F M RD 969 TX 78724
| Owner | NALLE WILLIAM JORDAN |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0202410405 |
| Short ID | 190384 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 00 (unlisted) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 2,090,880 SF |
| Acres | 48.000 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 16 SUR 18 MCELROY P ACR 48.0 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN405 |
| Land | $4,680,695 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $4,680,695 |
| Improvement | $1,640 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $1,640 |
| Market | $4,682,335 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $4,682,335 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$4,675,075 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $7,260 |
| Taxable Value | $7,260 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +382.1% from $971,192 (2021) to $4,682,335 (2025), a CAGR of 48.2% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 6 taxing entities is 2.2293% in 2025 (+0.0866% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $162. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 61.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($7,260) is $4,675,075 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($4,680,695 land vs $1,640 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $4,682,335, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +29.9% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $19,161,946 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $351,079. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
1 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 301 | BARN SF | 2,325 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $78.51 | $78.51 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $27.29 | $27.29 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $8.57 | $8.57 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $7.51 | $7.51 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $3.24 | $3.24 | Paid |
| E04 Travis County ESD # 04 | 0.0800% | 0.0600% | 0.0400% | 0.0300% | 0.0266% | -0.0034% | $1.77 | $1.77 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.5470% | 2.3903% | 2.0758% | 2.1427% | 2.2293% | +0.0866% | $126.89 | $126.89 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.0814% | $78.51 | 61.9% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $27.29 | 21.5% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $8.57 | 6.8% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $7.51 | 5.9% |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5240% | $3.24 | 2.6% |
| E04 Travis County ESD # 04 | 0.0266% | $1.77 | 1.4% |
| Total | 2.2293% | $126.89 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $5,185,640 | $4,682,335 | +10.7% |
| Assessed Value | $7,687 | $7,260 | +5.9% |
| Land Value | $5,184,000 | $4,680,695 | +10.8% |
| Improvement Value | $1,640 | $1,640 | +0.0% |
| Taxable Value | $7,687 | $7,260 | +5.9% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$5,177,953 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$171
Estimated
|
~$127
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $5,185,640 | $5,184,000 | $1,640 | −$5,177,953 | $7,687 | $7,687 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $4,682,335 | $4,680,695 | $1,640 | −$4,675,075 | $7,260 | $7,260 | ~$127 | Partial |
| 2024 | $2,602,026 | $2,600,386 | $1,640 | −$2,596,103 | $5,923 | $5,923 | $101 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,822,605 | $1,820,965 | $1,640 | −$1,816,056 | $6,549 | $6,549 | $116 | Verified |
| 2022 | $1,822,605 | $1,820,965 | $1,640 | −$1,815,653 | $6,952 | $6,952 | $144 | Verified |
| 2021 | $971,192 | — | $1,640 | −$964,150 | $7,042 | $7,042 | $153 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +10.7% | +5.9% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +79.9% ! | +22.6% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +42.8% | -9.6% | 0.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | -5.8% | 0.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +87.7% ! | -1.3% | 0.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.7% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +382.1% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +10.7% | +44.2% | +29.9% | +87.7% | 2022 | +0.0% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.1% | 0.3% | — | 0.7% | 2021 | 0.1% | 2026 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$127 | $128 | ~$237,038 | $153 | 2021 | $101 | 2024 |
Market value changed by 88% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$6,734,879 | ~$6,734,879 | ~2.1499% | ~$144,791 | +29.9% |
| 2028 | ~$8,746,963 | ~$8,746,963 | ~2.0704% | ~$181,100 | +68.7% |
| 2029 | ~$11,360,167 | ~$11,360,167 | ~1.9910% | ~$226,183 | +119.1% |
| 2030 | ~$14,754,081 | ~$14,754,081 | ~1.9116% | ~$282,038 | +184.5% |
| 2031 | ~$19,161,946 | ~$19,161,946 | ~1.8322% | ~$351,079 | +269.5% |
| 2027 | ~$6,631,166 | ~$6,631,166 | ~2.2293% | ~$147,828 | +27.9% |
| 2028 | ~$8,479,642 | ~$8,479,642 | ~2.2293% | ~$189,035 | +63.5% |
| 2029 | ~$10,843,390 | ~$10,843,390 | ~2.2293% | ~$241,730 | +109.1% |
| 2030 | ~$13,866,046 | ~$13,866,046 | ~2.2293% | ~$309,114 | +167.4% |
| 2031 | ~$17,731,285 | ~$17,731,285 | ~2.2293% | ~$395,281 | +241.9% |
| 2027 | ~$6,838,592 | ~$6,838,592 | ~2.1101% | ~$144,305 | +31.9% |
| 2028 | ~$9,018,432 | ~$9,018,432 | ~1.9910% | ~$179,558 | +73.9% |
| 2029 | ~$11,893,108 | ~$11,893,108 | ~1.8719% | ~$222,625 | +129.3% |
| 2030 | ~$15,684,104 | ~$15,684,104 | ~1.7527% | ~$274,902 | +202.5% |
| 2031 | ~$20,683,500 | ~$20,683,500 | ~1.6336% | ~$337,887 | +298.9% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $4,682,335 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 8× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $4,682,335 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $2,602,026 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $1,822,605 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $1,822,605 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $971,192 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |