6822 ROUNDED PEBBLE LN 78610
| Owner | MAO ALLISON BARBARA |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0453050202 |
| Short ID | 972247 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 5,309 SF |
| Acres | 0.122 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | TURNERS CROSSING NORTH PHS 2 BLK H LOT 10 |
| Neighborhood | H1501 |
| Land | $62,820 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $62,820 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $50,256 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $50,256 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $50,256 |
| Taxable Value | $50,256 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +67.5% from $30,000 (2023) to $50,256 (2025), a CAGR of 29.4% over 2 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2025→2026), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +18.1%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 0.7973% in 2025 (+0.0436% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $401. P11G is the largest single contributor, at 87.7% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 125% of market value ($62,820 land vs $0 improvements), about $12/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $50,256, this parcel sits in the lower-middle (25th–50th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +129.8% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $23,316,414 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $4,844. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P11G | — | — | — | — | — | — | $2,864.07 | $2,864.07 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $188.88 | $188.88 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $59.31 | $59.31 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $51.96 | $51.96 | Paid |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $50.26 | $50.26 | Paid |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | 0.0949% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $50.26 | $50.26 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.7740% | 0.7054% | 0.7039% | 0.7537% | 0.7973% | +0.0436% | $3,264.74 | $3,264.74 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| P11G | — | $2,864.07 | 87.7% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $188.88 | 5.8% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $59.31 | 1.8% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $51.96 | 1.6% |
| E11 Travis County ESD # 11 | 0.1000% | $50.26 | 1.5% |
| E15 Travis County ESD # 15 | 0.1000% | $50.26 | 1.5% |
| Total | 0.7973% 5 of 6 | $3,264.74 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $363,977 | $50,256 | +624.2% |
| Assessed Value | $363,977 | $50,256 | +624.2% |
| Land Value | $62,820 | $62,820 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $301,157 | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $363,977 | $50,256 | +624.2% |
| Exemptions | HS | None | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$2,902
Estimated
|
~$3,265
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $363,977 | $62,820 | $301,157 | — | $363,977 | $363,977 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $50,256 | $62,820 | — | — | $50,256 | $50,256 | ~$3,265 | Partial |
| 2024 | $48,000 | $60,000 | — | — | $48,000 | $48,000 | $3,736 | Verified |
| 2023 | $30,000 | $30,000 | — | — | $30,000 | $30,000 | $211 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +624.2% ! | +624.2% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +4.7% | +4.7% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +60.0% | +60.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +67.5% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +624.2% | +229.6% | +129.8% | +624.2% | 2026 | +4.7% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2023 | 100.0% | 2023 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 6.5000% | 6.5000% | — | 6.5000% | 2025 | 6.5000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$3,265 | $2,404 | ~$3,988 | $3,736 | 2024 | $211 | 2023 |
Market value changed by 624% in 2026, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$836,357 | ~$400,375 | ~0.8031% | ~$3,215 | +129.8% |
| 2028 | ~$1,921,804 | ~$440,412 | ~0.8089% | ~$3,563 | +428.0% |
| 2029 | ~$4,415,975 | ~$484,453 | ~0.8147% | ~$3,947 | +1113.3% |
| 2030 | ~$10,147,153 | ~$532,899 | ~0.8206% | ~$4,373 | +2687.9% |
| 2031 | ~$23,316,414 | ~$586,189 | ~0.8264% | ~$4,844 | +6306.0% |
| 2027 | ~$829,077 | ~$400,375 | ~0.7973% | ~$3,192 | +127.8% |
| 2028 | ~$1,888,495 | ~$440,412 | ~0.7973% | ~$3,511 | +418.9% |
| 2029 | ~$4,301,668 | ~$484,453 | ~0.7973% | ~$3,862 | +1081.9% |
| 2030 | ~$9,798,460 | ~$532,899 | ~0.7973% | ~$4,249 | +2592.1% |
| 2031 | ~$22,319,209 | ~$586,189 | ~0.7973% | ~$4,673 | +6032.0% |
| 2027 | ~$843,636 | ~$400,375 | ~0.8060% | ~$3,227 | +131.8% |
| 2028 | ~$1,955,404 | ~$440,412 | ~0.8147% | ~$3,588 | +437.2% |
| 2029 | ~$4,532,290 | ~$484,453 | ~0.8235% | ~$3,989 | +1145.2% |
| 2030 | ~$10,505,070 | ~$532,899 | ~0.8322% | ~$4,435 | +2786.2% |
| 2031 | ~$24,348,947 | ~$586,189 | ~0.8409% | ~$4,929 | +6589.7% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $50,256 places it in the 25th–50th percentile for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — -40% below the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $50,256 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↓ Below median | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $48,000 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $30,000 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↓ Below median | +0.0% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2023–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |