ABS 844 SUR 38 ZAMBRANO J & ABS 36 SUR 73 ALLEN B 7.799 ACRES (1-D-1)
| Owner | LAKESIDE MUD NO 5 |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0282650402 |
| Short ID | 964172 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 339,724 SF |
| Acres | 7.799 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 844 SUR 38 ZAMBRANO J & ABS 36 SUR 73 ALLEN B 7.799 ACRES (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _AACRE |
| Land | $779,900 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $779,900 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $779,900 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $779,900 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $779,900 |
| Taxable Value | $779,900 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +100.0% from $389,950 (2023) to $779,900 (2025), a CAGR of 41.4% over 2 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +32.7%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($779,900 land vs $0 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $779,900, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +26.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $2,476,028 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $0. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $779,900 | $779,900 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $779,900 | $779,900 | +0.0% |
| Land Value | $779,900 | $779,900 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | — | — | — |
| Exemptions | — | F | |
| Total Tax | Pending certification | — | |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $779,900 | $779,900 | — | — | $779,900 | $— | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $779,900 | $779,900 | — | — | $779,900 | $— | not in county billing file Why? | Partial |
| 2024 | $779,900 | $779,900 | — | −$311,960 | $467,940 | $— | not in county billing file Why? | Partial |
| 2023 | $389,950 | $389,950 | — | — | $389,950 | $— | not in county billing file Why? | Partial |
| 2022 | $— | — | — | — | $178,987 | $— | $12 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +66.7% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +100.0% ! | +20.0% | 60.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | — | +117.9% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | base year | — | — | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +100.0% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +33.3% | +26.0% | +100.0% | 2024 | +0.0% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 90.0% | — | 100.0% | 2023 | 60.0% | 2024 |
|
Effective Tax Rate (2025)
⚑ Billing data available for 2025 only |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ Billing data available for 2025 only |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Market value changed by 100% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
One or more years have a market value of zero or null — a known anomaly in AJR source files for some parcels. Growth metrics for those years may be unreliable.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$982,612 | ~$982,612 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +26.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,238,014 | ~$1,238,014 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +58.7% |
| 2029 | ~$1,559,800 | ~$1,559,800 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +100.0% |
| 2030 | ~$1,965,225 | ~$1,965,225 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +152.0% |
| 2031 | ~$2,476,028 | ~$2,476,028 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +217.5% |
| 2027 | ~$967,014 | ~$967,014 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +24.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,199,022 | ~$1,199,022 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +53.7% |
| 2029 | ~$1,486,692 | ~$1,486,692 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +90.6% |
| 2030 | ~$1,843,381 | ~$1,843,381 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +136.4% |
| 2031 | ~$2,285,647 | ~$2,285,647 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +193.1% |
| 2027 | ~$998,210 | ~$998,210 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +28.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,277,631 | ~$1,277,631 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +63.8% |
| 2029 | ~$1,635,266 | ~$1,635,266 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +109.7% |
| 2030 | ~$2,093,012 | ~$2,093,012 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +168.4% |
| 2031 | ~$2,678,890 | ~$2,678,890 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +243.5% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $779,900 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — +39% above the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $779,900 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $779,900 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Above median | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $389,950 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | — | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | — | +46.1% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2022–2024 (2022 flagged: assessed exceeds market) | Partial |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |