5212 CANYON OAKS DR TX 78645
| Owner | GAGNON AARON & WENDY GAGNON |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0172830164 |
| Short ID | 727346 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 5,542 SF |
| Land SF | 43,342 SF |
| Acres | 0.995 |
| Year Built | 2022 |
| Legal | LOT 13 CANYON OAKS PHS 2 |
| Neighborhood | S09WF |
| Land | $1,300,000 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,300,000 |
| Improvement | $1,014,147 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $1,014,147 |
| Market | $2,314,147 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,314,147 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $2,314,147 |
| Exemptions on file | HS |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $2,314,147 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +420.7% from $444,400 (2021) to $2,314,147 (2025), a CAGR of 51.1% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2022→2023), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 6 taxing entities is 2.1307% in 2025 (+0.0473% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $49,308. Lago Vista ISD is the largest single contributor, at 44.7% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 56% of market value ($1,300,000 land vs $1,014,147 improvements), about $30/SF of land. Land and improvements both carry meaningful weight; value is balanced between the structure and its site.
Submarket Position: At $2,314,147, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +40.8% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $13,557,920 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $67,063. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
14 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 5,542 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 4,108 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 1,742 SF | ✗ |
| RSBLW | Residence Below | 1,434 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 1,023 SF | ✓ |
| 031 | GARAGE DET 1ST F | 672 SF | ✓ |
| 581 | STORAGE ATT | 392 SF | ✓ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 3 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 250 | HALF BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
| 522 | FIREPLACE | 1 SF | ✓ |
| 186 | THEATER (HOME) | 1 SF | ✓ |
| 604 | POOL RES CONC | 1 SF | ✗ |
| 447 | SPA CONCRETE | 1 SF | ✗ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0192% | 1.0169% | 1.0169% | +0.0000% | $17,402.39 | $17,402.39 | Paid |
| CLV City of Lago Vista | 0.6070% | 0.4283% | 0.4139% | 0.4231% | 0.4200% | -0.0031% | $7,775.54 | $7,775.54 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $6,958.09 | $6,958.09 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $2,314.15 | $2,314.15 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $2,313.38 | $2,313.38 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $2,184.98 | $2,184.98 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4782% | 2.2082% | 2.0226% | 2.0834% | 2.1307% | +0.0473% | $38,948.53 | $38,948.53 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.0169% | $17,402.39 | 44.7% |
| CLV City of Lago Vista | 0.4200% | $7,775.54 | 20.0% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $6,958.09 | 17.9% |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | $2,314.15 | 5.9% |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | $2,313.38 | 5.9% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $2,184.98 | 5.6% |
| Total | 2.1307% | $38,948.53 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,454,616 | $2,314,147 | +6.1% |
| Assessed Value | $2,454,616 | $2,314,147 | +6.1% |
| Land Value | $540,000 | $1,300,000 | -58.5% |
| Improvement Value | $1,914,616 | $1,014,147 | +88.8% |
| Taxable Value | $2,454,616 | $2,314,147 | +6.1% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$52,301
Estimated
|
~$38,949
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $2,454,616 | $540,000 | $1,914,616 | — | $2,454,616 | $2,454,616 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $2,314,147 | $1,300,000 | $1,014,147 | — | $2,314,147 | $2,314,147 | ~$38,949 | Partial |
| 2024 | $2,314,147 | $1,300,000 | $1,014,147 | — | $2,314,147 | $2,314,147 | $48,213 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,871,367 | $444,400 | $1,426,967 | — | $1,871,367 | $1,871,367 | $37,851 | Verified |
| 2022 | $444,400 | $444,400 | — | — | $444,400 | $444,400 | $9,813 | Verified |
| 2021 | $444,400 | $444,400 | — | — | $444,400 | $444,400 | $11,013 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +6.1% | +6.1% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +23.7% | +23.7% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +321.1% ! | +321.1% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +420.7% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +6.1% | +70.2% | +40.7% | +321.1% | 2023 | +0.0% | 2022 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 100.0% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.6800% | 1.6800% | — | 1.6800% | 2025 | 1.6800% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$38,949 | $29,168 | ~$61,112 | $48,213 | 2024 | $9,813 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 321% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$3,454,820 | ~$2,700,078 | ~2.0439% | ~$55,186 | +40.7% |
| 2028 | ~$4,862,587 | ~$2,970,085 | ~1.9570% | ~$58,125 | +98.1% |
| 2029 | ~$6,843,988 | ~$3,267,094 | ~1.8702% | ~$61,100 | +178.8% |
| 2030 | ~$9,632,770 | ~$3,593,803 | ~1.7833% | ~$64,088 | +292.4% |
| 2031 | ~$13,557,920 | ~$3,953,184 | ~1.6964% | ~$67,063 | +452.3% |
| 2027 | ~$3,405,728 | ~$2,700,078 | ~2.1307% | ~$57,532 | +38.7% |
| 2028 | ~$4,725,376 | ~$2,970,085 | ~2.1307% | ~$63,285 | +92.5% |
| 2029 | ~$6,556,359 | ~$3,267,094 | ~2.1307% | ~$69,613 | +167.1% |
| 2030 | ~$9,096,810 | ~$3,593,803 | ~2.1307% | ~$76,574 | +270.6% |
| 2031 | ~$12,621,633 | ~$3,953,184 | ~2.1307% | ~$84,232 | +414.2% |
| 2027 | ~$3,503,913 | ~$2,700,078 | ~2.0004% | ~$54,014 | +42.7% |
| 2028 | ~$5,001,761 | ~$2,970,085 | ~1.8702% | ~$55,545 | +103.8% |
| 2029 | ~$7,139,909 | ~$3,267,094 | ~1.7399% | ~$56,843 | +190.9% |
| 2030 | ~$10,192,070 | ~$3,593,803 | ~1.6096% | ~$57,845 | +315.2% |
| 2031 | ~$14,548,965 | ~$3,953,184 | ~1.4793% | ~$58,479 | +492.7% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,314,147 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 27× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,314,147 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $2,314,147 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $1,871,367 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $444,400 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $444,400 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |