15304 GIESE LN MANOR, TX 78653
| Owner | LUNDGREN HAROLD L |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0242900201 |
| Short ID | 248171 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 00 (unlisted) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 1,518,632 SF |
| Acres | 34.863 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 456 SUR 64 KIMBRO L ACR 44.979 [1-D-1] |
| Neighborhood | _RGN320 |
| Land | $1,353,765 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $1,353,765 |
| Improvement | $53,523 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $53,523 |
| Market | $1,407,288 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $1,407,288 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$1,305,967 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $101,321 |
| Exemptions on file | HS,OV65 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $101,321 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +232.7% from $423,029 (2021) to $1,407,288 (2025), a CAGR of 35.1% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 0.6973% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $706. Travis County ESD # 13 is the largest single contributor, at 65.4% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($101,321) is $1,305,967 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 96% of market value ($1,353,765 land vs $53,523 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $1,407,288, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +18.4% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $2,967,924 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $1,145. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
2 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 298 | LIGHT UTILITY BLDG | 2,400 SF | ✓ |
| 061 | CARPORT ATT 1ST | 400 SF | ✗ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E13 Travis County ESD # 13 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $101.32 | $101.32 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $33.70 | $33.70 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $10.58 | $10.58 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $9.28 | $9.28 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.6740% | 0.6156% | 0.6039% | 0.6537% | 0.6973% | +0.0436% | $154.88 | $154.88 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| E13 Travis County ESD # 13 | 0.1000% | $101.32 | 65.4% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $33.70 | 21.8% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $10.58 | 6.8% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $9.28 | 6.0% |
| Total | 0.6973% | $154.88 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,275,320 | $1,407,288 | -9.4% |
| Assessed Value | $97,862 | $101,321 | -3.4% |
| Land Value | $1,221,797 | $1,353,765 | -9.7% |
| Improvement Value | $53,523 | $53,523 | +0.0% |
| Taxable Value | $97,862 | $101,321 | -3.4% |
| Exemptions | HS,OV65 | HS,OV65 | |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,177,458 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$682
Estimated
|
~$155
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,275,320 | $1,221,797 | $53,523 | −$1,177,458 | $97,862 | $97,862 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $1,407,288 | $1,353,765 | $53,523 | −$1,305,967 | $101,321 | $101,321 | ~$155 | Partial |
| 2024 | $1,407,288 | $1,353,765 | $53,523 | −$1,306,912 | $100,376 | $46,853 | $145 | Verified |
| 2023 | $535,713 | $482,190 | $53,523 | −$473,444 | $62,269 | $8,746 | $106 | Verified |
| 2022 | $648,862 | $595,339 | $53,523 | −$582,302 | $66,560 | $13,037 | $134 | Verified |
| 2021 | $423,029 | $8,215 | $53,523 | −$346,422 | $76,607 | $14,869 | $143 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -9.4% | -3.4% | 7.7% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +0.9% | 7.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +162.7% ! | +61.2% | 7.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | -17.4% | -6.4% | 11.6% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +53.4% | -13.1% | 10.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 18.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +232.7% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -9.4% | +37.9% | +18.4% | +162.7% | 2024 | -17.4% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 7.7% | 10.3% | — | 18.1% | 2021 | 7.1% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0100% | 0.0100% | — | 0.0100% | 2025 | 0.0100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$155 | $137 | ~$941 | $155 | 2025 | $106 | 2023 |
Market value changed by 163% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,510,031 | ~$107,648 | ~0.7031% | ~$757 | +18.4% |
| 2028 | ~$1,787,939 | ~$118,413 | ~0.7089% | ~$839 | +40.2% |
| 2029 | ~$2,116,992 | ~$130,254 | ~0.7147% | ~$931 | +66.0% |
| 2030 | ~$2,506,606 | ~$143,280 | ~0.7206% | ~$1,032 | +96.5% |
| 2031 | ~$2,967,924 | ~$157,608 | ~0.7264% | ~$1,145 | +132.7% |
| 2027 | ~$1,484,525 | ~$107,648 | ~0.6973% | ~$751 | +16.4% |
| 2028 | ~$1,728,047 | ~$118,413 | ~0.6973% | ~$826 | +35.5% |
| 2029 | ~$2,011,518 | ~$130,254 | ~0.6973% | ~$908 | +57.7% |
| 2030 | ~$2,341,489 | ~$143,280 | ~0.6973% | ~$999 | +83.6% |
| 2031 | ~$2,725,589 | ~$157,608 | ~0.6973% | ~$1,099 | +113.7% |
| 2027 | ~$1,535,537 | ~$107,648 | ~0.7060% | ~$760 | +20.4% |
| 2028 | ~$1,848,850 | ~$118,413 | ~0.7147% | ~$846 | +45.0% |
| 2029 | ~$2,226,091 | ~$130,254 | ~0.7235% | ~$942 | +74.6% |
| 2030 | ~$2,680,305 | ~$143,280 | ~0.7322% | ~$1,049 | +110.2% |
| 2031 | ~$3,227,196 | ~$157,608 | ~0.7409% | ~$1,168 | +153.0% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $1,407,288 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +151% above the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1,407,288 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $1,407,288 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $535,713 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $648,862 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Above median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $423,029 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |