F M RD 1431 TX 78654
| Owner | PH FLAT CREEK LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0183960107 |
| Short ID | 182324 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 00 (unlisted) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 3,271,617 SF |
| Acres | 75.106 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 256 SUR 2 ENGLISH J ACR 75.106 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN140 |
| Land | $2,848,584 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $2,848,584 |
| Improvement | $815 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $815 |
| Market | $2,849,399 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,849,399 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$1,862,391 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $987,008 |
| Taxable Value | $987,008 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +230.6% from $861,812 (2021) to $2,849,399 (2025), a CAGR of 34.8% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 0.6938% in 2025 (+0.0504% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $6,848. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 54.2% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($987,008) is $1,862,391 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($2,848,584 land vs $815 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $2,849,399, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +5.9% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $1,813,997 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $13,145. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
1 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 299 | ALL FLAT VALUE | 1 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $3,709.62 | $3,709.62 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $1,164.90 | $1,164.90 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $987.01 | $987.01 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $986.68 | $986.68 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.6692% | 0.5953% | 0.5895% | 0.6434% | 0.6938% | +0.0504% | $6,848.21 | $6,848.21 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $3,709.62 | 54.2% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $1,164.90 | 17.0% |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | $987.01 | 14.4% |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | $986.68 | 14.4% |
| Total | 0.6938% | $6,848.21 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,361,116 | $2,849,399 | -52.2% |
| Assessed Value | $641,982 | $987,008 | -35.0% |
| Land Value | $1,360,301 | $2,848,584 | -52.2% |
| Improvement Value | $815 | $815 | +0.0% |
| Taxable Value | $641,982 | $987,008 | -35.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$719,134 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$4,454
Estimated
|
~$6,848
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,361,116 | $1,360,301 | $815 | −$719,134 | $641,982 | $641,982 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $2,849,399 | $2,848,584 | $815 | −$1,862,391 | $987,008 | $987,008 | ~$6,848 | Partial |
| 2024 | $2,849,399 | $2,848,584 | $815 | −$2,026,075 | $823,324 | $823,324 | $5,297 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,457,218 | $1,456,403 | $815 | −$770,091 | $687,127 | $687,127 | $4,051 | Verified |
| 2022 | $1,081,688 | $1,080,873 | $815 | −$570,252 | $511,436 | $511,436 | $3,045 | Verified |
| 2021 | $861,812 | $402,447 | $815 | −$453,070 | $408,742 | $408,742 | $2,735 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -52.2% | -35.0% | 47.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +19.9% | 34.6% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +95.5% ! | +19.8% | 28.9% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +34.7% | +34.4% | 47.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +25.5% | +25.1% | 47.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 47.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +230.6% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -52.2% | +20.7% | +5.9% | +95.5% | 2024 | -52.2% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 47.2% | 42.1% | — | 47.4% | 2021 | 28.9% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.2400% | 0.2400% | — | 0.2400% | 2025 | 0.2400% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$6,848 | $4,395 | ~$11,569 | $6,848 | 2025 | $2,735 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 96% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,441,596 | ~$1,441,596 | ~0.7000% | ~$10,091 | +5.9% |
| 2028 | ~$1,526,834 | ~$1,526,834 | ~0.7062% | ~$10,782 | +12.2% |
| 2029 | ~$1,617,112 | ~$1,617,112 | ~0.7123% | ~$11,519 | +18.8% |
| 2030 | ~$1,712,727 | ~$1,712,727 | ~0.7185% | ~$12,306 | +25.8% |
| 2031 | ~$1,813,997 | ~$1,813,997 | ~0.7247% | ~$13,145 | +33.3% |
| 2027 | ~$1,414,373 | ~$1,414,373 | ~0.6938% | ~$9,813 | +3.9% |
| 2028 | ~$1,469,714 | ~$1,469,714 | ~0.6938% | ~$10,197 | +8.0% |
| 2029 | ~$1,527,221 | ~$1,527,221 | ~0.6938% | ~$10,596 | +12.2% |
| 2030 | ~$1,586,977 | ~$1,586,977 | ~0.6938% | ~$11,011 | +16.6% |
| 2031 | ~$1,649,072 | ~$1,649,072 | ~0.6938% | ~$11,442 | +21.2% |
| 2027 | ~$1,468,818 | ~$1,468,818 | ~0.7031% | ~$10,327 | +7.9% |
| 2028 | ~$1,585,042 | ~$1,585,042 | ~0.7123% | ~$11,291 | +16.5% |
| 2029 | ~$1,710,462 | ~$1,710,462 | ~0.7216% | ~$12,342 | +25.7% |
| 2030 | ~$1,845,807 | ~$1,845,807 | ~0.7308% | ~$13,490 | +35.6% |
| 2031 | ~$1,991,861 | ~$1,991,861 | ~0.7401% | ~$14,741 | +46.3% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,849,399 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 5× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,849,399 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $2,849,399 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $1,457,218 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $1,081,688 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $861,812 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |