SINGLETON BEND RD TX 78654
| Owner | FELPS JEFFREY D & CATHY L |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0583060222 |
| Short ID | 902403 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 4,047,421 SF |
| Acres | 92.916 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 311 SUR 4 GORHAM I ACR 92.916 (1-D-1W) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN140 |
| Land | $3,251,367 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $3,251,367 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $3,251,367 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $3,251,367 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$3,240,590 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $10,777 |
| Taxable Value | $10,777 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +235.9% from $967,824 (2021) to $3,251,367 (2025), a CAGR of 35.4% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2023→2024), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 0.6938% in 2025 (+0.0504% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $75. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 54.2% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($10,777) is $3,240,590 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($3,251,367 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $3,251,367, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +7.5% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $1,997,260 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $14,473. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $40.50 | $40.50 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $12.72 | $12.72 | Paid |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $10.78 | $10.78 | Paid |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | 0.0784% | 0.0842% | 0.0910% | 0.1000% | +0.0090% | $10.77 | $10.77 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.6692% | 0.5953% | 0.5895% | 0.6434% | 0.6938% | +0.0504% | $74.77 | $74.77 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $40.50 | 54.2% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $12.72 | 17.0% |
| E01 Travis County ESD # 01 | 0.1000% | $10.78 | 14.4% |
| E07 Travis County ESD # 07 | 0.1000% | $10.77 | 14.4% |
| Total | 0.6938% | $74.77 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,393,740 | $3,251,367 | -57.1% |
| Assessed Value | $9,963 | $10,777 | -7.6% |
| Land Value | $1,393,740 | $3,251,367 | -57.1% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $9,963 | $10,777 | -7.6% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,383,777 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$69
Estimated
|
~$75
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,393,740 | $1,393,740 | — | −$1,383,777 | $9,963 | $9,963 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $3,251,367 | $3,251,367 | — | −$3,240,590 | $10,777 | $10,777 | ~$75 | Partial |
| 2024 | $3,251,367 | $3,251,367 | — | −$3,241,117 | $10,250 | $10,250 | $66 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,393,509 | $1,393,509 | — | −$1,383,346 | $10,163 | $10,163 | $60 | Verified |
| 2022 | $1,045,152 | $929,160 | $115,992 | −$1,035,736 | $9,416 | $9,416 | $56 | Verified |
| 2021 | $967,824 | — | — | −$959,177 | $8,647 | $8,647 | $58 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -57.1% | -7.6% | 0.7% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +5.1% | 0.3% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +133.3% ! | +0.9% | 0.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +33.3% | +7.9% | 0.7% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +8.0% | +8.9% | 0.9% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.9% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +235.9% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -57.1% | +23.5% | +7.5% | +133.3% | 2024 | -57.1% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.7% | 0.6% | — | 0.9% | 2021 | 0.3% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$75 | $63 | ~$12,399 | $75 | 2025 | $56 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 133% in 2024, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,497,726 | ~$1,497,726 | ~0.7000% | ~$10,484 | +7.5% |
| 2028 | ~$1,609,470 | ~$1,609,470 | ~0.7062% | ~$11,365 | +15.5% |
| 2029 | ~$1,729,551 | ~$1,729,551 | ~0.7123% | ~$12,320 | +24.1% |
| 2030 | ~$1,858,592 | ~$1,858,592 | ~0.7185% | ~$13,354 | +33.4% |
| 2031 | ~$1,997,260 | ~$1,997,260 | ~0.7247% | ~$14,473 | +43.3% |
| 2027 | ~$1,469,851 | ~$1,469,851 | ~0.6938% | ~$10,198 | +5.5% |
| 2028 | ~$1,550,119 | ~$1,550,119 | ~0.6938% | ~$10,755 | +11.2% |
| 2029 | ~$1,634,769 | ~$1,634,769 | ~0.6938% | ~$11,343 | +17.3% |
| 2030 | ~$1,724,043 | ~$1,724,043 | ~0.6938% | ~$11,962 | +23.7% |
| 2031 | ~$1,818,192 | ~$1,818,192 | ~0.6938% | ~$12,615 | +30.5% |
| 2027 | ~$1,525,601 | ~$1,525,601 | ~0.7031% | ~$10,726 | +9.5% |
| 2028 | ~$1,669,937 | ~$1,669,937 | ~0.7123% | ~$11,895 | +19.8% |
| 2029 | ~$1,827,928 | ~$1,827,928 | ~0.7216% | ~$13,190 | +31.2% |
| 2030 | ~$2,000,867 | ~$2,000,867 | ~0.7308% | ~$14,623 | +43.6% |
| 2031 | ~$2,190,168 | ~$2,190,168 | ~0.7401% | ~$16,209 | +57.1% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $3,251,367 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 6× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $3,251,367 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $3,251,367 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $1,393,509 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $1,045,152 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $967,824 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |