22700 HOG EYE RD TX 78653
| Owner | RAY CHARLES W II |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0215920109 |
| Short ID | 209959 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 1,426,590 SF |
| Acres | 32.750 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 215 SUR 56 DUTY R ACR 32.75 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN307 |
| Land | $1,215,476 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,215,476 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $1,215,476 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,215,476 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$1,209,513 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $5,963 |
| Taxable Value | $5,963 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +312.4% from $294,750 (2021) to $1,215,476 (2025), a CAGR of 42.5% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7787% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $106. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 60.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($5,963) is $1,209,513 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($1,215,476 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,215,476, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +21.2% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $2,574,355 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $37,831. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $64.48 | $64.48 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $22.41 | $22.41 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $7.04 | $7.04 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $6.17 | $6.17 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $5.96 | $5.96 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0260% | 1.9676% | 1.6882% | 1.7351% | 1.7787% | +0.0436% | $106.06 | $106.06 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.0814% | $64.48 | 60.8% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $22.41 | 21.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $7.04 | 6.6% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $6.17 | 5.8% |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | $5.96 | 5.6% |
| Total | 1.7787% | $106.06 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $982,500 | $1,215,476 | -19.2% |
| Assessed Value | $6,335 | $5,963 | +6.2% |
| Land Value | $982,500 | $1,215,476 | -19.2% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $6,335 | $5,963 | +6.2% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$976,165 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$113
Estimated
|
~$106
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $982,500 | $982,500 | — | −$976,165 | $6,335 | $6,335 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $1,215,476 | $1,215,476 | — | −$1,209,513 | $5,963 | $5,963 | ~$106 | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,215,476 | $1,215,476 | — | −$1,210,446 | $5,030 | $5,030 | $87 | Verified |
| 2023 | $454,636 | $454,636 | — | −$449,777 | $4,859 | $4,859 | $82 | Verified |
| 2022 | $454,636 | $454,636 | — | −$450,132 | $4,504 | $4,504 | $89 | Verified |
| 2021 | $294,750 | — | — | −$290,193 | $4,557 | $4,557 | $92 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -19.2% | +6.2% | 0.6% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +18.5% | 0.5% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +167.4% ! | +3.5% | 0.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +7.9% | 1.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +54.2% | -1.2% | 1.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 1.6% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +312.4% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -19.2% | +40.5% | +21.2% | +167.4% | 2024 | -19.2% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.6% | 0.8% | — | 1.5% | 2021 | 0.4% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0100% | 0.0100% | — | 0.0100% | 2025 | 0.0100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$106 | $91 | ~$28,520 | $106 | 2025 | $82 | 2023 |
Market value changed by 167% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,191,241 | ~$1,191,241 | ~1.7168% | ~$20,452 | +21.2% |
| 2028 | ~$1,444,332 | ~$1,444,332 | ~1.6550% | ~$23,904 | +47.0% |
| 2029 | ~$1,751,193 | ~$1,751,193 | ~1.5932% | ~$27,900 | +78.2% |
| 2030 | ~$2,123,251 | ~$2,123,251 | ~1.5314% | ~$32,515 | +116.1% |
| 2031 | ~$2,574,355 | ~$2,574,355 | ~1.4695% | ~$37,831 | +162.0% |
| 2027 | ~$1,171,591 | ~$1,171,591 | ~1.7787% | ~$20,839 | +19.2% |
| 2028 | ~$1,397,075 | ~$1,397,075 | ~1.7787% | ~$24,849 | +42.2% |
| 2029 | ~$1,665,955 | ~$1,665,955 | ~1.7787% | ~$29,632 | +69.6% |
| 2030 | ~$1,986,584 | ~$1,986,584 | ~1.7787% | ~$35,335 | +102.2% |
| 2031 | ~$2,368,920 | ~$2,368,920 | ~1.7787% | ~$42,135 | +141.1% |
| 2027 | ~$1,210,891 | ~$1,210,891 | ~1.6859% | ~$20,415 | +23.2% |
| 2028 | ~$1,492,374 | ~$1,492,374 | ~1.5932% | ~$23,776 | +51.9% |
| 2029 | ~$1,839,291 | ~$1,839,291 | ~1.5004% | ~$27,598 | +87.2% |
| 2030 | ~$2,266,851 | ~$2,266,851 | ~1.4077% | ~$31,910 | +130.7% |
| 2031 | ~$2,793,802 | ~$2,793,802 | ~1.3150% | ~$36,737 | +184.4% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,215,476 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +116% above the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,215,476 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $1,215,476 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Above median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $454,636 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $454,636 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Above median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $294,750 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |