COW CREEK RD TX 78654
| Owner | HARVEY LAUREL |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0525060106 |
| Short ID | 354721 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 7,092,004 SF |
| Acres | 162.810 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 2465 SUR 186 HEINER H ACR 162.8100 (1-D-1) (33.0000AC IN TRAVIS CO) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN145 |
| Land | $5,682,853 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $5,682,853 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $5,682,853 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $5,682,853 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$5,666,160 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $16,693 |
| Taxable Value | $16,693 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +249.6% from $1,625,518 (2021) to $5,682,853 (2025), a CAGR of 36.7% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 6 taxing entities is 1.8841% in 2025 (+0.0525% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $315. Leander ISD is the largest single contributor, at 57.7% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($16,693) is $5,666,160 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($5,682,853 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $5,682,853, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the -11.9% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $1,295,783 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $20,740. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILE Leander ISD | 1.3370% | 1.2746% | 1.1087% | 1.0869% | 1.0869% | +0.0000% | $36.29 | $36.29 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $12.55 | $12.55 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $3.94 | $3.94 | Paid |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $3.45 | $3.45 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $3.34 | $3.34 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $3.34 | $3.34 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.1110% | 1.9686% | 1.7968% | 1.8316% | 1.8841% | +0.0525% | $62.91 | $62.91 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILE Leander ISD | 1.0869% | $36.29 | 57.7% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $12.55 | 19.9% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $3.94 | 6.3% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $3.45 | 5.5% |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | $3.34 | 5.3% |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | $3.34 | 5.3% |
| Total | 1.8841% | $62.91 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,442,150 | $5,682,853 | -57.0% |
| Assessed Value | $17,201 | $16,693 | +3.0% |
| Land Value | $2,442,150 | $5,682,853 | -57.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $17,201 | $16,693 | +3.0% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$2,424,949 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$324
Estimated
|
~$63
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $2,442,150 | $2,442,150 | — | −$2,424,949 | $17,201 | $17,201 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $5,682,853 | $5,682,853 | — | −$5,666,160 | $16,693 | $16,693 | ~$63 | Partial |
| 2024 | $5,682,853 | $5,682,853 | — | −$5,679,784 | $3,069 | $3,069 | $56 | Verified |
| 2023 | $4,054,753 | $4,054,753 | — | −$4,051,660 | $3,093 | $3,093 | $56 | Verified |
| 2022 | $4,054,753 | $4,054,753 | — | −$4,051,806 | $2,947 | $2,947 | $58 | Verified |
| 2021 | $1,625,518 | — | — | −$1,611,523 | $13,995 | $2,799 | $59 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -57.0% | +3.0% | 0.7% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +443.9% | 0.3% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +40.2% | -0.8% | 0.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +5.0% | 0.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +149.4% ! | -78.9% | 0.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.9% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +249.6% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -57.0% | +26.5% | -11.9% | +149.4% | 2022 | -57.0% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.7% | 0.4% | — | 0.9% | 2021 | 0.1% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$63 | $58 | ~$29,322 | $63 | 2025 | $56 | 2023 |
Market value changed by 149% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$2,151,416 | ~$2,151,416 | ~1.8274% | ~$39,315 | -11.9% |
| 2028 | ~$1,895,293 | ~$1,895,293 | ~1.7707% | ~$33,560 | -22.4% |
| 2029 | ~$1,669,661 | ~$1,669,661 | ~1.7140% | ~$28,618 | -31.6% |
| 2030 | ~$1,470,890 | ~$1,470,890 | ~1.6573% | ~$24,377 | -39.8% |
| 2031 | ~$1,295,783 | ~$1,295,783 | ~1.6006% | ~$20,740 | -46.9% |
| 2027 | ~$2,320,042 | ~$2,320,042 | ~1.8841% | ~$43,713 | -5.0% |
| 2028 | ~$2,204,040 | ~$2,204,040 | ~1.8841% | ~$41,527 | -9.8% |
| 2029 | ~$2,093,838 | ~$2,093,838 | ~1.8841% | ~$39,451 | -14.3% |
| 2030 | ~$1,989,146 | ~$1,989,146 | ~1.8841% | ~$37,478 | -18.5% |
| 2031 | ~$1,889,689 | ~$1,889,689 | ~1.8841% | ~$35,604 | -22.6% |
| 2027 | ~$2,200,259 | ~$2,200,259 | ~1.7991% | ~$39,584 | -9.9% |
| 2028 | ~$1,982,326 | ~$1,982,326 | ~1.7140% | ~$33,977 | -18.8% |
| 2029 | ~$1,785,980 | ~$1,785,980 | ~1.6289% | ~$29,092 | -26.9% |
| 2030 | ~$1,609,081 | ~$1,609,081 | ~1.5439% | ~$24,842 | -34.1% |
| 2031 | ~$1,449,704 | ~$1,449,704 | ~1.4588% | ~$21,148 | -40.6% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $5,682,853 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 10× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $5,682,853 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $5,682,853 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $4,054,753 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $4,054,753 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $1,625,518 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |