6109 MADRONE TREE LN 78738
| Owner | MORRIS JOHN BRADLEY & |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0123880203 |
| Short ID | 953069 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | 01 Single-Family Residence |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | 4,446 SF |
| Land SF | 33,911 SF |
| Acres | 0.778 |
| Year Built | 2022 |
| Legal | LOT 4 BLK D MADRONE CANYON |
| Neighborhood | P5180 |
| Land | $562,434 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $562,434 |
| Improvement | $1,937,958 |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | $1,937,958 |
| Market | $2,500,392 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,500,392 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $2,500,392 |
| Taxable Value | $2,500,392 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +1011.3% from $225,000 (2022) to $2,500,392 (2025), a CAGR of 123.2% over 3 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +53.5%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 2.6240% in 2025 (+0.0184% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $65,609. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 39.6% of the total 2025 levy.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 22% of market value ($562,434 land vs $1,937,958 improvements), about $17/SF of land. Most value sits in the improvements, so building condition, age (~4 yrs), and rent roll drive the underwriting.
Submarket Position: At $2,500,392, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +77.5% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $39,456,522 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $86,603. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
10 components · show ▾hide ▴
| Code | Description | SF | In Gross |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1ST | 1st Floor | 4,446 SF | ✓ |
| 095 | HVAC RESIDENTIAL | 4,446 SF | ✗ |
| 041 | GARAGE ATT 1ST F | 1,041 SF | ✓ |
| 011 | PORCH OPEN 1ST F | 730 SF | ✗ |
| 252 | BEDROOMS | 3 SF | ✓ |
| 251 | BATHROOM | 2 SF | ✓ |
| 250 | HALF BATHROOM | 1 SF | ✓ |
| 522 | FIREPLACE | 1 SF | ✓ |
| 604 | POOL RES CONC | 1 SF | ✗ |
| 447 | SPA CONCRETE | 1 SF | ✗ |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $25,996.58 | $25,996.58 | Paid |
| U5L Lazy Nine MUD #1A | 1.0000% | 1.0000% | 1.0000% | 1.0000% | 1.0000% | +0.0000% | $25,003.92 | $25,003.92 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $9,397.60 | $9,397.60 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $2,951.04 | $2,951.04 | Paid |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $2,260.33 | $2,260.33 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 2.7993% | 2.7157% | 2.5625% | 2.6056% | 2.6240% | +0.0184% | $65,609.47 | $65,609.47 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.0397% | $25,996.58 | 39.6% |
| U5L Lazy Nine MUD #1A | 1.0000% | $25,003.92 | 38.1% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $9,397.60 | 14.3% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $2,951.04 | 4.5% |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.0904% | $2,260.33 | 3.4% |
| Total | 2.6240% | $65,609.47 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $2,236,081 | $2,500,392 | -10.6% |
| Assessed Value | $2,236,081 | $2,500,392 | -10.6% |
| Land Value | $299,557 | $562,434 | -46.7% |
| Improvement Value | $1,936,524 | $1,937,958 | -0.1% |
| Taxable Value | $2,236,081 | $2,500,392 | -10.6% |
| Exemptions | HS,OV65 | None | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$58,674
Estimated
|
~$65,609
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $2,236,081 | $299,557 | $1,936,524 | — | $2,236,081 | $2,236,081 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $2,500,392 | $562,434 | $1,937,958 | — | $2,500,392 | $2,500,392 | ~$65,609 | Partial |
| 2024 | $2,320,585 | $562,434 | $1,758,151 | — | $2,320,585 | $2,320,585 | $60,465 | Verified |
| 2023 | $1,369,030 | $506,025 | $863,005 | — | $1,369,030 | $1,369,030 | $35,082 | Verified |
| 2022 | $225,000 | $225,000 | — | — | $225,000 | $225,000 | $6,110 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -10.6% | -10.6% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +7.7% | +7.7% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +69.5% | +69.5% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +508.5% ! | +508.5% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +1011.3% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -10.6% | +143.8% | +77.6% | +508.5% | 2023 | -10.6% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | 100.0% | 2022 | 100.0% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 2.6200% | 2.6200% | — | 2.6200% | 2025 | 2.6200% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$65,609 | $41,817 | ~$74,607 | $65,609 | 2025 | $6,110 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 508% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$3,970,213 | ~$2,459,689 | ~2.5801% | ~$63,463 | +77.6% |
| 2028 | ~$7,049,203 | ~$2,705,658 | ~2.5363% | ~$68,624 | +215.2% |
| 2029 | ~$12,516,021 | ~$2,976,224 | ~2.4925% | ~$74,182 | +459.7% |
| 2030 | ~$22,222,481 | ~$3,273,846 | ~2.4487% | ~$80,165 | +893.8% |
| 2031 | ~$39,456,522 | ~$3,601,231 | ~2.4048% | ~$86,603 | +1664.5% |
| 2027 | ~$3,925,491 | ~$2,459,689 | ~2.6240% | ~$64,541 | +75.6% |
| 2028 | ~$6,891,289 | ~$2,705,658 | ~2.6240% | ~$70,996 | +208.2% |
| 2029 | ~$12,097,815 | ~$2,976,224 | ~2.6240% | ~$78,095 | +441.0% |
| 2030 | ~$21,237,991 | ~$3,273,846 | ~2.6240% | ~$85,905 | +849.8% |
| 2031 | ~$37,283,777 | ~$3,601,231 | ~2.6240% | ~$94,495 | +1567.4% |
| 2027 | ~$4,014,934 | ~$2,459,689 | ~2.5582% | ~$62,924 | +79.6% |
| 2028 | ~$7,208,906 | ~$2,705,658 | ~2.4925% | ~$67,438 | +222.4% |
| 2029 | ~$12,943,756 | ~$2,976,224 | ~2.4267% | ~$72,225 | +478.9% |
| 2030 | ~$23,240,808 | ~$3,273,846 | ~2.3610% | ~$77,295 | +939.4% |
| 2031 | ~$41,729,401 | ~$3,601,231 | ~2.2953% | ~$82,658 | +1766.2% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,500,392 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 30× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,500,392 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $2,320,585 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $1,369,030 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $225,000 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2022–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |