5104 CANYON OAKS DR TX 78645
| Owner | BURD SHARON |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0172830171 |
| Short ID | 727353 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 3,405 SF |
| Land SF | 41,905 SF |
| Acres | 0.962 |
| Year Built | 2021 |
| Legal | LOT 20 CANYON OAKS PHS 2 |
| Neighborhood | S09WF |
| Land | $1,677,000 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,677,000 |
| Improvement | $186,759 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $186,759 |
| Market | $1,863,759 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,863,759 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$198,201 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $1,665,558 |
| Exemptions on file | HS |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $1,665,558 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +286.3% from $482,460 (2021) to $1,863,759 (2025), a CAGR of 40.2% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2022→2023), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 6 taxing entities is 2.1307% in 2025 (+0.0473% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $35,489. Lago Vista ISD is the largest single contributor, at 43.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($1,665,558) is $198,201 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 90% of market value ($1,677,000 land vs $186,759 improvements), about $40/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,863,759, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +26.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $4,864,391 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $41,855. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
11 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 4,408 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 3,405 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 1,617 SF | ✓ |
| 571 | STORAGE DET | 900 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 310 SF | ✗ |
| 612 | TERRACE UNCOVERD | 184 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 3 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 3 SF | ✓ |
| 522 | FIREPLACE | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 250 | HALF BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
| 604 | POOL RES CONC | 1 SF | ✗ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0192% | 1.0169% | 1.0169% | +0.0000% | $12,125.98 | $12,125.98 | Paid |
| CLV City of Lago Vista | 0.6070% | 0.4283% | 0.4139% | 0.4231% | 0.4200% | -0.0031% | $5,596.27 | $5,596.27 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $5,007.93 | $5,007.93 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $1,665.56 | $1,665.56 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $1,665.01 | $1,665.01 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $1,572.59 | $1,572.59 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4782% | 2.2082% | 2.0226% | 2.0834% | 2.1307% | +0.0473% | $27,633.34 | $27,633.34 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILV Lago Vista ISD | 1.0169% | $12,125.98 | 43.9% |
| CLV City of Lago Vista | 0.4200% | $5,596.27 | 20.3% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $5,007.93 | 18.1% |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | $1,665.56 | 6.0% |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | $1,665.01 | 6.0% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $1,572.59 | 5.7% |
| Total | 2.1307% | $27,633.34 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,531,951 | $1,863,759 | -17.8% |
| Assessed Value | $1,531,951 | $1,665,558 | -8.0% |
| Land Value | $696,600 | $1,677,000 | -58.5% |
| Improvement Value | $835,351 | $186,759 | +347.3% |
| Taxable Value | $1,531,951 | $1,665,558 | -8.0% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$32,642
Estimated
|
~$27,633
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,531,951 | $696,600 | $835,351 | — | $1,531,951 | $1,531,951 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $1,863,759 | $1,677,000 | $186,759 | −$198,201 | $1,665,558 | $1,665,558 | ~$27,633 | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,500,000 | $1,677,000 | — | — | $1,500,000 | $1,200,000 | $24,557 | Verified |
| 2023 | $3,590,304 | $482,460 | $3,107,844 | — | $3,590,304 | $2,872,243 | $25,005 | Verified |
| 2022 | $496,730 | $482,460 | $14,270 | — | $496,730 | $496,730 | $10,969 | Verified |
| 2021 | $482,460 | $482,460 | — | — | $482,460 | $482,460 | $11,383 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -17.8% | -8.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +24.3% | +11.0% | 89.4% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -58.2% | -58.2% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +622.8% ! | +622.8% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +3.0% | +3.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +286.3% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -17.8% | +114.8% | +26.0% | +622.8% | 2023 | -58.2% | 2024 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 98.2% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 89.4% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.4800% | 1.4800% | — | 1.4800% | 2025 | 1.4800% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$27,633 | $19,909 | ~$38,141 | $27,633 | 2025 | $10,969 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 623% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,930,197 | ~$1,685,146 | ~2.0439% | ~$34,442 | +26.0% |
| 2028 | ~$2,431,970 | ~$1,853,661 | ~1.9570% | ~$36,276 | +58.7% |
| 2029 | ~$3,064,185 | ~$2,039,027 | ~1.8702% | ~$38,133 | +100.0% |
| 2030 | ~$3,860,750 | ~$2,242,929 | ~1.7833% | ~$39,998 | +152.0% |
| 2031 | ~$4,864,391 | ~$2,467,222 | ~1.6964% | ~$41,855 | +217.5% |
| 2027 | ~$1,899,558 | ~$1,685,146 | ~2.1307% | ~$35,906 | +24.0% |
| 2028 | ~$2,355,375 | ~$1,853,661 | ~2.1307% | ~$39,497 | +53.8% |
| 2029 | ~$2,920,571 | ~$2,039,027 | ~2.1307% | ~$43,446 | +90.6% |
| 2030 | ~$3,621,391 | ~$2,242,929 | ~2.1307% | ~$47,791 | +136.4% |
| 2031 | ~$4,490,379 | ~$2,467,222 | ~2.1307% | ~$52,570 | +193.1% |
| 2027 | ~$1,960,836 | ~$1,685,146 | ~2.0004% | ~$33,710 | +28.0% |
| 2028 | ~$2,509,791 | ~$1,853,661 | ~1.8702% | ~$34,666 | +63.8% |
| 2029 | ~$3,212,432 | ~$2,039,027 | ~1.7399% | ~$35,476 | +109.7% |
| 2030 | ~$4,111,784 | ~$2,242,929 | ~1.6096% | ~$36,101 | +168.4% |
| 2031 | ~$5,262,918 | ~$2,467,222 | ~1.4793% | ~$36,497 | +243.5% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,863,759 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 22× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,863,759 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $1,500,000 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $3,590,304 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $496,730 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $482,460 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |