19317 BLAKE-MANOR RD TX 78653
| Owner | FOWLER ADRIAN R |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0213770203 |
| Short ID | 544893 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 1,392,613 SF |
| Acres | 31.970 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 60 SUR 40 BUCKMAN O ACR 31.97 |
| Neighborhood | _RGN405 |
| Land | $1,214,935 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,214,935 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $1,214,935 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,214,935 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$1,204,606 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $10,329 |
| Taxable Value | $10,329 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +161.5% from $464,673 (2021) to $1,214,935 (2025), a CAGR of 27.2% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2022), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7787% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $184. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 60.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($10,329) is $1,204,606 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($1,214,935 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,214,935, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +7.5% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $1,831,765 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $26,918. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $111.70 | $111.70 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $38.82 | $38.82 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $12.19 | $12.19 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $10.68 | $10.68 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $10.33 | $10.33 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0260% | 1.9676% | 1.6882% | 1.7351% | 1.7787% | +0.0436% | $183.72 | $183.72 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.0814% | $111.70 | 60.8% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $38.82 | 21.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $12.19 | 6.6% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $10.68 | 5.8% |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | $10.33 | 5.6% |
| Total | 1.7787% | $183.72 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,278,800 | $1,214,935 | +5.3% |
| Assessed Value | $10,599 | $10,329 | +2.6% |
| Land Value | $1,278,800 | $1,214,935 | +5.3% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $10,599 | $10,329 | +2.6% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,268,201 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$189
Estimated
|
~$184
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,278,800 | $1,278,800 | — | −$1,268,201 | $10,599 | $10,599 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $1,214,935 | $1,214,935 | — | −$1,204,606 | $10,329 | $10,329 | ~$184 | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,214,935 | $1,214,935 | — | −$1,205,483 | $9,452 | $9,452 | $164 | Verified |
| 2023 | $959,288 | $959,288 | — | −$954,545 | $4,743 | $4,743 | $80 | Verified |
| 2022 | $959,288 | $959,288 | — | −$954,891 | $4,397 | $4,397 | $87 | Verified |
| 2021 | $464,673 | — | — | −$460,225 | $4,448 | $4,448 | $90 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +5.3% | +2.6% | 0.8% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +9.3% | 0.8% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +26.6% | +99.3% | 0.8% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +7.9% | 0.5% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +106.4% ! | -1.1% | 0.5% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 1.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +161.5% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +5.3% | +27.7% | +7.5% | +106.4% | 2022 | +0.0% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.8% | 0.8% | — | 1.0% | 2021 | 0.5% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0200% | 0.0200% | — | 0.0200% | 2025 | 0.0200% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$184 | $121 | ~$25,265 | $184 | 2025 | $80 | 2023 |
Market value changed by 106% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,374,093 | ~$1,374,093 | ~1.7168% | ~$23,591 | +7.5% |
| 2028 | ~$1,476,486 | ~$1,476,486 | ~1.6550% | ~$24,436 | +15.5% |
| 2029 | ~$1,586,510 | ~$1,586,510 | ~1.5932% | ~$25,276 | +24.1% |
| 2030 | ~$1,704,733 | ~$1,704,733 | ~1.5314% | ~$26,106 | +33.3% |
| 2031 | ~$1,831,765 | ~$1,831,765 | ~1.4695% | ~$26,918 | +43.2% |
| 2027 | ~$1,348,517 | ~$1,348,517 | ~1.7787% | ~$23,986 | +5.5% |
| 2028 | ~$1,422,034 | ~$1,422,034 | ~1.7787% | ~$25,293 | +11.2% |
| 2029 | ~$1,499,560 | ~$1,499,560 | ~1.7787% | ~$26,672 | +17.3% |
| 2030 | ~$1,581,312 | ~$1,581,312 | ~1.7787% | ~$28,126 | +23.7% |
| 2031 | ~$1,667,520 | ~$1,667,520 | ~1.7787% | ~$29,660 | +30.4% |
| 2027 | ~$1,399,669 | ~$1,399,669 | ~1.6859% | ~$23,597 | +9.5% |
| 2028 | ~$1,531,962 | ~$1,531,962 | ~1.5932% | ~$24,407 | +19.8% |
| 2029 | ~$1,676,758 | ~$1,676,758 | ~1.5004% | ~$25,159 | +31.1% |
| 2030 | ~$1,835,241 | ~$1,835,241 | ~1.4077% | ~$25,835 | +43.5% |
| 2031 | ~$2,008,703 | ~$2,008,703 | ~1.3150% | ~$26,414 | +57.1% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,214,935 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +116% above the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,214,935 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $1,214,935 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Above median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $959,288 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $959,288 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $464,673 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |