N F M RD 973 TX 78653
| Owner | DWYER PETER A |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0241690601 |
| Short ID | 786704 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 186,557 SF |
| Acres | 4.283 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 315 SUR 63 GATES G ACR 4.2828 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _BACRE |
| Land | $321,210 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $321,210 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $321,210 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $321,210 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$319,826 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $1,384 |
| Taxable Value | $1,384 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +87.5% from $171,312 (2021) to $321,210 (2025), a CAGR of 17.0% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2022), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has lagged the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 6 taxing entities is 2.5507% in 2025 (+0.0936% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $35. Wilbarger Creek MUD # 1 is the largest single contributor, at 99.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($1,384) is $319,826 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($321,210 land vs $0 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $321,210, this parcel sits in the lower-middle (25th–50th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +1.7% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $350,141 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $7,483. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U7G Wilbarger Creek MUD # 1 | 0.8555% | 0.8100% | 0.7220% | 0.7220% | 0.7720% | +0.0500% | $2,479.74 | $2,479.74 | Paid |
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $14.97 | $14.97 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $5.20 | $5.20 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $1.63 | $1.63 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $1.43 | $1.43 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $1.38 | $1.38 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.8815% | 2.7776% | 2.4102% | 2.4571% | 2.5507% | +0.0936% | $2,504.35 | $2,504.35 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| U7G Wilbarger Creek MUD # 1 | 0.7720% | $2,479.74 | 99.0% |
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.0814% | $14.97 | 0.6% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $5.20 | 0.2% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $1.63 | 0.1% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $1.43 | 0.1% |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | $1.38 | 0.1% |
| Total | 2.5507% | $2,504.35 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $321,210 | $321,210 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $1,420 | $1,384 | +2.6% |
| Land Value | $321,210 | $321,210 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $1,420 | $1,384 | +2.6% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$319,790 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$36
Estimated
|
~$2,504
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $321,210 | $321,210 | — | −$319,790 | $1,420 | $1,420 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $321,210 | $321,210 | — | −$319,826 | $1,384 | $1,384 | ~$2,504 | Partial |
| 2024 | $321,210 | $642,420 | — | −$319,944 | $1,266 | $1,266 | $1,321 | Verified |
| 2023 | $299,796 | $299,796 | — | −$298,390 | $1,406 | $1,406 | $1,106 | Verified |
| 2022 | $299,796 | $299,796 | — | −$298,361 | $1,435 | $1,435 | $1,242 | Verified |
| 2021 | $171,312 | $85,656 | — | −$84,193 | $87,119 | $1,463 | $762 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +2.6% | 0.4% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +9.3% | 0.4% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +7.1% | -10.0% | 0.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | -2.0% | 0.5% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +75.0% | -98.4% | 0.5% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 50.8% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +87.5% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +16.4% | +1.7% | +75.0% | 2022 | +0.0% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.4% | 8.8% | — | 50.9% | 2021 | 0.4% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.7800% | 0.7800% | — | 0.7800% | 2025 | 0.7800% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$2,504 | $1,387 | ~$7,782 | $2,504 | 2025 | $762 | 2021 |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$326,798 | ~$326,798 | ~2.4680% | ~$8,065 | +1.7% |
| 2028 | ~$332,484 | ~$332,484 | ~2.3853% | ~$7,931 | +3.5% |
| 2029 | ~$338,268 | ~$338,268 | ~2.3026% | ~$7,789 | +5.3% |
| 2030 | ~$344,154 | ~$344,154 | ~2.2199% | ~$7,640 | +7.1% |
| 2031 | ~$350,141 | ~$350,141 | ~2.1372% | ~$7,483 | +9.0% |
| 2027 | ~$320,374 | ~$320,374 | ~2.5507% | ~$8,172 | -0.3% |
| 2028 | ~$319,540 | ~$319,540 | ~2.5507% | ~$8,150 | -0.5% |
| 2029 | ~$318,709 | ~$318,709 | ~2.5507% | ~$8,129 | -0.8% |
| 2030 | ~$317,880 | ~$317,880 | ~2.5507% | ~$8,108 | -1.0% |
| 2031 | ~$317,052 | ~$317,052 | ~2.5507% | ~$8,087 | -1.3% |
| 2027 | ~$333,223 | ~$333,223 | ~2.4266% | ~$8,086 | +3.7% |
| 2028 | ~$345,684 | ~$345,684 | ~2.3026% | ~$7,960 | +7.6% |
| 2029 | ~$358,612 | ~$358,612 | ~2.1785% | ~$7,812 | +11.6% |
| 2030 | ~$372,024 | ~$372,024 | ~2.0545% | ~$7,643 | +15.8% |
| 2031 | ~$385,936 | ~$385,936 | ~1.9304% | ~$7,450 | +20.2% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $321,210 places it in the 25th–50th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — -43% below the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $321,210 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $321,210 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↓ Below median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $299,796 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $299,796 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↓ Below median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $171,312 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↓ Below median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |