16601 MANDA CARLSON RD 78653
| Owner | LARA FLORENCIO M & MARISELA G PADRON |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0259900234 |
| Short ID | 975183 |
| Type | Mobile Home |
| Use Code | 12 Mobile Home — Double (PP) |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 1,536 SF |
| Land SF | 258,746 SF |
| Acres | 5.940 |
| Year Built | 2018 |
| Legal | ABS 462 SUR 27 KEMPE J P ACR 5.9400 (TRT 15) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN320 |
| Land | — |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | — |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $132,603 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $132,603 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $132,603 |
| Taxable Value | $132,603 |
|---|
| Total Due | $2,483.97 |
|---|---|
| First Delinquent | 2016 |
| Cause # | GN17005302 |
Appreciation: Market value has fallen -31.9% from $194,842 (2021) to $132,603 (2025), a CAGR of -9.2% over 4 years. Growth has been relatively flat for this asset class. Most of this growth came in a single year (2022→2023), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 0.6973% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $925. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 53.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Submarket Position: At $132,603, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the -18.2% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $26,159 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $190. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
Delinquent Taxes: $2,483.97 in unpaid taxes since 2016. These become a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
1 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 1,536 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $498.38 | $498.38 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $156.50 | $156.50 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $137.11 | $137.11 | Paid |
| E13 Travis County ESD # 13 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $132.60 | $132.60 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.6740% | 0.6156% | 0.6039% | 0.6537% | 0.6973% | +0.0436% | $924.59 | $924.59 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $498.38 | 53.9% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $156.50 | 16.9% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $137.11 | 14.8% |
| E13 Travis County ESD # 13 | 0.1000% | $132.60 | 14.3% |
| Total | 0.6973% | $924.59 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $71,393 | $132,603 | -46.2% |
| Assessed Value | $71,393 | $132,603 | -46.2% |
| Land Value | — | — | — |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $71,393 | $132,603 | -46.2% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$498
Estimated
|
~$925
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $71,393 | — | — | — | $71,393 | $71,393 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $132,603 | — | — | — | $132,603 | $132,603 | ~$925 | Partial |
| 2024 | $135,583 | $425,750 | — | −$4,448 | $131,135 | $131,135 | $1,908 | Verified |
| 2023 | $109,279 | $223,493 | — | — | $109,279 | $109,279 | $1,644 | Verified |
| 2022 | $223,493 | $223,493 | — | — | $223,493 | $223,493 | $561 | Verified |
| 2021 | $194,842 | $194,842 | — | — | $194,842 | $194,842 | $663 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -46.2% | -46.2% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -2.2% | +1.1% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +24.1% | +20.0% | 96.7% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | -51.1% | -51.1% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +14.7% | +14.7% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): -31.9% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -46.2% | -12.1% | -18.2% | +24.1% | 2024 | -51.1% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 99.5% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 96.7% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.7000% | 0.7000% | — | 0.7000% | 2025 | 0.7000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$925 | $1,140 | ~$290 | $1,908 | 2024 | $561 | 2022 |
This parcel has unpaid taxes on record. Delinquent taxes are a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$58,405 | ~$58,405 | ~0.7031% | ~$411 | -18.2% |
| 2028 | ~$47,780 | ~$47,780 | ~0.7089% | ~$339 | -33.1% |
| 2029 | ~$39,088 | ~$39,088 | ~0.7147% | ~$279 | -45.2% |
| 2030 | ~$31,977 | ~$31,977 | ~0.7206% | ~$230 | -55.2% |
| 2031 | ~$26,159 | ~$26,159 | ~0.7264% | ~$190 | -63.4% |
| 2027 | ~$67,823 | ~$67,823 | ~0.6973% | ~$473 | -5.0% |
| 2028 | ~$64,432 | ~$64,432 | ~0.6973% | ~$449 | -9.8% |
| 2029 | ~$61,211 | ~$61,211 | ~0.6973% | ~$427 | -14.3% |
| 2030 | ~$58,150 | ~$58,150 | ~0.6973% | ~$405 | -18.5% |
| 2031 | ~$55,243 | ~$55,243 | ~0.6973% | ~$385 | -22.6% |
| 2027 | ~$59,833 | ~$59,833 | ~0.7060% | ~$422 | -16.2% |
| 2028 | ~$50,145 | ~$50,145 | ~0.7147% | ~$358 | -29.8% |
| 2029 | ~$42,025 | ~$42,025 | ~0.7235% | ~$304 | -41.1% |
| 2030 | ~$35,220 | ~$35,220 | ~0.7322% | ~$258 | -50.7% |
| 2031 | ~$29,517 | ~$29,517 | ~0.7409% | ~$219 | -58.7% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $132,603 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — +57% above the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $132,603 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Above median | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $135,583 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $109,279 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $223,493 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $194,842 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| TaxDelqOpenData ↗ | Delinquent-account status and balance due | As of June 20, 2026 — balance grows monthly (Tax Code §33.01) | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |