F M RD 1431 TX 78641
| Owner | COFFEE RUSSELL & |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0501060201 |
| Short ID | 352928 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 6,690,380 SF |
| Acres | 153.590 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 2139 SUR 38 WEMBERLE E A ACR 153.590 (1-D-1w) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN150 |
| Land | $5,244,268 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $5,244,268 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $2,522,551 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,522,551 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$2,506,803 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $15,748 |
| Taxable Value | $15,748 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +66.6% from $1,514,003 (2021) to $2,522,551 (2025), a CAGR of 13.6% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2022), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has lagged the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 0.6938% in 2025 (+0.0504% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $109. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 54.2% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($15,748) is $2,506,803 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 208% of market value ($5,244,268 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $2,522,551, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the -11.9% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $1,221,545 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $8,852. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $59.19 | $59.19 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $18.59 | $18.59 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $15.75 | $15.75 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $15.74 | $15.74 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.6692% | 0.5953% | 0.5895% | 0.6434% | 0.6938% | +0.0504% | $109.27 | $109.27 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $59.19 | 54.2% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $18.59 | 17.0% |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | $15.75 | 14.4% |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | $15.74 | 14.4% |
| Total | 0.6938% | $109.27 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,303,850 | $2,522,551 | -8.7% |
| Assessed Value | $16,227 | $15,748 | +3.0% |
| Land Value | $2,303,850 | $5,244,268 | -56.1% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $16,227 | $15,748 | +3.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$2,287,623 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$113
Estimated
|
~$109
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $2,303,850 | $2,303,850 | — | −$2,287,623 | $16,227 | $16,227 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $2,522,551 | $5,244,268 | — | −$2,506,803 | $15,748 | $15,748 | ~$109 | Partial |
| 2024 | $3,400,000 | $5,363,177 | — | −$3,385,523 | $14,477 | $14,477 | $93 | Verified |
| 2023 | $3,827,277 | $3,827,277 | — | −$3,812,689 | $14,588 | $14,588 | $86 | Verified |
| 2022 | $3,827,277 | $3,827,277 | — | −$3,813,377 | $13,900 | $13,900 | $83 | Verified |
| 2021 | $1,514,003 | — | — | −$1,500,800 | $13,203 | $13,203 | $88 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -8.7% | +3.0% | 0.7% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -25.8% | +8.8% | 0.6% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -11.2% | -0.8% | 0.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +4.9% | 0.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +152.8% ! | +5.3% | 0.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.9% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +66.6% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -8.7% | +21.4% | -11.9% | +152.8% | 2022 | -25.8% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.7% | 0.6% | — | 0.9% | 2021 | 0.4% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$109 | $92 | ~$11,372 | $109 | 2025 | $83 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 153% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$2,029,295 | ~$2,029,295 | ~0.7000% | ~$14,205 | -11.9% |
| 2028 | ~$1,787,460 | ~$1,787,460 | ~0.7062% | ~$12,622 | -22.4% |
| 2029 | ~$1,574,445 | ~$1,574,445 | ~0.7123% | ~$11,215 | -31.7% |
| 2030 | ~$1,386,815 | ~$1,386,815 | ~0.7185% | ~$9,964 | -39.8% |
| 2031 | ~$1,221,545 | ~$1,221,545 | ~0.7247% | ~$8,852 | -47.0% |
| 2027 | ~$2,188,658 | ~$2,188,658 | ~0.6938% | ~$15,186 | -5.0% |
| 2028 | ~$2,079,225 | ~$2,079,225 | ~0.6938% | ~$14,426 | -9.7% |
| 2029 | ~$1,975,263 | ~$1,975,263 | ~0.6938% | ~$13,705 | -14.3% |
| 2030 | ~$1,876,500 | ~$1,876,500 | ~0.6938% | ~$13,020 | -18.5% |
| 2031 | ~$1,782,675 | ~$1,782,675 | ~0.6938% | ~$12,369 | -22.6% |
| 2027 | ~$2,075,372 | ~$2,075,372 | ~0.7031% | ~$14,592 | -9.9% |
| 2028 | ~$1,869,553 | ~$1,869,553 | ~0.7123% | ~$13,317 | -18.9% |
| 2029 | ~$1,684,146 | ~$1,684,146 | ~0.7216% | ~$12,152 | -26.9% |
| 2030 | ~$1,517,126 | ~$1,517,126 | ~0.7308% | ~$11,087 | -34.1% |
| 2031 | ~$1,366,669 | ~$1,366,669 | ~0.7401% | ~$10,114 | -40.7% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,522,551 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 4× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,522,551 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $3,400,000 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $3,827,277 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $3,827,277 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $1,514,003 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |