14401 GREGG MANOR RD TX 78653
| Owner | LIT IDV 130 RANCH LAND LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0251500151 |
| Short ID | 802218 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 10,600,065 SF |
| Acres | 243.344 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 162 SUR 66 CALDWELL W & ABS 732 SUR 51 SANDERS R G VAR SUR ACR 292.8483 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | 1FE2 |
| Land | $21,200,129 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $21,200,129 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $10,600,060 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $10,600,060 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$10,574,292 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $25,768 |
| Taxable Value | $25,768 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +42.7% from $7,430,208 (2021) to $10,600,060 (2025), a CAGR of 9.3% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2025→2026), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has lagged the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7787% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $458. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 60.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($25,768) is $10,574,292 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 200% of market value ($21,200,129 land vs $0 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $10,600,060, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +34.5% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $107,178,770 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $1,575,023. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $278.66 | $278.66 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $96.85 | $96.85 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $30.41 | $30.41 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $26.64 | $26.64 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $25.77 | $25.77 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0260% | 1.9676% | 1.6882% | 1.7351% | 1.7787% | +0.0436% | $458.33 | $458.33 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.0814% | $278.66 | 60.8% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $96.85 | 21.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $30.41 | 6.6% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $26.64 | 5.8% |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | $25.77 | 5.6% |
| Total | 1.7787% | $458.33 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $24,334,400 | $10,600,060 | +129.6% |
| Assessed Value | $25,943 | $25,768 | +0.7% |
| Land Value | $24,334,400 | $21,200,129 | +14.8% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $25,943 | $25,768 | +0.7% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$24,308,457 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$461
Estimated
|
~$458
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $24,334,400 | $24,334,400 | — | −$24,308,457 | $25,943 | $25,943 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $10,600,060 | $21,200,129 | — | −$10,574,292 | $25,768 | $25,768 | ~$458 | Partial |
| 2024 | $19,100,014 | $21,200,129 | — | −$19,074,582 | $25,432 | $25,432 | $441 | Verified |
| 2023 | $7,432,076 | $7,426,135 | $5,941 | −$7,387,765 | $44,311 | $44,311 | $748 | Verified |
| 2022 | $7,432,076 | $7,426,135 | $5,941 | −$7,402,244 | $29,832 | $29,832 | $587 | Verified |
| 2021 | $7,430,208 | — | $5,941 | −$7,402,432 | $27,776 | $27,776 | $563 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +129.6% ! | +0.7% | 0.1% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -44.5% | +1.3% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +157.0% ! | -42.6% | 0.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +48.5% | 0.6% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +0.0% | +7.4% | 0.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +42.7% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +129.6% | +48.4% | +34.5% | +157.0% | 2024 | -44.5% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.1% | 0.3% | — | 0.6% | 2023 | 0.1% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$458 | $559 | ~$1,005,913 | $748 | 2023 | $441 | 2024 |
Market value changed by 157% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$32,733,939 | ~$32,733,939 | ~1.7168% | ~$561,989 | +34.5% |
| 2028 | ~$44,032,758 | ~$44,032,758 | ~1.6550% | ~$728,748 | +80.9% |
| 2029 | ~$59,231,607 | ~$59,231,607 | ~1.5932% | ~$943,669 | +143.4% |
| 2030 | ~$79,676,664 | ~$79,676,664 | ~1.5314% | ~$1,220,134 | +227.4% |
| 2031 | ~$107,178,770 | ~$107,178,770 | ~1.4695% | ~$1,575,023 | +340.4% |
| 2027 | ~$32,247,251 | ~$32,247,251 | ~1.7787% | ~$573,572 | +32.5% |
| 2028 | ~$42,733,135 | ~$42,733,135 | ~1.7787% | ~$760,081 | +75.6% |
| 2029 | ~$56,628,728 | ~$56,628,728 | ~1.7787% | ~$1,007,237 | +132.7% |
| 2030 | ~$75,042,771 | ~$75,042,771 | ~1.7787% | ~$1,334,762 | +208.4% |
| 2031 | ~$99,444,533 | ~$99,444,533 | ~1.7787% | ~$1,768,788 | +308.7% |
| 2027 | ~$33,220,627 | ~$33,220,627 | ~1.6859% | ~$560,075 | +36.5% |
| 2028 | ~$45,351,850 | ~$45,351,850 | ~1.5932% | ~$722,539 | +86.4% |
| 2029 | ~$61,913,048 | ~$61,913,048 | ~1.5004% | ~$928,970 | +154.4% |
| 2030 | ~$84,521,923 | ~$84,521,923 | ~1.4077% | ~$1,189,816 | +247.3% |
| 2031 | ~$115,386,912 | ~$115,386,912 | ~1.3150% | ~$1,517,292 | +374.2% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $10,600,060 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 19× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $10,600,060 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $19,100,014 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $7,432,076 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $7,432,076 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $7,430,208 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |