8513 HILL LN TX 78653
| Owner | DG MANOR DOWNS PROPERTY OWNER LP |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0242500135 |
| Short ID | 247991 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | E Rural Land (Not Qualified for Open-Space Appraisal) |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 600,257 SF |
| Acres | 13.780 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 732 SUR 51 SANDERS R G ACR 13.79 |
| Neighborhood | _AACRE |
| Land | $1,102,400 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,102,400 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $1,102,400 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,102,400 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$308,672 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $793,728 |
| Taxable Value | $793,728 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +233.3% from $330,720 (2021) to $1,102,400 (2025), a CAGR of 35.1% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7787% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $14,118. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 60.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($793,728) is $308,672 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($1,102,400 land vs $0 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,102,400, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +35.1% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $4,965,210 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $72,965. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $8,583.37 | $8,583.37 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $2,983.19 | $2,983.19 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $936.78 | $936.78 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $820.71 | $820.71 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $793.73 | $793.73 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0260% | 1.9676% | 1.6882% | 1.7351% | 1.7787% | +0.0436% | $14,117.78 | $14,117.78 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.0814% | $8,583.37 | 60.8% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $2,983.19 | 21.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $936.78 | 6.6% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $820.71 | 5.8% |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | $793.73 | 5.6% |
| Total | 1.7787% | $14,117.78 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,102,400 | $1,102,400 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $952,474 | $793,728 | +20.0% |
| Land Value | $1,102,400 | $1,102,400 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $952,474 | $793,728 | +20.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$149,926 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$16,941
Estimated
|
~$14,118
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,102,400 | $1,102,400 | — | −$149,926 | $952,474 | $952,474 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $1,102,400 | $1,102,400 | — | −$308,672 | $793,728 | $793,728 | ~$14,118 | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,102,400 | $1,102,400 | — | −$440,960 | $661,440 | $661,440 | $11,477 | Verified |
| 2023 | $551,200 | $551,200 | — | — | $551,200 | $551,200 | $9,306 | Verified |
| 2022 | $330,720 | $330,720 | — | — | $330,720 | $330,720 | $6,507 | Verified |
| 2021 | $330,720 | $330,720 | — | — | $330,720 | $330,720 | $6,700 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 86.4% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +20.0% | 72.0% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +100.0% ! | +20.0% | 60.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +66.7% | +66.7% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +233.3% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +33.3% | +35.1% | +100.0% | 2024 | +0.0% | 2022 |
| Assessment Ratio | 86.4% | 86.4% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 60.0% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.2800% | 1.2800% | — | 1.2800% | 2025 | 1.2800% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$14,118 | $9,622 | ~$46,290 | $14,118 | 2025 | $6,507 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 100% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,489,563 | ~$1,489,563 | ~1.7168% | ~$25,573 | +35.1% |
| 2028 | ~$2,012,698 | ~$2,012,698 | ~1.6550% | ~$33,310 | +82.6% |
| 2029 | ~$2,719,558 | ~$2,719,558 | ~1.5932% | ~$43,328 | +146.7% |
| 2030 | ~$3,674,667 | ~$3,674,667 | ~1.5314% | ~$56,272 | +233.3% |
| 2031 | ~$4,965,210 | ~$4,965,210 | ~1.4695% | ~$72,965 | +350.4% |
| 2027 | ~$1,467,515 | ~$1,467,515 | ~1.7787% | ~$26,102 | +33.1% |
| 2028 | ~$1,953,556 | ~$1,953,556 | ~1.7787% | ~$34,747 | +77.2% |
| 2029 | ~$2,600,574 | ~$2,600,574 | ~1.7787% | ~$46,256 | +135.9% |
| 2030 | ~$3,461,885 | ~$3,461,885 | ~1.7787% | ~$61,575 | +214.0% |
| 2031 | ~$4,608,462 | ~$4,608,462 | ~1.7787% | ~$81,969 | +318.0% |
| 2027 | ~$1,511,611 | ~$1,511,611 | ~1.6859% | ~$25,485 | +37.1% |
| 2028 | ~$2,072,721 | ~$2,072,721 | ~1.5932% | ~$33,022 | +88.0% |
| 2029 | ~$2,842,116 | ~$2,842,116 | ~1.5004% | ~$42,644 | +157.8% |
| 2030 | ~$3,897,110 | ~$3,897,110 | ~1.4077% | ~$54,860 | +253.5% |
| 2031 | ~$5,343,717 | ~$5,343,717 | ~1.3150% | ~$70,268 | +384.7% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,102,400 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +96% above the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,102,400 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $1,102,400 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Above median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $551,200 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $330,720 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↓ Below median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $330,720 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |