $3,899,646 | $8,925,103 | -56.3% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $21,349 | $23,031 | -7.3% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$3,878,297 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$324
Estimated
|
~$349
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $3,899,646 | $3,899,646 | — | −$3,878,297 | $21,349 | $21,349 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $8,925,103 | $8,925,103 | — | −$8,902,072 | $23,031 | $23,031 | ~$349 | Partial |
| 2024 | $8,925,103 | $8,925,103 | — | −$8,906,218 | $18,885 | $18,885 | $279 | Verified |
| 2023 | $6,323,279 | $6,323,279 | — | −$6,304,883 | $18,396 | $18,396 | $269 | Verified |
| 2022 | $6,436,391 | $6,436,391 | — | −$6,419,477 | $16,914 | $16,914 | $277 | Verified |
| 2021 | $2,599,764 | — | — | −$2,585,101 | $14,663 | $14,663 | $262 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -56.3% | -7.3% | 0.6% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +22.0% | 0.3% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +41.1% | +2.7% | 0.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | -1.8% | +8.8% | 0.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +147.6% ! | +15.4% | 0.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.6% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +243.3% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -56.3% | +26.1% | -11.8% | +147.6% | 2022 | -56.3% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.5% | 0.4% | — | 0.6% | 2021 | 0.2% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$349 | $287 | ~$36,202 | $349 | 2025 | $262 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 148% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$3,440,495 | ~$3,440,495 | ~1.4493% | ~$49,864 | -11.8% |
| 2028 | ~$3,035,404 | ~$3,035,404 | ~1.3817% | ~$41,939 | -22.2% |
| 2029 | ~$2,678,010 | ~$2,678,010 | ~1.3140% | ~$35,189 | -31.3% |
| 2030 | ~$2,362,697 | ~$2,362,697 | ~1.2464% | ~$29,448 | -39.4% |
| 2031 | ~$2,084,508 | ~$2,084,508 | ~1.1787% | ~$24,570 | -46.5% |
| 2027 | ~$3,704,664 | ~$3,704,664 | ~1.5170% | ~$56,199 | -5.0% |
| 2028 | ~$3,519,431 | ~$3,519,431 | ~1.5170% | ~$53,389 | -9.7% |
| 2029 | ~$3,343,459 | ~$3,343,459 | ~1.5170% | ~$50,719 | -14.3% |
| 2030 | ~$3,176,286 | ~$3,176,286 | ~1.5170% | ~$48,183 | -18.5% |
| 2031 | ~$3,017,472 | ~$3,017,472 | ~1.5170% | ~$45,774 | -22.6% |
| 2027 | ~$3,518,487 | ~$3,518,487 | ~1.4155% | ~$49,804 | -9.8% |
| 2028 | ~$3,174,584 | ~$3,174,584 | ~1.3140% | ~$41,714 | -18.6% |
| 2029 | ~$2,864,294 | ~$2,864,294 | ~1.2125% | ~$34,730 | -26.5% |
| 2030 | ~$2,584,333 | ~$2,584,333 | ~1.1111% | ~$28,713 | -33.7% |
| 2031 | ~$2,331,736 | ~$2,331,736 | ~1.0096% | ~$23,541 | -40.2% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $8,925,103 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 16× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $8,925,103 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $8,925,103 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $6,323,279 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $6,436,391 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $2,599,764 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |