F M RD 1431 TX 78654
| Owner | WARE MARJORIE RODGERS & KATHLEEN RODGERS DUTY & |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0192960310 |
| Short ID | 186722 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 187,308 SF |
| Acres | 4.300 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 47 SUR 1 BRANDON W M ACR 4.300 (1-D-1W) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN140WF |
| Land | $301,903 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $301,903 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $301,903 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $301,903 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$54,223 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $247,680 |
| Taxable Value | $247,680 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +251.0% from $86,000 (2021) to $301,903 (2025), a CAGR of 36.9% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 0.6938% in 2025 (+0.0504% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $1,718. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 54.2% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($247,680) is $54,223 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($301,903 land vs $0 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $301,903, this parcel sits in the lower-middle (25th–50th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +27.9% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $1,105,118 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $8,008. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $930.89 | $930.89 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $292.32 | $292.32 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $247.68 | $247.68 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $247.60 | $247.60 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.6692% | 0.5953% | 0.5895% | 0.6434% | 0.6938% | +0.0504% | $1,718.49 | $1,718.49 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $930.89 | 54.2% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $292.32 | 17.0% |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | $247.68 | 14.4% |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | $247.60 | 14.4% |
| Total | 0.6938% | $1,718.49 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $322,500 | $301,903 | +6.8% |
| Assessed Value | $297,216 | $247,680 | +20.0% |
| Land Value | $322,500 | $301,903 | +6.8% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $297,216 | $247,680 | +20.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$25,284 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$2,062
Estimated
|
~$1,718
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $322,500 | $322,500 | — | −$25,284 | $297,216 | $297,216 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $301,903 | $301,903 | — | −$54,223 | $247,680 | $247,680 | ~$1,718 | Partial |
| 2024 | $301,903 | $301,903 | — | −$95,503 | $206,400 | $206,400 | $1,328 | Verified |
| 2023 | $172,000 | $172,000 | — | — | $172,000 | $172,000 | $1,014 | Verified |
| 2022 | $120,400 | $120,400 | — | — | $120,400 | $120,400 | $717 | Verified |
| 2021 | $86,000 | — | — | −$85,600 | $400 | $400 | $3 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +6.8% | +20.0% | 92.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 82.0% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +75.5% ! | +20.0% | 68.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +42.9% | +42.9% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +40.0% | +30000.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.5% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +251.0% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +6.8% | +33.0% | +27.9% | +75.5% | 2024 | +0.0% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 92.2% | 73.9% | — | 100.0% | 2022 | 0.5% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.5700% | 0.5700% | — | 0.5700% | 2025 | 0.5700% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$1,718 | $956 | ~$5,128 | $1,718 | 2025 | $3 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 76% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$412,577 | ~$412,577 | ~0.7000% | ~$2,888 | +27.9% |
| 2028 | ~$527,815 | ~$527,815 | ~0.7062% | ~$3,727 | +63.7% |
| 2029 | ~$675,238 | ~$675,238 | ~0.7123% | ~$4,810 | +109.4% |
| 2030 | ~$863,839 | ~$863,839 | ~0.7185% | ~$6,207 | +167.9% |
| 2031 | ~$1,105,118 | ~$1,105,118 | ~0.7247% | ~$8,008 | +242.7% |
| 2027 | ~$406,127 | ~$406,127 | ~0.6938% | ~$2,818 | +25.9% |
| 2028 | ~$511,440 | ~$511,440 | ~0.6938% | ~$3,549 | +58.6% |
| 2029 | ~$644,062 | ~$644,062 | ~0.6938% | ~$4,469 | +99.7% |
| 2030 | ~$811,074 | ~$811,074 | ~0.6938% | ~$5,628 | +151.5% |
| 2031 | ~$1,021,393 | ~$1,021,393 | ~0.6938% | ~$7,087 | +216.7% |
| 2027 | ~$419,027 | ~$419,027 | ~0.7031% | ~$2,946 | +29.9% |
| 2028 | ~$544,447 | ~$544,447 | ~0.7123% | ~$3,878 | +68.8% |
| 2029 | ~$707,405 | ~$707,405 | ~0.7216% | ~$5,104 | +119.4% |
| 2030 | ~$919,138 | ~$919,138 | ~0.7308% | ~$6,717 | +185.0% |
| 2031 | ~$1,194,246 | ~$1,194,246 | ~0.7401% | ~$8,838 | +270.3% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $301,903 places it in the 25th–50th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — -46% below the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $301,903 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $301,903 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↓ Below median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $172,000 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $120,400 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↓ Bottom 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $86,000 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↓ Bottom 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |