HORSETHIEF TRL TX 78652
| Owner | CAPITAL LAND INVESTMENTS I LP |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0456270113 |
| Short ID | 352596 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 9,879,408 SF |
| Acres | 226.800 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 11 SUR 3 EGGLESTON SVR ACR 226.8000 (1-D-1) (174.636 AC IN TRAVIS CO) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN430 |
| Land | $6,774,949 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $6,774,949 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $6,774,949 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $6,774,949 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$6,754,857 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $20,092 |
| Taxable Value | $20,092 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +1038.0% from $595,350 (2021) to $6,774,949 (2025), a CAGR of 83.7% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.6225% in 2025 (+0.0183% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $326. Austin ISD is the largest single contributor, at 57.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($20,092) is $6,754,857 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($6,774,949 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $6,774,949, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +31.5% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $26,606,317 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $394,027. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IAU Austin ISD | 1.0617% | 0.9966% | 0.8595% | 0.9505% | 0.9252% | -0.0253% | $143.14 | $143.14 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $58.15 | $58.15 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $18.26 | $18.26 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $16.00 | $16.00 | Paid |
| E05 Travis County ESD # 05 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $15.47 | $15.47 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.7357% | 1.6122% | 1.4634% | 1.6042% | 1.6225% | +0.0183% | $251.02 | $251.02 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IAU Austin ISD | 0.9252% | $143.14 | 57.0% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $58.15 | 23.2% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $18.26 | 7.3% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $16.00 | 6.4% |
| E05 Travis County ESD # 05 | 0.1000% | $15.47 | 6.2% |
| Total | 1.6225% | $251.02 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $6,774,949 | $6,774,949 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $18,625 | $20,092 | -7.3% |
| Land Value | $9,072,000 | $6,774,949 | +33.9% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $18,625 | $20,092 | -7.3% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$6,756,324 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$302
Estimated
|
~$251
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $6,774,949 | $9,072,000 | — | −$6,756,324 | $18,625 | $18,625 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $6,774,949 | $6,774,949 | — | −$6,754,857 | $20,092 | $20,092 | ~$251 | Partial |
| 2024 | $6,774,949 | $6,774,949 | — | −$6,762,263 | $12,686 | $12,686 | $204 | Verified |
| 2023 | $2,268,000 | $2,268,000 | — | −$2,255,643 | $12,357 | $12,357 | $181 | Verified |
| 2022 | $2,268,000 | $2,268,000 | — | −$2,256,638 | $11,362 | $11,362 | $183 | Verified |
| 2021 | $595,350 | — | — | −$582,558 | $12,792 | $9,850 | $171 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | -7.3% | 0.3% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +58.4% | 0.3% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +198.7% ! | +2.7% | 0.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +8.8% | 0.5% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +281.0% ! | -11.2% | 0.5% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 2.2% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +1038.0% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +95.9% | +31.5% | +281.0% | 2022 | +0.0% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.3% | 0.7% | — | 2.1% | 2021 | 0.2% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$251 | $198 | ~$252,301 | $251 | 2025 | $171 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 281% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$8,906,802 | ~$8,906,802 | ~1.5942% | ~$141,989 | +31.5% |
| 2028 | ~$11,709,478 | ~$11,709,478 | ~1.5659% | ~$183,354 | +72.8% |
| 2029 | ~$15,394,063 | ~$15,394,063 | ~1.5376% | ~$236,693 | +127.2% |
| 2030 | ~$20,238,066 | ~$20,238,066 | ~1.5093% | ~$305,444 | +198.7% |
| 2031 | ~$26,606,317 | ~$26,606,317 | ~1.4810% | ~$394,027 | +292.7% |
| 2027 | ~$8,771,303 | ~$8,771,303 | ~1.6225% | ~$142,312 | +29.5% |
| 2028 | ~$11,355,916 | ~$11,355,916 | ~1.6225% | ~$184,246 | +67.6% |
| 2029 | ~$14,702,129 | ~$14,702,129 | ~1.6225% | ~$238,537 | +117.0% |
| 2030 | ~$19,034,360 | ~$19,034,360 | ~1.6225% | ~$308,826 | +181.0% |
| 2031 | ~$24,643,157 | ~$24,643,157 | ~1.6225% | ~$399,827 | +263.7% |
| 2027 | ~$9,042,301 | ~$9,042,301 | ~1.5800% | ~$142,870 | +33.5% |
| 2028 | ~$12,068,460 | ~$12,068,460 | ~1.5376% | ~$185,560 | +78.1% |
| 2029 | ~$16,107,374 | ~$16,107,374 | ~1.4951% | ~$240,822 | +137.7% |
| 2030 | ~$21,497,980 | ~$21,497,980 | ~1.4527% | ~$312,291 | +217.3% |
| 2031 | ~$28,692,643 | ~$28,692,643 | ~1.4102% | ~$404,623 | +323.5% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $6,774,949 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 12× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $6,774,949 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $6,774,949 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $2,268,000 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $2,268,000 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $595,350 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |