BEAR CREEK RD TX 78652
| Owner | HEJL CLIFF LLC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0447250101 |
| Short ID | 351834 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | 1,034 SF |
| Land SF | 4,121,647 SF |
| Acres | 94.620 |
| Year Built | 1975 |
| Legal | ABS 27 SUR 2 WILSON W ACR 72.7500 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN430 |
| Land | $2,269,233 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $2,269,233 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $2,269,233 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,269,233 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$2,259,366 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $9,867 |
| Taxable Value | $9,867 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +1014.0% from $203,700 (2021) to $2,269,233 (2025), a CAGR of 82.7% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.6225% in 2025 (+0.0183% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $160. Austin ISD is the largest single contributor, at 57.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($9,867) is $2,259,366 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($2,269,233 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land under a ~51-year-old structure, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $2,269,233, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +30.4% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $11,391,624 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $251. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
3 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 536 SF | ✓ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 498 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IAU Austin ISD | 1.0617% | 0.9966% | 0.8595% | 0.9505% | 0.9252% | -0.0253% | $91.29 | $91.29 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $37.08 | $37.08 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $11.65 | $11.65 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $10.20 | $10.20 | Paid |
| E05 Travis County ESD # 05 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $9.87 | $9.87 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.7357% | 1.6122% | 1.4634% | 1.6042% | 1.6225% | +0.0183% | $160.09 | $160.09 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IAU Austin ISD | 0.9252% | $91.29 | 57.0% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $37.08 | 23.2% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $11.65 | 7.3% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $10.20 | 6.4% |
| E05 Travis County ESD # 05 | 0.1000% | $9.87 | 6.2% |
| Total | 1.6225% | $160.09 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $3,019,840 | $2,269,233 | +33.1% |
| Assessed Value | $10,504 | $9,867 | +6.5% |
| Land Value | $3,019,840 | $2,269,233 | +33.1% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $10,504 | $9,867 | +6.5% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$3,009,336 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$170
Estimated
|
~$160
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $3,019,840 | $3,019,840 | — | −$3,009,336 | $10,504 | $10,504 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $2,269,233 | $2,269,233 | — | −$2,259,366 | $9,867 | $9,867 | ~$160 | Partial |
| 2024 | $2,200,000 | $2,269,233 | — | −$2,191,208 | $8,792 | $8,792 | $1,185 | Verified |
| 2023 | $765,840 | $765,840 | — | −$756,092 | $9,748 | $9,748 | $1,686 | Verified |
| 2022 | $1,044,005 | $1,044,005 | — | −$1,037,435 | $6,570 | $6,570 | $1,231 | Verified |
| 2021 | $203,700 | — | — | −$197,099 | $6,601 | $6,601 | $437 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +33.1% | +6.5% | 0.4% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +3.1% | +12.2% | 0.4% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +187.3% ! | -9.8% | 0.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | -26.6% | +48.4% | 1.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +412.5% ! | -0.5% | 0.6% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 3.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +1014.0% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +33.1% | +121.9% | +30.4% | +412.5% | 2022 | -26.6% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.3% | 1.0% | — | 3.2% | 2021 | 0.3% | 2026 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0100% | 0.0100% | — | 0.0100% | 2025 | 0.0100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$160 | $940 | ~$216 | $1,686 | 2023 | $160 | 2025 |
Market value changed by 413% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$3,938,259 | ~$11,554 | ~1.5942% | ~$184 | +30.4% |
| 2028 | ~$5,135,995 | ~$12,710 | ~1.5659% | ~$199 | +70.1% |
| 2029 | ~$6,697,997 | ~$13,981 | ~1.5376% | ~$215 | +121.8% |
| 2030 | ~$8,735,048 | ~$15,379 | ~1.5093% | ~$232 | +189.3% |
| 2031 | ~$11,391,624 | ~$16,917 | ~1.4810% | ~$251 | +277.2% |
| 2027 | ~$3,877,862 | ~$11,554 | ~1.6225% | ~$187 | +28.4% |
| 2028 | ~$4,979,673 | ~$12,710 | ~1.6225% | ~$206 | +64.9% |
| 2029 | ~$6,394,539 | ~$13,981 | ~1.6225% | ~$227 | +111.8% |
| 2030 | ~$8,211,409 | ~$15,379 | ~1.6225% | ~$250 | +171.9% |
| 2031 | ~$10,544,503 | ~$16,917 | ~1.6225% | ~$274 | +249.2% |
| 2027 | ~$3,998,656 | ~$11,554 | ~1.5800% | ~$183 | +32.4% |
| 2028 | ~$5,294,734 | ~$12,710 | ~1.5376% | ~$195 | +75.3% |
| 2029 | ~$7,010,907 | ~$13,981 | ~1.4951% | ~$209 | +132.2% |
| 2030 | ~$9,283,341 | ~$15,379 | ~1.4527% | ~$223 | +207.4% |
| 2031 | ~$12,292,334 | ~$16,917 | ~1.4102% | ~$239 | +307.1% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,269,233 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 4× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,269,233 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $2,200,000 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $765,840 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $1,044,005 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $203,700 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↓ Below median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |