2916 S MO-PAC EXPRESSWAY TX 78746
| Owner | DILLARDS PROPERTIES INC |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0104160102 |
| Short ID | 104321 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 46 Discount Store (>25,000 SF) |
| Valuation | Income |
| Improvement SF | 216,012 SF |
| Land SF | 601,607 SF |
| Acres | 13.811 |
| Year Built | 1981 |
| Legal | LOT 5 AMENDED LTS 5-7 BARTON CREEK SQUARE |
| Neighborhood | 40SWE |
| Land | $6,016,070 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $6,016,070 |
| Improvement | $23,479,999 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $23,479,999 |
| Market | $29,496,069 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $29,496,069 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $29,496,069 |
| Taxable Value | $29,496,069 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +136.0% from $12,497,000 (2021) to $29,496,069 (2025), a CAGR of 23.9% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Commercial parcel countywide rose +17.8%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader commercial market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.9535% in 2025 (+0.0367% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $576,201. Eanes ISD is the largest single contributor, at 42.6% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Commercial. No homestead exemptions apply — full market value is taxable. This is valued using the income approach, so changes in rent roll or occupancy move the appraisal more directly than they would for a cost-approach property.
Value Composition: Land carries 20% of market value ($6,016,070 land vs $23,479,999 improvements), about $10/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~45 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Submarket Position: At $29,496,069, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Commercial property in Travis County — county median $1,382,921 (P25 $632,506 / P75 $3,258,143, n=13,595). Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +19.8% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $75,828,912 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $830,728. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
7 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 551 | PAVED AREA | 498,906 SF | ✗ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 104,792 SF | ✓ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 103,817 SF | ✓ |
| 3RD | 3rd Floor | 7,403 SF | ✓ |
| 501 | CANOPY | 907 SF | ✗ |
| SO | Sketch Only | 889 SF | ✗ |
| 407 | LOADING DOCK | 290 SF | ✓ |
| Entity | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | Rate Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eanes ISD | 0.8855% | 0.8322% | -4,797 |
| City of Austin | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +4,178 |
| Travis County | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +2,826 |
| Travis Central Health | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +905 |
| Austin Community College | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +189 |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IEA Eanes ISD | 1.0608% | 1.0046% | 0.8880% | 0.8855% | 0.8322% | -0.0533% | $74,898.00 | $— | $74,898.00 |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5410% | 0.4627% | 0.4458% | 0.4776% | 0.5240% | +0.0464% | $47,161.53 | $— | $47,161.53 |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $33,826.05 | $— | $33,826.05 |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $10,622.07 | $— | $10,622.07 |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1048% | 0.0987% | 0.0986% | 0.1013% | 0.1034% | +0.0021% | $9,306.00 | $— | $9,306.00 |
| Combined Rate | 2.1758% | 1.9829% | 1.8377% | 1.9168% | 1.9535% | +0.0367% | $175,813.65 | $0.00 | $175,813.65 |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IEA Eanes ISD | 0.8322% | $74,898.00 | 42.6% |
| CAT City of Austin | 0.5240% | $47,161.53 | 26.8% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $33,826.05 | 19.2% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $10,622.07 | 6.0% |
| ACT Austin Community College | 0.1034% | $9,306.00 | 5.3% |
| Total | 1.9535% | $175,813.65 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $30,783,663 | $29,496,069 | +4.4% |
| Assessed Value | $30,783,663 | $29,496,069 | +4.4% |
| Land Value | $6,016,070 | $6,016,070 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | $24,767,593 | $23,479,999 | +5.5% |
| Taxable Value | $30,783,663 | $29,496,069 | +4.4% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$601,354
Estimated
|
$175,814 | |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $30,783,663 | $6,016,070 | $24,767,593 | — | $30,783,663 | $30,783,663 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $29,496,069 | $6,016,070 | $23,479,999 | — | $29,496,069 | $29,496,069 | $175,814 | Verified |
| 2024 | $9,270,000 | $6,016,070 | $3,253,930 | — | $9,270,000 | $9,270,000 | $172,787 | Verified |
| 2023 | $10,000,000 | $6,016,070 | $3,983,930 | — | $10,000,000 | $10,000,000 | $171,079 | Verified |
| 2022 | $10,000,000 | $6,016,070 | $3,983,930 | — | $10,000,000 | $10,000,000 | $184,537 | Verified |
| 2021 | $12,497,000 | $6,016,070 | $6,480,930 | — | $12,497,000 | $12,497,000 | $202,460 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +4.4% | +4.4% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +218.2% ! | +218.2% | ~100% | 0.6000% | Verified |
| 2024 | -7.3% | -7.3% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | -20.0% | -20.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +136.0% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +4.4% | +39.1% | +19.8% | +218.2% | 2025 | -20.0% | 2022 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 100.0% | 2021 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.6000% | 0.6000% | — | 0.6000% | 2025 | 0.6000% | 2025 |
| Tax Amount | $175,814 | $181,335 | ~$734,397 | $202,460 | 2021 | $171,079 | 2023 |
Market value changed by 218% in 2025, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$36,865,761 | ~$33,862,029 | ~1.8979% | ~$642,671 | +19.8% |
| 2028 | ~$44,149,532 | ~$37,248,232 | ~1.8423% | ~$686,238 | +43.4% |
| 2029 | ~$52,872,398 | ~$40,973,055 | ~1.7868% | ~$732,092 | +71.8% |
| 2030 | ~$63,318,689 | ~$45,070,361 | ~1.7312% | ~$780,254 | +105.7% |
| 2031 | ~$75,828,912 | ~$49,577,397 | ~1.6756% | ~$830,728 | +146.3% |
| 2027 | ~$36,250,088 | ~$33,862,029 | ~1.9535% | ~$661,490 | +17.8% |
| 2028 | ~$42,687,215 | ~$37,248,232 | ~1.9535% | ~$727,639 | +38.7% |
| 2029 | ~$50,267,419 | ~$40,973,055 | ~1.9535% | ~$800,402 | +63.3% |
| 2030 | ~$59,193,682 | ~$45,070,361 | ~1.9535% | ~$880,443 | +92.3% |
| 2031 | ~$69,705,030 | ~$49,577,397 | ~1.9535% | ~$968,487 | +126.4% |
| 2027 | ~$37,481,434 | ~$33,862,029 | ~1.8701% | ~$633,262 | +21.8% |
| 2028 | ~$45,636,476 | ~$37,248,232 | ~1.7868% | ~$665,538 | +48.2% |
| 2029 | ~$55,565,856 | ~$40,973,055 | ~1.7034% | ~$697,937 | +80.5% |
| 2030 | ~$67,655,625 | ~$45,070,361 | ~1.6200% | ~$730,160 | +119.8% |
| 2031 | ~$82,375,832 | ~$49,577,397 | ~1.5367% | ~$761,848 | +167.6% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $29,496,069 places it in the top 25% for Commercial properties in Travis County (13595 comparable) — 21× the county median of $1,382,921. Commercial here is the broad TCAD category — every commercial property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $29,496,069 | $632,506 | $1,382,921 | $3,258,143 | ↑ Top 25% | -0.8% |
| 2024 | $9,270,000 | $647,500 | $1,401,787 | $3,362,090 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $10,000,000 | $651,680 | $1,383,015 | $3,277,245 | ↑ Top 25% | +9.7% |
| 2022 | $10,000,000 | $535,964 | $1,190,250 | $2,842,216 | ↑ Top 25% | +3.3% |
| 2021 | $12,497,000 | $538,645 | $1,173,514 | $2,782,974 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Verified |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |