17213 MORNING GROVE LN 78738
| Owner | HARTMAN BARRY N & TAMMY S HARTMAN |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0121880201 |
| Short ID | 953050 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 4,703 SF |
| Land SF | 32,966 SF |
| Acres | 0.757 |
| Year Built | 2022 |
| Legal | LOT 4 BLK E MADRONE CANYON |
| Neighborhood | P5180 |
| Land | $562,089 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $562,089 |
| Improvement | $1,964,911 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $1,964,911 |
| Market | $2,527,000 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,527,000 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $2,527,000 |
| Exemptions on file | HS,OV65 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $2,527,000 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +1023.1% from $225,000 (2022) to $2,527,000 (2025), a CAGR of 123.9% over 3 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2022→2023), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +53.5%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.6240% in 2025 (+0.0184% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $66,308. Lazy Nine MUD #1A is the largest single contributor, at 45.4% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 22% of market value ($562,089 land vs $1,964,911 improvements), about $17/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~4 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Submarket Position: At $2,527,000, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +79.9% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $44,353,738 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $91,226. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
9 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 4,703 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 4,703 SF | ✗ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 701 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 614 SF | ✗ |
| 031 | GARAGE DET 1ST F | 596 SF | ✓ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 4 SF | ✓ |
| 250 | HALF BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
| 522 | FIREPLACE | 1 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U5L Lazy Nine MUD #1A | 1.0000% | 1.0000% | 1.0000% | 1.0000% | 1.0000% | +0.0000% | $25,270.00 | $25,270.00 | Paid |
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $18,939.18 | $18,939.18 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $7,059.80 | $7,059.80 | Paid |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $2,284.38 | $2,284.38 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $2,167.37 | $2,167.37 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.7993% | 2.7157% | 2.5625% | 2.6056% | 2.6240% | +0.0184% | $55,720.73 | $55,720.73 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| U5L Lazy Nine MUD #1A | 1.0000% | $25,270.00 | 45.4% |
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.0397% | $18,939.18 | 34.0% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $7,059.80 | 12.7% |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.0904% | $2,284.38 | 4.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $2,167.37 | 3.9% |
| Total | 2.6240% | $55,720.73 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,355,431 | $2,527,000 | -6.8% |
| Assessed Value | $2,355,431 | $2,527,000 | -6.8% |
| Land Value | $294,831 | $562,089 | -47.5% |
| Improvement Value | $2,060,600 | $1,964,911 | +4.9% |
| Taxable Value | $2,355,431 | $2,527,000 | -6.8% |
| Exemptions | HS,OV65 | HS,OV65 | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$61,806
Estimated
|
~$55,721
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $2,355,431 | $294,831 | $2,060,600 | — | $2,355,431 | $2,355,431 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $2,527,000 | $562,089 | $1,964,911 | — | $2,527,000 | $2,527,000 | ~$55,721 | Partial |
| 2024 | $2,848,318 | $562,089 | $2,286,229 | — | $2,848,318 | $2,278,654 | $64,503 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,703,375 | $491,920 | $1,211,455 | — | $1,703,375 | $1,703,375 | $27,066 | Verified |
| 2022 | $225,000 | $225,000 | — | — | $225,000 | $225,000 | $6,110 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -6.8% | -6.8% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | -11.3% | -11.3% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +67.2% | +67.2% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +657.1% ! | +657.1% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +1023.1% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -6.8% | +176.6% | +79.9% | +657.1% | 2023 | -11.3% | 2025 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2022 | 100.0% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 2.2100% | 2.2100% | — | 2.2100% | 2025 | 2.2100% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$55,721 | $38,350 | ~$78,590 | $64,503 | 2024 | $6,110 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 657% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$4,236,843 | ~$2,590,974 | ~2.5801% | ~$66,851 | +79.9% |
| 2028 | ~$7,621,041 | ~$2,850,072 | ~2.5363% | ~$72,287 | +223.6% |
| 2029 | ~$13,708,385 | ~$3,135,079 | ~2.4925% | ~$78,141 | +482.0% |
| 2030 | ~$24,658,023 | ~$3,448,587 | ~2.4487% | ~$84,444 | +946.9% |
| 2031 | ~$44,353,738 | ~$3,793,445 | ~2.4048% | ~$91,226 | +1783.0% |
| 2027 | ~$4,189,734 | ~$2,590,974 | ~2.6240% | ~$67,986 | +77.9% |
| 2028 | ~$7,452,510 | ~$2,850,072 | ~2.6240% | ~$74,785 | +216.4% |
| 2029 | ~$13,256,188 | ~$3,135,079 | ~2.6240% | ~$82,263 | +462.8% |
| 2030 | ~$23,579,508 | ~$3,448,587 | ~2.6240% | ~$90,490 | +901.1% |
| 2031 | ~$41,942,162 | ~$3,793,445 | ~2.6240% | ~$99,539 | +1680.7% |
| 2027 | ~$4,283,951 | ~$2,590,974 | ~2.5582% | ~$66,283 | +81.9% |
| 2028 | ~$7,791,457 | ~$2,850,072 | ~2.4925% | ~$71,038 | +230.8% |
| 2029 | ~$14,170,750 | ~$3,135,079 | ~2.4267% | ~$76,080 | +501.6% |
| 2030 | ~$25,773,120 | ~$3,448,587 | ~2.3610% | ~$81,421 | +994.2% |
| 2031 | ~$46,874,986 | ~$3,793,445 | ~2.2953% | ~$87,069 | +1890.1% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,527,000 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 30× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,527,000 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $2,848,318 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $1,703,375 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $225,000 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2022–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |