3007 FERGUSON LN TX 78754
| Owner | ALPHA ANCHOR INVESTMENTS LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0233280219 |
| Short ID | 702213 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 99,796 SF |
| Acres | 2.291 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 17-A BLK E WALNUT CK BUSINESS PK PH C AMD LT 16&17< 15 BL E AMD |
| Neighborhood | 1NE1 |
| Land | $287,412 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $287,412 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $287,412 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $287,412 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $287,412 |
| Taxable Value | $287,412 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +33.3% from $215,559 (2021) to $287,412 (2025), a CAGR of 7.5% over 4 years. This represents moderate, steady growth. Most of this growth came in a single year (2022→2023), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.2027% in 2025 (+0.0900% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $6,331. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 49.1% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($287,412 land vs $0 improvements), about $3/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $287,412, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +5.9% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $383,216 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $7,175. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $3,108.07 | $3,108.07 | Paid |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $1,506.09 | $1,506.09 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,080.22 | $1,080.22 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $339.21 | $339.21 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $297.18 | $297.18 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.4670% | 2.3303% | 2.0358% | 2.1127% | 2.2027% | +0.0900% | $6,330.77 | $6,330.77 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.0814% | $3,108.07 | 49.1% |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5240% | $1,506.09 | 23.8% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $1,080.22 | 17.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $339.21 | 5.4% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $297.18 | 4.7% |
| Total | 2.2027% | $6,330.77 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $287,412 | $287,412 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $287,412 | $287,412 | +0.0% |
| Land Value | $287,412 | $287,412 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $287,412 | $287,412 | +0.0% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$6,331
Estimated
|
~$6,331
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $287,412 | $287,412 | — | — | $287,412 | $287,412 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $287,412 | $287,412 | — | — | $287,412 | $287,412 | ~$6,331 | Partial |
| 2024 | $287,412 | $287,412 | — | — | $287,412 | $287,412 | $6,072 | Verified |
| 2023 | $287,412 | $287,412 | — | — | $287,412 | $287,412 | $5,851 | Verified |
| 2022 | $215,559 | $431,118 | — | — | $215,559 | $215,559 | $5,023 | Verified |
| 2021 | $215,559 | $215,559 | — | — | $215,559 | $215,559 | $5,318 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +33.3% | +33.3% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +33.3% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +6.7% | +5.9% | +33.3% | 2023 | +0.0% | 2022 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 100.0% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 2.2000% | 2.2000% | — | 2.2000% | 2025 | 2.2000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$6,331 | $5,719 | ~$6,843 | $6,331 | 2025 | $5,023 | 2022 |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$304,434 | ~$304,434 | ~2.1366% | ~$6,505 | +5.9% |
| 2028 | ~$322,463 | ~$322,463 | ~2.0705% | ~$6,677 | +12.2% |
| 2029 | ~$341,561 | ~$341,561 | ~2.0045% | ~$6,846 | +18.8% |
| 2030 | ~$361,789 | ~$361,789 | ~1.9384% | ~$7,013 | +25.9% |
| 2031 | ~$383,216 | ~$383,216 | ~1.8723% | ~$7,175 | +33.3% |
| 2027 | ~$298,685 | ~$298,685 | ~2.2027% | ~$6,579 | +3.9% |
| 2028 | ~$310,401 | ~$310,401 | ~2.2027% | ~$6,837 | +8.0% |
| 2029 | ~$322,576 | ~$322,576 | ~2.2027% | ~$7,105 | +12.2% |
| 2030 | ~$335,229 | ~$335,229 | ~2.2027% | ~$7,384 | +16.6% |
| 2031 | ~$348,378 | ~$348,378 | ~2.2027% | ~$7,674 | +21.2% |
| 2027 | ~$310,182 | ~$310,182 | ~2.1036% | ~$6,525 | +7.9% |
| 2028 | ~$334,756 | ~$334,756 | ~2.0045% | ~$6,710 | +16.5% |
| 2029 | ~$361,276 | ~$361,276 | ~1.9054% | ~$6,884 | +25.7% |
| 2030 | ~$389,898 | ~$389,898 | ~1.8062% | ~$7,043 | +35.7% |
| 2031 | ~$420,787 | ~$420,787 | ~1.7071% | ~$7,183 | +46.4% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $287,412 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 3× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $287,412 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Above median | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $287,412 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $287,412 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $215,559 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $215,559 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |