TRAILS END RD
| Owner | MINORI LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0195440304 |
| Short ID | 978170 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 333,452 SF |
| Acres | 7.655 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | MISTY VALLEY SUBD BLK A LOT 1 |
| Neighborhood | NW3 |
| Land | $1,667,259 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,667,259 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $1,667,259 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,667,259 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$1,666,371 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $888 |
| Taxable Value | $888 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +66.7% from $1,000,356 (2024) to $1,667,259 (2025), a CAGR of 66.7% over 1 year. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +27.9%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.0442% in 2025 (+0.0406% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $18. Leander ISD is the largest single contributor, at 53.1% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($888) is $1,666,371 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($1,667,259 land vs $0 improvements), about $5/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,667,259, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +29.1% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $5,978,941 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $99,887. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILE Leander ISD | 1.3370% | 1.2746% | 1.1087% | 1.0869% | 1.0869% | +0.0000% | $9.65 | $9.65 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $3.34 | $3.34 | Paid |
| CCP City of Cedar Park | 0.4320% | 0.3900% | 0.3700% | 0.3630% | 0.3600% | -0.0030% | $3.20 | $3.20 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $1.05 | $1.05 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $0.92 | $0.92 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.3430% | 2.1802% | 1.9826% | 2.0036% | 2.0442% | +0.0406% | $18.16 | $18.16 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILE Leander ISD | 1.0869% | $9.65 | 53.1% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $3.34 | 18.4% |
| CCP City of Cedar Park | 0.3600% | $3.20 | 17.6% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $1.05 | 5.8% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $0.92 | 5.1% |
| Total | 2.0442% | $18.16 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,667,259 | $1,667,259 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $821 | $888 | -7.5% |
| Land Value | $1,667,259 | $1,667,259 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $821 | $888 | -7.5% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,666,438 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$17
Estimated
|
~$18
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,667,259 | $1,667,259 | — | −$1,666,438 | $821 | $821 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $1,667,259 | $1,667,259 | — | −$1,666,371 | $888 | $888 | ~$18 | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,000,356 | $1,667,259 | — | — | $1,000,356 | $1,000,356 | $20,043 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | -7.5% | 0.0% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +66.7% | -99.9% | 0.0% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +66.7% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +33.4% | +29.1% | +66.7% | 2025 | +0.0% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.0% | 33.4% | — | 100.0% | 2024 | 0.0% | 2026 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$18 | $10,031 | ~$68,211 | $20,043 | 2024 | $18 | 2025 |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$2,152,421 | ~$2,152,421 | ~1.9695% | ~$42,391 | +29.1% |
| 2028 | ~$2,778,763 | ~$2,778,763 | ~1.8948% | ~$52,651 | +66.7% |
| 2029 | ~$3,587,367 | ~$3,587,367 | ~1.8201% | ~$65,292 | +115.2% |
| 2030 | ~$4,631,269 | ~$4,631,269 | ~1.7454% | ~$80,832 | +177.8% |
| 2031 | ~$5,978,941 | ~$5,978,941 | ~1.6707% | ~$99,887 | +258.6% |
| 2027 | ~$2,119,076 | ~$2,119,076 | ~2.0442% | ~$43,317 | +27.1% |
| 2028 | ~$2,693,333 | ~$2,693,333 | ~2.0442% | ~$55,056 | +61.5% |
| 2029 | ~$3,423,211 | ~$3,423,211 | ~2.0442% | ~$69,976 | +105.3% |
| 2030 | ~$4,350,881 | ~$4,350,881 | ~2.0442% | ~$88,939 | +161.0% |
| 2031 | ~$5,529,943 | ~$5,529,943 | ~2.0442% | ~$113,041 | +231.7% |
| 2027 | ~$2,185,767 | ~$2,185,767 | ~1.9321% | ~$42,232 | +31.1% |
| 2028 | ~$2,865,527 | ~$2,865,527 | ~1.8201% | ~$52,154 | +71.9% |
| 2029 | ~$3,756,689 | ~$3,756,689 | ~1.7080% | ~$64,164 | +125.3% |
| 2030 | ~$4,924,997 | ~$4,924,997 | ~1.5960% | ~$78,601 | +195.4% |
| 2031 | ~$6,456,642 | ~$6,456,642 | ~1.4839% | ~$95,810 | +287.3% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,667,259 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 20× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,667,259 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $1,000,356 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |