14401 GREGG MANOR RD 78653
| Owner | LIT IDV RANCH 130 PHASE 1 LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0251500153 |
| Short ID | 983614 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 4,486,157 SF |
| Acres | 102.988 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 732 SUR 51 SANDERS R G ACR 102.988 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | FE2 |
| Land | $2,610,944 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $2,610,944 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $2,610,944 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,610,944 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$2,600,039 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $10,905 |
| Taxable Value | $10,905 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has fallen +0.0% from $2,610,944 (2024) to $2,610,944 (2025), a CAGR of 0.0% over 1 year. Growth has been relatively flat for this asset class. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide fell -2.3%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7787% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $194. Manor ISD is the largest single contributor, at 60.8% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($10,905) is $2,600,039 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($2,610,944 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $2,610,944, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +72.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $116,271,618 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $1,708,645. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.3520% | 1.3520% | 1.0861% | 1.0814% | 1.0814% | +0.0000% | $117.93 | $117.93 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $40.99 | $40.99 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $12.87 | $12.87 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $11.28 | $11.28 | Paid |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.0982% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $10.91 | $10.91 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.0260% | 1.9676% | 1.6882% | 1.7351% | 1.7787% | +0.0436% | $193.98 | $193.98 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IMA Manor ISD | 1.0814% | $117.93 | 60.8% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $40.99 | 21.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $12.87 | 6.6% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $11.28 | 5.8% |
| E12 Travis County ESD # 12 | 0.1000% | $10.91 | 5.6% |
| Total | 1.7787% | $193.98 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $7,724,100 | $2,610,944 | +195.8% |
| Assessed Value | $10,980 | $10,905 | +0.7% |
| Land Value | $7,724,100 | $2,610,944 | +195.8% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $10,980 | $10,905 | +0.7% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$7,713,120 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$195
Estimated
|
~$194
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $7,724,100 | $7,724,100 | — | −$7,713,120 | $10,980 | $10,980 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $2,610,944 | $2,610,944 | — | −$2,600,039 | $10,905 | $10,905 | ~$194 | Partial |
| 2024 | $2,610,944 | $2,610,944 | — | −$2,600,181 | $10,763 | $10,763 | $187 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +195.8% ! | +0.7% | 0.1% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +1.3% | 0.4% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | base year | — | 0.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +0.0% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +195.8% | +97.9% | +72.0% | +195.8% | 2026 | +0.0% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.1% | 0.3% | — | 0.4% | 2024 | 0.1% | 2026 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0100% | 0.0100% | — | 0.0100% | 2025 | 0.0100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$194 | $190 | ~$795,256 | $194 | 2025 | $187 | 2024 |
Market value changed by 196% in 2026, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$13,285,352 | ~$13,285,352 | ~1.7168% | ~$228,088 | +72.0% |
| 2028 | ~$22,850,632 | ~$22,850,632 | ~1.6550% | ~$378,181 | +195.8% |
| 2029 | ~$39,302,790 | ~$39,302,790 | ~1.5932% | ~$626,166 | +408.8% |
| 2030 | ~$67,600,288 | ~$67,600,288 | ~1.5314% | ~$1,035,202 | +775.2% |
| 2031 | ~$116,271,618 | ~$116,271,618 | ~1.4695% | ~$1,708,645 | +1405.3% |
| 2027 | ~$13,130,870 | ~$13,130,870 | ~1.7787% | ~$233,555 | +70.0% |
| 2028 | ~$22,322,308 | ~$22,322,308 | ~1.7787% | ~$397,040 | +189.0% |
| 2029 | ~$37,947,633 | ~$37,947,633 | ~1.7787% | ~$674,962 | +391.3% |
| 2030 | ~$64,510,483 | ~$64,510,483 | ~1.7787% | ~$1,147,427 | +735.2% |
| 2031 | ~$109,666,982 | ~$109,666,982 | ~1.7787% | ~$1,950,612 | +1319.8% |
| 2027 | ~$13,439,834 | ~$13,439,834 | ~1.6859% | ~$226,586 | +74.0% |
| 2028 | ~$23,385,136 | ~$23,385,136 | ~1.5932% | ~$372,568 | +202.8% |
| 2029 | ~$40,689,832 | ~$40,689,832 | ~1.5004% | ~$610,528 | +426.8% |
| 2030 | ~$70,799,780 | ~$70,799,780 | ~1.4077% | ~$996,650 | +816.6% |
| 2031 | ~$123,190,696 | ~$123,190,696 | ~1.3150% | ~$1,619,908 | +1494.9% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,610,944 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 5× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,610,944 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $2,610,944 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |