16913 MANDA CARLSON RD 78653
| Owner | LD ENERGY PROPCO LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0259900276 |
| Short ID | 977855 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 00 (unlisted) |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 89,777 SF |
| Acres | 2.061 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 462 SUR 27 KEMPE J P ACR 2.061 (TRT 1) |
| Neighborhood | B1314MH |
| Land | $267,763 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $267,763 |
| Improvement | $3,956 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $3,956 |
| Market | $271,719 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $271,719 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $271,719 |
| Taxable Value | $271,719 |
|---|
| Total Due | $37.89 |
|---|---|
| First Delinquent | — |
Appreciation: Market value has fallen -14.7% from $318,685 (2024) to $271,719 (2025), a CAGR of -14.7% over 1 year. Growth has been relatively flat for this asset class. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide fell -2.3%, so this parcel has lagged the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 0.6973% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $1,895. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 53.9% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 99% of market value ($267,763 land vs $3,956 improvements), about $3/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $271,719, this parcel sits in the lower-middle (25th–50th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the -10.5% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $147,110 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $1,069. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
Delinquent Taxes: $37.89 in unpaid taxes . These become a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
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| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | WATER/SEWER INF | 1 SF | ✓ |
| Entity | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | Rate Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Travis County | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +85 |
| Travis Central Health | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +27 |
| Austin Community College | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +6 |
| Travis County ESD # 13 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0 |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,021.24 | $1,003.49 | $17.75 |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $320.69 | $315.11 | $5.58 |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $280.96 | $276.07 | $4.89 |
| E13 Travis County ESD # 13 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $271.72 | $266.99 | $4.73 |
| Combined Rate | 0.6740% | 0.6156% | 0.6039% | 0.6537% | 0.6973% | +0.0436% | $1,894.61 | $1,861.66 | $32.95 |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $1,021.24 | 53.9% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $320.69 | 16.9% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $280.96 | 14.8% |
| E13 Travis County ESD # 13 | 0.1000% | $271.72 | 14.3% |
| Total | 0.6973% | $1,894.61 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $255,530 | $271,719 | -6.0% |
| Assessed Value | $255,530 | $271,719 | -6.0% |
| Land Value | $255,530 | $267,763 | -4.6% |
| Improvement Value | — | $3,956 | — |
| Taxable Value | $255,530 | $271,719 | -6.0% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$1,782
Estimated
|
$1,895 | |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $255,530 | $255,530 | — | — | $255,530 | $255,530 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $271,719 | $267,763 | $3,956 | — | $271,719 | $271,719 | $1,895 | Verified |
| 2024 | $318,685 | $267,763 | $50,922 | — | $318,685 | $318,685 | $2,083 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -6.0% | -6.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -14.7% | -14.7% | ~100% | 0.7000% | Verified |
| 2024 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): -14.7% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -6.0% | -10.3% | -10.5% | -6.0% | 2026 | -14.7% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2024 | 100.0% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.7000% | 0.7000% | — | 0.7000% | 2025 | 0.7000% | 2025 |
| Tax Amount | $1,895 | $1,989 | ~$1,325 | $2,083 | 2024 | $1,895 | 2025 |
This parcel has unpaid taxes on record. Delinquent taxes are a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$228,814 | ~$228,814 | ~0.7031% | ~$1,609 | -10.5% |
| 2028 | ~$204,891 | ~$204,891 | ~0.7089% | ~$1,452 | -19.8% |
| 2029 | ~$183,469 | ~$183,469 | ~0.7147% | ~$1,311 | -28.2% |
| 2030 | ~$164,287 | ~$164,287 | ~0.7206% | ~$1,184 | -35.7% |
| 2031 | ~$147,110 | ~$147,110 | ~0.7264% | ~$1,069 | -42.4% |
| 2027 | ~$242,754 | ~$242,754 | ~0.6973% | ~$1,693 | -5.0% |
| 2028 | ~$230,616 | ~$230,616 | ~0.6973% | ~$1,608 | -9.7% |
| 2029 | ~$219,085 | ~$219,085 | ~0.6973% | ~$1,528 | -14.3% |
| 2030 | ~$208,131 | ~$208,131 | ~0.6973% | ~$1,451 | -18.5% |
| 2031 | ~$197,724 | ~$197,724 | ~0.6973% | ~$1,379 | -22.6% |
| 2027 | ~$233,924 | ~$233,924 | ~0.7060% | ~$1,652 | -8.5% |
| 2028 | ~$214,145 | ~$214,145 | ~0.7147% | ~$1,531 | -16.2% |
| 2029 | ~$196,039 | ~$196,039 | ~0.7235% | ~$1,418 | -23.3% |
| 2030 | ~$179,463 | ~$179,463 | ~0.7322% | ~$1,314 | -29.8% |
| 2031 | ~$164,289 | ~$164,289 | ~0.7409% | ~$1,217 | -35.7% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $271,719 places it in the 25th–50th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — -52% below the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $271,719 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $318,685 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↓ Below median | +23.7% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Verified |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2024 | Verified |
| TaxDelqOpenData ↗ | Delinquent-account status and balance due | As of June 20, 2026 — balance grows monthly (Tax Code §33.01) | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |