CRUMLEY RANCH RD TX 78738
| Owner | S-A INVESTMENTS NORTH LP |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0102870204 |
| Short ID | 103125 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 6,122,432 SF |
| Acres | 140.552 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 643 SUR 644 POGUE J & VAR SURS ACR 140.5517 (1-D-1W) |
| Neighborhood | _RGN220 |
| Land | $5,610,551 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $5,610,551 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $4,216,551 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $4,216,551 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$4,201,045 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $15,506 |
| Taxable Value | $15,506 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +202.8% from $1,392,682 (2021) to $4,216,551 (2025), a CAGR of 31.9% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2025→2026), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 1.6240% in 2025 (+0.0184% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $252. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 64.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($15,506) is $4,201,045 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 133% of market value ($5,610,551 land vs $0 improvements), about $1/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $4,216,551, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +45.6% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $58,539,588 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $822,380. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $161.22 | $161.22 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $58.28 | $58.28 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $18.30 | $18.30 | Paid |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $14.02 | $14.02 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.7993% | 1.7157% | 1.5625% | 1.6056% | 1.6240% | +0.0184% | $251.82 | $251.82 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.0397% | $161.22 | 64.0% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $58.28 | 23.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $18.30 | 7.3% |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.0904% | $14.02 | 5.6% |
| Total | 1.6240% | $251.82 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $8,936,290 | $4,216,551 | +111.9% |
| Assessed Value | $19,165 | $15,506 | +23.6% |
| Land Value | $8,936,290 | $5,610,551 | +59.3% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $19,165 | $15,506 | +23.6% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$8,917,125 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$311
Estimated
|
~$252
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $8,936,290 | $8,936,290 | — | −$8,917,125 | $19,165 | $19,165 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $4,216,551 | $5,610,551 | — | −$4,201,045 | $15,506 | $15,506 | ~$252 | Partial |
| 2024 | $4,216,551 | $5,610,551 | — | −$4,201,045 | $15,506 | $15,506 | $249 | Verified |
| 2023 | $3,574,279 | $3,574,279 | — | −$3,558,905 | $15,374 | $15,374 | $240 | Verified |
| 2022 | $1,986,659 | $1,986,659 | — | −$1,972,415 | $14,244 | $14,244 | $244 | Verified |
| 2021 | $1,392,682 | — | — | −$1,379,602 | $13,080 | $13,080 | $235 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +111.9% ! | +23.6% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +0.0% | 0.4% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +18.0% | +0.9% | 0.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +79.9% ! | +7.9% | 0.4% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +42.6% | +8.9% | 0.7% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.9% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +202.8% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +111.9% | +50.5% | +45.6% | +111.9% | 2026 | +0.0% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.2% | 0.5% | — | 0.9% | 2021 | 0.2% | 2026 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0100% | 0.0100% | — | 0.0100% | 2025 | 0.0100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$252 | $244 | ~$462,692 | $252 | 2025 | $235 | 2021 |
Market value changed by 80% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$13,014,148 | ~$13,014,148 | ~1.5801% | ~$205,642 | +45.6% |
| 2028 | ~$18,952,837 | ~$18,952,837 | ~1.5363% | ~$291,175 | +112.1% |
| 2029 | ~$27,601,501 | ~$27,601,501 | ~1.4925% | ~$411,948 | +208.9% |
| 2030 | ~$40,196,772 | ~$40,196,772 | ~1.4487% | ~$582,313 | +349.8% |
| 2031 | ~$58,539,588 | ~$58,539,588 | ~1.4048% | ~$822,380 | +555.1% |
| 2027 | ~$12,835,422 | ~$12,835,422 | ~1.6240% | ~$208,443 | +43.6% |
| 2028 | ~$18,435,845 | ~$18,435,845 | ~1.6240% | ~$299,392 | +106.3% |
| 2029 | ~$26,479,876 | ~$26,479,876 | ~1.6240% | ~$430,024 | +196.3% |
| 2030 | ~$38,033,724 | ~$38,033,724 | ~1.6240% | ~$617,655 | +325.6% |
| 2031 | ~$54,628,811 | ~$54,628,811 | ~1.6240% | ~$887,154 | +511.3% |
| 2027 | ~$13,192,874 | ~$13,192,874 | ~1.5582% | ~$205,575 | +47.6% |
| 2028 | ~$19,476,977 | ~$19,476,977 | ~1.4925% | ~$290,691 | +118.0% |
| 2029 | ~$28,754,360 | ~$28,754,360 | ~1.4267% | ~$410,250 | +221.8% |
| 2030 | ~$42,450,797 | ~$42,450,797 | ~1.3610% | ~$577,755 | +375.0% |
| 2031 | ~$62,671,198 | ~$62,671,198 | ~1.2953% | ~$811,753 | +601.3% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $4,216,551 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 8× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $4,216,551 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $4,216,551 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $3,574,279 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $1,986,659 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $1,392,682 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |