SMARTY JONES LN 78610
| Owner | ORDAZ-RODRIGUEZ LEONARDO & |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0369101301 |
| Short ID | 985501 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 5,400 SF |
| Acres | 0.124 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | STALLION RUN UNIT 3 BLK 4 LOT 30 |
| Neighborhood | H1501 |
| Land | $62,881 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $62,881 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $50,305 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $50,305 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$21,505 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $28,800 |
| Taxable Value | $28,800 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +67.7% from $30,000 (2024) to $50,305 (2025), a CAGR of 67.7% over 1 year. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2025→2026), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +27.9%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 8 taxing entities is 2.9169% in 2025 (+0.0275% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $840. Del Valle ISD is the largest single contributor, at 32.5% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($28,800) is $21,505 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 125% of market value ($62,881 land vs $0 improvements), about $12/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $50,305, this parcel sits in the lower-middle (25th–50th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +250.9% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $196,671,057 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $5,596,074. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDV Del Valle ISD | 1.2020% | 1.1846% | 1.0028% | 0.9969% | 0.9489% | -0.0480% | $273.28 | $273.28 | Paid |
| U10F Travis County MUD #26 | 0.6100% | 0.7725% | 0.9000% | 0.9000% | 0.9000% | +0.0000% | $259.20 | $259.20 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $108.24 | $108.24 | Paid |
| CMR City of Mustang Ridge | 0.3882% | 0.3112% | 0.2652% | 0.2388% | 0.2708% | +0.0320% | $77.98 | $77.98 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $33.99 | $33.99 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $29.78 | $29.78 | Paid |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $28.80 | $28.80 | Paid |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $28.80 | $28.80 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.9742% | 2.9737% | 2.8719% | 2.8894% | 2.9169% | +0.0275% | $840.07 | $840.07 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDV Del Valle ISD | 0.9489% | $273.28 | 32.5% |
| U10F Travis County MUD #26 | 0.9000% | $259.20 | 30.9% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $108.24 | 12.9% |
| CMR City of Mustang Ridge | 0.2708% | $77.98 | 9.3% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $33.99 | 4.0% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $29.78 | 3.5% |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | $28.80 | 3.4% |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | $28.80 | 3.4% |
| Total | 2.9169% | $840.07 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $369,474 | $50,305 | +634.5% |
| Assessed Value | $369,474 | $28,800 | +1182.9% |
| Land Value | $62,881 | $62,881 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $306,593 | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $369,474 | $28,800 | +1182.9% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$10,777
Estimated
|
~$840
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $369,474 | $62,881 | $306,593 | — | $369,474 | $369,474 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $50,305 | $62,881 | — | −$21,505 | $28,800 | $28,800 | ~$840 | Partial |
| 2024 | $30,000 | $30,000 | — | — | $30,000 | $30,000 | $867 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +634.5% ! | +1182.9% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +67.7% | -4.0% | 57.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +67.7% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +634.5% | +351.1% | +250.9% | +634.5% | 2026 | +67.7% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 85.8% | — | 100.0% | 2024 | 57.3% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.6700% | 1.6700% | — | 1.6700% | 2025 | 1.6700% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$840 | $853 | ~$1,565,342 | $867 | 2024 | $840 | 2025 |
Market value changed by 634% in 2026, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,296,627 | ~$1,296,627 | ~2.9026% | ~$37,636 | +250.9% |
| 2028 | ~$4,550,368 | ~$4,550,368 | ~2.8883% | ~$131,429 | +1131.6% |
| 2029 | ~$15,969,004 | ~$15,969,004 | ~2.8740% | ~$458,952 | +4222.1% |
| 2030 | ~$56,041,421 | ~$56,041,421 | ~2.8597% | ~$1,602,620 | +15067.9% |
| 2031 | ~$196,671,057 | ~$196,671,057 | ~2.8454% | ~$5,596,074 | +53130.0% |
| 2027 | ~$1,289,238 | ~$1,289,238 | ~2.9169% | ~$37,606 | +248.9% |
| 2028 | ~$4,498,651 | ~$4,498,651 | ~2.9169% | ~$131,223 | +1117.6% |
| 2029 | ~$15,697,535 | ~$15,697,535 | ~2.9169% | ~$457,888 | +4148.6% |
| 2030 | ~$54,774,780 | ~$54,774,780 | ~2.9169% | ~$1,597,749 | +14725.1% |
| 2031 | ~$191,130,428 | ~$191,130,428 | ~2.9169% | ~$5,575,166 | +51630.4% |
| 2027 | ~$1,304,017 | ~$1,304,017 | ~2.8955% | ~$37,758 | +252.9% |
| 2028 | ~$4,602,381 | ~$4,602,381 | ~2.8740% | ~$132,273 | +1145.7% |
| 2029 | ~$16,243,585 | ~$16,243,585 | ~2.8526% | ~$463,357 | +4296.4% |
| 2030 | ~$57,329,904 | ~$57,329,904 | ~2.8311% | ~$1,623,061 | +15416.6% |
| 2031 | ~$202,339,440 | ~$202,339,440 | ~2.8096% | ~$5,684,981 | +54664.2% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $50,305 places it in the 25th–50th percentile for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — -40% below the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $50,305 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↓ Below median | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $30,000 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |