LOHMANS FORD RD TX 78645
| Owner | WATERFORD DEVELOPMENT PARTNERS LP |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0151770325 |
| Short ID | 360395 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 1,595,690 SF |
| Acres | 36.632 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 620 SUR 523 PIERSON S ABS 2617 SUR 120 PIERSON S H & VAR SURS ACR 36.6320 |
| Neighborhood | S05AC |
| Land | $1,555,171 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,555,171 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $1,555,171 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,555,171 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $1,555,171 |
| Taxable Value | $1,555,171 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +1375.6% from $105,395 (2021) to $1,555,171 (2025), a CAGR of 96.0% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2022), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7107% in 2025 (+0.0504% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $26,605. Lago Vista ISD is the largest single contributor, at 59.4% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($1,555,171 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,555,171, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +57.4% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $9,832,357 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $148,486. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0192% | 1.0169% | 1.0169% | +0.0000% | $15,814.53 | $15,814.53 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $5,845.03 | $5,845.03 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $1,835.46 | $1,835.46 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $1,555.17 | $1,555.17 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $1,554.66 | $1,554.66 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.8712% | 1.7799% | 1.6087% | 1.6603% | 1.7107% | +0.0504% | $26,604.85 | $26,604.85 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.0169% | $15,814.53 | 59.4% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $5,845.03 | 22.0% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $1,835.46 | 6.9% |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | $1,555.17 | 5.8% |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | $1,554.66 | 5.8% |
| Total | 1.7107% | $26,604.85 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,017,979 | $1,555,171 | -34.5% |
| Assessed Value | $1,017,979 | $1,555,171 | -34.5% |
| Land Value | $1,017,979 | $1,555,171 | -34.5% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $1,017,979 | $1,555,171 | -34.5% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$17,415
Estimated
|
~$26,605
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,017,979 | $1,017,979 | — | — | $1,017,979 | $1,017,979 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $1,555,171 | $1,555,171 | — | — | $1,555,171 | $1,555,171 | ~$26,605 | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,555,171 | $1,555,171 | — | −$128,550 | $1,426,621 | $1,426,621 | $23,686 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,188,851 | $1,188,851 | — | — | $1,188,851 | $1,188,851 | $19,126 | Verified |
| 2022 | $1,197,093 | $1,404,544 | — | — | $1,197,093 | $1,197,093 | $21,307 | Verified |
| 2021 | $105,395 | $105,395 | — | — | $105,395 | $105,395 | $1,972 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -34.5% | -34.5% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +9.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +30.8% | +20.0% | 91.7% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | -0.7% | -0.7% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +1035.8% ! | +1035.8% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +1375.6% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -34.5% | +206.3% | +57.4% | +1035.8% | 2022 | -34.5% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 98.6% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 91.7% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.7100% | 1.7100% | — | 1.7100% | 2025 | 1.7100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$26,605 | $18,539 | ~$75,268 | $26,605 | 2025 | $1,972 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 1036% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,602,222 | ~$1,602,222 | ~1.6706% | ~$26,767 | +57.4% |
| 2028 | ~$2,521,775 | ~$2,521,775 | ~1.6305% | ~$41,118 | +147.7% |
| 2029 | ~$3,969,082 | ~$3,969,082 | ~1.5904% | ~$63,124 | +289.9% |
| 2030 | ~$6,247,034 | ~$6,247,034 | ~1.5503% | ~$96,847 | +513.7% |
| 2031 | ~$9,832,357 | ~$9,832,357 | ~1.5102% | ~$148,486 | +865.9% |
| 2027 | ~$1,581,862 | ~$1,581,862 | ~1.7107% | ~$27,061 | +55.4% |
| 2028 | ~$2,458,093 | ~$2,458,093 | ~1.7107% | ~$42,051 | +141.5% |
| 2029 | ~$3,819,690 | ~$3,819,690 | ~1.7107% | ~$65,345 | +275.2% |
| 2030 | ~$5,935,509 | ~$5,935,509 | ~1.7107% | ~$101,541 | +483.1% |
| 2031 | ~$9,223,329 | ~$9,223,329 | ~1.7107% | ~$157,787 | +806.0% |
| 2027 | ~$1,622,581 | ~$1,622,581 | ~1.6506% | ~$26,782 | +59.4% |
| 2028 | ~$2,586,271 | ~$2,586,271 | ~1.5904% | ~$41,132 | +154.1% |
| 2029 | ~$4,122,320 | ~$4,122,320 | ~1.5302% | ~$63,081 | +305.0% |
| 2030 | ~$6,570,664 | ~$6,570,664 | ~1.4701% | ~$96,593 | +545.5% |
| 2031 | ~$10,473,140 | ~$10,473,140 | ~1.4099% | ~$147,661 | +928.8% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,555,171 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 18× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,555,171 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $1,555,171 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $1,188,851 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $1,197,093 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $105,395 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |