15407 GIESE LN TX 78653
| Owner | RIVERA JOSE ANGEL & |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0242900313 |
| Short ID | 248196 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 00 (unlisted) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 2,395,844 SF |
| Acres | 55.001 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 456 SUR 64 KIMBRO L ACR 55.001 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN320 |
| Land | $2,070,590 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $2,070,590 |
| Improvement | $389,917 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $389,917 |
| Market | $2,460,507 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,460,507 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$1,978,173 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $482,334 |
| Taxable Value | $482,334 |
|---|
| Total Due | $3,867.63 |
|---|---|
| First Delinquent | — |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +417.8% from $475,178 (2021) to $2,460,507 (2025), a CAGR of 50.8% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 0.6973% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $3,363. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 53.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($482,334) is $1,978,173 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 84% of market value ($2,070,590 land vs $389,917 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $2,460,507, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +24.7% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $5,811,794 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $42,216. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
Delinquent Taxes: $3,867.63 in unpaid taxes . These become a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
1 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 298 | LIGHT UTILITY BLDG | 12,720 SF | ✓ |
| Entity | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | Rate Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Travis County | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +151 |
| Travis Central Health | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +48 |
| Austin Community College | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +10 |
| Travis County ESD # 13 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0 |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,812.83 | $— | $1,812.83 |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $569.27 | $— | $569.27 |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $498.73 | $— | $498.73 |
| E13 Travis County ESD # 13 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $482.33 | $— | $482.33 |
| Combined Rate | 0.6740% | 0.6156% | 0.6039% | 0.6537% | 0.6973% | +0.0436% | $3,363.16 | $0.00 | $3,363.16 |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $1,812.83 | 53.9% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $569.27 | 16.9% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $498.73 | 14.8% |
| E13 Travis County ESD # 13 | 0.1000% | $482.33 | 14.3% |
| Total | 0.6973% | $3,363.16 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,929,055 | $2,460,507 | -21.6% |
| Assessed Value | $356,596 | $482,334 | -26.1% |
| Land Value | $1,650,030 | $2,070,590 | -20.3% |
| Improvement Value | $279,025 | $389,917 | -28.4% |
| Taxable Value | $356,596 | $482,334 | -26.1% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,572,459 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$2,486
Estimated
|
$3,363 | |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,929,055 | $1,650,030 | $279,025 | −$1,572,459 | $356,596 | $356,596 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $2,460,507 | $2,070,590 | $389,917 | −$1,978,173 | $482,334 | $482,334 | $3,363 | Verified |
| 2024 | $2,165,837 | $2,070,590 | $95,247 | −$1,997,741 | $168,096 | $168,096 | $1,099 | Verified |
| 2023 | $797,294 | $695,565 | $101,729 | −$652,873 | $144,421 | $144,421 | $872 | Verified |
| 2022 | $798,311 | $695,565 | $102,746 | −$652,510 | $145,801 | $145,801 | $898 | Verified |
| 2021 | $475,178 | $14,772 | $68,951 | −$373,345 | $101,833 | $101,833 | $686 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -21.6% | -26.1% | 18.5% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +13.6% | +186.9% | 19.6% | 0.1400% | Verified |
| 2024 | +171.6% ! | +16.4% | 7.8% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | -0.1% | -0.9% | 18.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +68.0% | +43.2% | 18.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 21.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +417.8% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -21.6% | +46.3% | +24.7% | +171.6% | 2024 | -21.6% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 18.5% | 17.3% | — | 21.4% | 2021 | 7.8% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.1400% | 0.1400% | — | 0.1400% | 2025 | 0.1400% | 2025 |
| Tax Amount | $3,363 | $1,384 | ~$28,139 | $3,363 | 2025 | $686 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 172% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
This parcel has unpaid taxes on record. Delinquent taxes are a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$2,405,125 | ~$2,405,125 | ~0.7031% | ~$16,910 | +24.7% |
| 2028 | ~$2,998,685 | ~$2,998,685 | ~0.7089% | ~$21,258 | +55.4% |
| 2029 | ~$3,738,729 | ~$3,738,729 | ~0.7147% | ~$26,722 | +93.8% |
| 2030 | ~$4,661,408 | ~$4,661,408 | ~0.7206% | ~$33,588 | +141.6% |
| 2031 | ~$5,811,794 | ~$5,811,794 | ~0.7264% | ~$42,216 | +201.3% |
| 2027 | ~$2,366,544 | ~$2,366,544 | ~0.6973% | ~$16,501 | +22.7% |
| 2028 | ~$2,903,252 | ~$2,903,252 | ~0.6973% | ~$20,243 | +50.5% |
| 2029 | ~$3,561,679 | ~$3,561,679 | ~0.6973% | ~$24,834 | +84.6% |
| 2030 | ~$4,369,430 | ~$4,369,430 | ~0.6973% | ~$30,467 | +126.5% |
| 2031 | ~$5,360,370 | ~$5,360,370 | ~0.6973% | ~$37,376 | +177.9% |
| 2027 | ~$2,443,707 | ~$2,443,707 | ~0.7060% | ~$17,253 | +26.7% |
| 2028 | ~$3,095,662 | ~$3,095,662 | ~0.7147% | ~$22,126 | +60.5% |
| 2029 | ~$3,921,552 | ~$3,921,552 | ~0.7235% | ~$28,371 | +103.3% |
| 2030 | ~$4,967,780 | ~$4,967,780 | ~0.7322% | ~$36,374 | +157.5% |
| 2031 | ~$6,293,132 | ~$6,293,132 | ~0.7409% | ~$46,628 | +226.2% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,460,507 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 4× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,460,507 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $2,165,837 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $797,294 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $798,311 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Above median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $475,178 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Verified |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| TaxDelqOpenData ↗ | Delinquent-account status and balance due | As of June 20, 2026 — balance grows monthly (Tax Code §33.01) | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |