21154 MELBER LN TX 78653
| Owner | AUSTIN NOME VENTURES LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0283700101 |
| Short ID | 281947 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 00 (unlisted) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 7,825,728 SF |
| Acres | 179.654 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 443 SUR 12 JONES S C ACR 179.654 (28.229 AC IN TRAVIS COUNTY) (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN317 |
| Land | $6,280,662 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $6,280,662 |
| Improvement | $21,487 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $21,487 |
| Market | $6,302,149 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $6,302,149 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $6,302,149 |
| Taxable Value | $6,302,149 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +311.7% from $1,530,894 (2021) to $6,302,149 (2025), a CAGR of 42.4% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 1.6935% in 2025 (+0.0403% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $106,729. Pflugerville ISD is the largest single contributor, at 65.4% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($6,280,662 land vs $21,487 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $6,302,149, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +18.9% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $12,848,981 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $1,369. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
3 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| SO | Sketch Only | 5,456 SF | ✗ |
| 611 | TERRACE | 3,640 SF | ✗ |
| 289 | SHED FV | 4 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPF Pflugerville ISD | 1.3880% | 1.2646% | 1.1092% | 1.1069% | 1.1069% | +0.0000% | $11,361.14 | $11,361.14 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $3,857.65 | $3,857.65 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $1,211.38 | $1,211.38 | Paid |
| E02 Travis County ESD # 02 | 0.0900% | 0.0800% | 0.0773% | 0.0939% | 0.0928% | -0.0011% | $952.13 | $952.13 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.9472% | 1.7615% | 1.5918% | 1.6532% | 1.6935% | +0.0403% | $17,382.30 | $17,382.30 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IPF Pflugerville ISD | 1.1069% | $11,361.14 | 65.4% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $3,857.65 | 22.2% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $1,211.38 | 7.0% |
| E02 Travis County ESD # 02 | 0.0928% | $952.13 | 5.5% |
| Total | 1.6935% | $17,382.30 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $5,411,107 | $6,302,149 | -14.1% |
| Assessed Value | $61,763 | $6,302,149 | -99.0% |
| Land Value | $5,389,620 | $6,280,662 | -14.2% |
| Improvement Value | $21,487 | $21,487 | +0.0% |
| Taxable Value | $61,763 | $6,302,149 | -99.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$5,349,344 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$1,046
Estimated
|
~$17,382
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $5,411,107 | $5,389,620 | $21,487 | −$5,349,344 | $61,763 | $61,763 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $6,302,149 | $6,280,662 | $21,487 | — | $6,302,149 | $6,302,149 | ~$17,382 | Partial |
| 2024 | $6,302,149 | $6,280,662 | $21,487 | −$5,275,756 | $1,026,393 | $1,026,393 | $16,968 | Verified |
| 2023 | $2,709,069 | $2,687,582 | $21,487 | −$2,683,133 | $25,936 | $25,936 | $413 | Verified |
| 2022 | $2,709,069 | $2,687,582 | $21,487 | −$2,683,003 | $26,066 | $26,066 | $459 | Verified |
| 2021 | $1,530,894 | — | $21,487 | −$1,480,539 | $50,355 | $26,106 | $508 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -14.1% | -99.0% | 1.1% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +514.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +132.6% ! | +3857.4% | 16.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | -0.5% | 1.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +77.0% ! | -48.2% | 1.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 3.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +311.7% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -14.1% | +39.1% | +18.9% | +132.6% | 2024 | -14.1% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 1.1% | 20.4% | — | 100.0% | 2025 | 1.0% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.2800% | 0.2800% | — | 0.2800% | 2025 | 0.2800% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$17,382 | $7,146 | ~$1,237 | $17,382 | 2025 | $413 | 2023 |
Market value changed by 77% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$6,432,838 | ~$67,939 | ~1.6301% | ~$1,107 | +18.9% |
| 2028 | ~$7,647,494 | ~$74,733 | ~1.5667% | ~$1,171 | +41.3% |
| 2029 | ~$9,091,503 | ~$82,207 | ~1.5033% | ~$1,236 | +68.0% |
| 2030 | ~$10,808,170 | ~$90,427 | ~1.4399% | ~$1,302 | +99.7% |
| 2031 | ~$12,848,981 | ~$99,470 | ~1.3765% | ~$1,369 | +137.5% |
| 2027 | ~$6,324,616 | ~$67,939 | ~1.6935% | ~$1,151 | +16.9% |
| 2028 | ~$7,392,345 | ~$74,733 | ~1.6935% | ~$1,266 | +36.6% |
| 2029 | ~$8,640,329 | ~$82,207 | ~1.6935% | ~$1,392 | +59.7% |
| 2030 | ~$10,098,999 | ~$90,427 | ~1.6935% | ~$1,531 | +86.6% |
| 2031 | ~$11,803,923 | ~$99,470 | ~1.6935% | ~$1,685 | +118.1% |
| 2027 | ~$6,541,060 | ~$67,939 | ~1.5984% | ~$1,086 | +20.9% |
| 2028 | ~$7,906,972 | ~$74,733 | ~1.5033% | ~$1,123 | +46.1% |
| 2029 | ~$9,558,115 | ~$82,207 | ~1.4082% | ~$1,158 | +76.6% |
| 2030 | ~$11,554,051 | ~$90,427 | ~1.3131% | ~$1,187 | +113.5% |
| 2031 | ~$13,966,781 | ~$99,470 | ~1.2179% | ~$1,211 | +158.1% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $6,302,149 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 11× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $6,302,149 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $6,302,149 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $2,709,069 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $2,709,069 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $1,530,894 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |