5909 MADRONE TREE LN LN 78738
| Owner | HASSAN SAAMIR & HUMEIRA AKBAR |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0123860804 |
| Short ID | 953267 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 7,336 SF |
| Land SF | 42,819 SF |
| Acres | 0.983 |
| Year Built | 2023 |
| Legal | LOT 81 BLK A MADRONE CANYON |
| Neighborhood | P5180 |
| Land | $522,499 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $522,499 |
| Improvement | $2,761,755 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $2,761,755 |
| Market | $3,284,254 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $3,284,254 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $3,284,254 |
| Exemptions on file | HS |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $3,284,254 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +1359.7% from $225,000 (2022) to $3,284,254 (2025), a CAGR of 144.4% over 3 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +53.5%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.6240% in 2025 (+0.0184% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $86,178. Lazy Nine MUD #1A is the largest single contributor, at 44.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 16% of market value ($522,499 land vs $2,761,755 improvements), about $12/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~3 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Submarket Position: At $3,284,254, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +92.1% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $80,058,714 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $118,606. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
12 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 7,336 SF | ✗ |
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 5,607 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 1,814 SF | ✗ |
| 2ND | 2nd Floor | 1,729 SF | ✓ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 1,382 SF | ✓ |
| 012 | PORCH OPEN 2ND F | 98 SF | ✗ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 6 SF | ✓ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 5 SF | ✓ |
| 522 | FIREPLACE | 1 SF | ✓ |
| 604 | POOL RES CONC | 1 SF | ✗ |
| 447 | SPA CONCRETE | 1 SF | ✗ |
| 410 | OUTDOOR KITCHEN | 1 SF | ✓ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U5L Lazy Nine MUD #1A | 1.0000% | 1.0000% | 1.0000% | 1.0000% | 1.0000% | +0.0000% | $32,842.54 | $32,842.54 | Paid |
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $25,861.53 | $25,861.53 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $9,874.96 | $9,874.96 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $3,100.94 | $3,100.94 | Paid |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $2,968.93 | $2,968.93 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.7993% | 2.7157% | 2.5625% | 2.6056% | 2.6240% | +0.0184% | $74,648.90 | $74,648.90 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| U5L Lazy Nine MUD #1A | 1.0000% | $32,842.54 | 44.0% |
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.0397% | $25,861.53 | 34.6% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $9,874.96 | 13.2% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $3,100.94 | 4.2% |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.0904% | $2,968.93 | 4.0% |
| Total | 2.6240% | $74,648.90 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $3,062,392 | $3,284,254 | -6.8% |
| Assessed Value | $3,062,392 | $3,284,254 | -6.8% |
| Land Value | $332,458 | $522,499 | -36.4% |
| Improvement Value | $2,729,934 | $2,761,755 | -1.2% |
| Taxable Value | $3,062,392 | $3,284,254 | -6.8% |
| Exemptions | HS | HS | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$80,356
Estimated
|
~$74,649
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $3,062,392 | $332,458 | $2,729,934 | — | $3,062,392 | $3,062,392 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $3,284,254 | $522,499 | $2,761,755 | — | $3,284,254 | $3,284,254 | ~$74,649 | Partial |
| 2024 | $522,499 | $522,499 | — | — | $522,499 | $522,499 | $13,614 | Verified |
| 2023 | $638,950 | $638,950 | — | — | $638,950 | $638,950 | $16,373 | Verified |
| 2022 | $225,000 | $225,000 | — | — | $225,000 | $225,000 | $6,110 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -6.8% | -6.8% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +528.6% ! | +528.6% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | -18.2% | -18.2% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +184.0% ! | +184.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +1359.7% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -6.8% | +171.9% | +92.1% | +528.6% | 2025 | -18.2% | 2024 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2022 | 100.0% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 2.2700% | 2.2700% | — | 2.2700% | 2025 | 2.2700% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$74,649 | $27,687 | ~$102,178 | $74,649 | 2025 | $6,110 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 184% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$5,882,072 | ~$3,368,631 | ~2.5801% | ~$86,915 | +92.1% |
| 2028 | ~$11,297,957 | ~$3,705,494 | ~2.5363% | ~$93,983 | +268.9% |
| 2029 | ~$21,700,487 | ~$4,076,044 | ~2.4925% | ~$101,595 | +608.6% |
| 2030 | ~$41,681,088 | ~$4,483,648 | ~2.4487% | ~$109,789 | +1261.1% |
| 2031 | ~$80,058,714 | ~$4,932,013 | ~2.4048% | ~$118,606 | +2514.3% |
| 2027 | ~$5,820,824 | ~$3,368,631 | ~2.6240% | ~$88,392 | +90.1% |
| 2028 | ~$11,063,899 | ~$3,705,494 | ~2.6240% | ~$97,231 | +261.3% |
| 2029 | ~$21,029,644 | ~$4,076,044 | ~2.6240% | ~$106,954 | +586.7% |
| 2030 | ~$39,971,976 | ~$4,483,648 | ~2.6240% | ~$117,649 | +1205.3% |
| 2031 | ~$75,976,508 | ~$4,932,013 | ~2.6240% | ~$129,414 | +2381.0% |
| 2027 | ~$5,943,320 | ~$3,368,631 | ~2.5582% | ~$86,177 | +94.1% |
| 2028 | ~$11,534,465 | ~$3,705,494 | ~2.4925% | ~$92,359 | +276.6% |
| 2029 | ~$22,385,447 | ~$4,076,044 | ~2.4267% | ~$98,915 | +631.0% |
| 2030 | ~$43,444,431 | ~$4,483,648 | ~2.3610% | ~$105,859 | +1318.6% |
| 2031 | ~$84,314,534 | ~$4,932,013 | ~2.2953% | ~$113,202 | +2653.2% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $3,284,254 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 39× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $3,284,254 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $522,499 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $638,950 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $225,000 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2022–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |