15017 F M RD 969 TX 78724
| Owner | DAVIS ROBERT D |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0202500409 |
| Short ID | 190510 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 2,755 SF |
| Land SF | 411,642 SF |
| Acres | 9.450 |
| Year Built | 1977 |
| Legal | ABS 5 SUR 33 BURLESON J ACR 8.45 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN405 |
| Land | $903,322 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $903,322 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $903,322 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $903,322 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$902,333 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $989 |
| Taxable Value | $989 |
|---|
| Total Due | $4,741.73 |
|---|---|
| First Delinquent | — |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +130.5% from $391,818 (2021) to $903,322 (2025), a CAGR of 23.2% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.5728% in 2025 (-0.0078% vs 2024 — rates decreased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $16. Del Valle ISD is the largest single contributor, at 60.3% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($989) is $902,333 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($903,322 land vs $0 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~49-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $903,322, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +21.7% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $2,140,352 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $21. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
Delinquent Taxes: $4,741.73 in unpaid taxes . These become a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
9 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 2,755 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 2,755 SF | ✗ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 490 SF | ✓ |
| 031 | GARAGE DET 1ST F | 484 SF | ✓ |
| 612 | TERRACE UNCOVERD | 309 SF | ✗ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 12 SF | ✗ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 522 | FIREPLACE | 1 SF | ✓ |
| 302 | BARN FV | 1 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDV Del Valle ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0028% | 0.9969% | 0.9489% | -0.0480% | $9.38 | $9.38 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $3.72 | $3.72 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $1.17 | $1.17 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $1.02 | $1.02 | Paid |
| E04 Travis County ESD # 04 | 0.0800% | 0.0600% | 0.0400% | 0.0300% | 0.0266% | -0.0034% | $0.26 | $0.26 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.8560% | 1.7602% | 1.5467% | 1.5806% | 1.5728% | -0.0078% | $15.55 | $15.55 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDV Del Valle ISD | 0.9489% | $9.38 | 60.3% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $3.72 | 23.9% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $1.17 | 7.5% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $1.02 | 6.6% |
| E04 Travis County ESD # 04 | 0.0266% | $0.26 | 1.7% |
| Total | 1.5728% | $15.55 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $802,327 | $903,322 | -11.2% |
| Assessed Value | $1,065 | $989 | +7.7% |
| Land Value | $802,327 | $903,322 | -11.2% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $1,065 | $989 | +7.7% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$801,262 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$17
Estimated
|
~$16
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $802,327 | $802,327 | — | −$801,262 | $1,065 | $1,065 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $903,322 | $903,322 | — | −$902,333 | $989 | $989 | ~$16 | Partial |
| 2024 | $501,845 | $501,845 | — | −$501,091 | $754 | $754 | $273 | Verified |
| 2023 | $365,969 | $365,969 | — | −$365,105 | $864 | $864 | $289 | Verified |
| 2022 | $365,969 | $365,969 | — | −$365,034 | $935 | $935 | $998 | Verified |
| 2021 | $391,818 | $42,313 | $349,505 | −$205,884 | $185,934 | $48,747 | $1,091 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -11.2% | +7.7% | 0.1% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +80.0% ! | +31.2% | 0.1% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +37.1% | -12.7% | 0.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | -7.6% | 0.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | -6.6% | -99.5% | 0.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 47.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +130.5% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -11.2% | +19.9% | +21.7% | +80.0% | 2025 | -11.2% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.1% | 8.1% | — | 47.5% | 2021 | 0.1% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$16 | $533 | ~$19 | $1,091 | 2021 | $16 | 2025 |
Market value changed by 80% in 2025, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
This parcel has unpaid taxes on record. Delinquent taxes are a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$976,289 | ~$1,172 | ~1.5020% | ~$18 | +21.7% |
| 2028 | ~$1,187,969 | ~$1,289 | ~1.4312% | ~$18 | +48.1% |
| 2029 | ~$1,445,545 | ~$1,418 | ~1.3604% | ~$19 | +80.2% |
| 2030 | ~$1,758,970 | ~$1,559 | ~1.2896% | ~$20 | +119.2% |
| 2031 | ~$2,140,352 | ~$1,715 | ~1.2188% | ~$21 | +166.8% |
| 2027 | ~$960,242 | ~$1,172 | ~1.5728% | ~$18 | +19.7% |
| 2028 | ~$1,149,238 | ~$1,289 | ~1.5728% | ~$20 | +43.2% |
| 2029 | ~$1,375,432 | ~$1,418 | ~1.5728% | ~$22 | +71.4% |
| 2030 | ~$1,646,147 | ~$1,559 | ~1.5728% | ~$25 | +105.2% |
| 2031 | ~$1,970,143 | ~$1,715 | ~1.5728% | ~$27 | +145.6% |
| 2027 | ~$992,335 | ~$1,172 | ~1.4666% | ~$17 | +23.7% |
| 2028 | ~$1,227,341 | ~$1,289 | ~1.3604% | ~$18 | +53.0% |
| 2029 | ~$1,518,001 | ~$1,418 | ~1.2542% | ~$18 | +89.2% |
| 2030 | ~$1,877,496 | ~$1,559 | ~1.1480% | ~$18 | +134.0% |
| 2031 | ~$2,322,127 | ~$1,715 | ~1.0417% | ~$18 | +189.4% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $903,322 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +61% above the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $903,322 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $501,845 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↓ Below median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $365,969 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $365,969 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↓ Below median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $391,818 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| TaxDelqOpenData ↗ | Delinquent-account status and balance due | As of June 20, 2026 — balance grows monthly (Tax Code §33.01) | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |