W STATE HY 71 TX
| Owner | LAZY NINE MUD NO 1A |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0126870303 |
| Short ID | 898557 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 1,177,762 SF |
| Acres | 27.038 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 2679 SUR 86 BARLOW W A & ABS 2525 SUR 182 WOLF C ACR 49.763 (1-D-1W) |
| Neighborhood | 1SW3 |
| Land | $4,711,049 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $4,711,049 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $4,711,049 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $4,711,049 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) | — |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $4,711,049 |
| Taxable Value | $4,711,049 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +443.3% from $867,071 (2021) to $4,711,049 (2025), a CAGR of 52.7% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2022→2023), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($4,711,049 land vs $0 improvements), about $4/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $4,711,049, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +52.7% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $39,079,259 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $0. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $4,711,049 | $4,711,049 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | $4,711,049 | $4,711,049 | +0.0% |
| Land Value | $4,711,049 | $4,711,049 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | — | — | — |
| Exemptions | — | E | |
| Total Tax | Pending certification | — | |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $4,711,049 | $4,711,049 | — | — | $4,711,049 | $— | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $4,711,049 | $4,711,049 | — | — | $4,711,049 | $— | not in county billing file Why? | Partial |
| 2024 | $4,711,049 | $4,711,049 | — | — | $4,711,049 | $— | not in county billing file Why? | Partial |
| 2023 | $4,711,049 | $4,711,049 | — | — | $4,711,049 | $— | not in county billing file Why? | Partial |
| 2022 | $867,071 | $867,071 | — | −$862,567 | $4,504 | $4,504 | $107 | Verified |
| 2021 | $867,071 | — | — | −$862,793 | $4,278 | $4,278 | $120 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +0.0% | +0.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +443.3% ! | +104497.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +0.0% | +5.3% | 0.5% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.5% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +443.3% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +88.7% | +52.7% | +443.3% | 2023 | +0.0% | 2022 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 66.8% | — | 100.0% | 2023 | 0.5% | 2021 |
|
Effective Tax Rate (2025)
⚑ Billing data available for 2025 only |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tax Amount | $107 | $113 | — | $120 | 2021 | $107 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 443% in 2023, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$7,192,558 | ~$7,192,558 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +52.7% |
| 2028 | ~$10,981,182 | ~$10,981,182 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +133.1% |
| 2029 | ~$16,765,436 | ~$16,765,436 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +255.9% |
| 2030 | ~$25,596,500 | ~$25,596,500 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +443.3% |
| 2031 | ~$39,079,259 | ~$39,079,259 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +729.5% |
| 2027 | ~$7,098,337 | ~$7,098,337 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +50.7% |
| 2028 | ~$10,695,364 | ~$10,695,364 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +127.0% |
| 2029 | ~$16,115,158 | ~$16,115,158 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +242.1% |
| 2030 | ~$24,281,390 | ~$24,281,390 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +415.4% |
| 2031 | ~$36,585,798 | ~$36,585,798 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +676.6% |
| 2027 | ~$7,286,779 | ~$7,286,779 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +54.7% |
| 2028 | ~$11,270,769 | ~$11,270,769 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +139.2% |
| 2029 | ~$17,432,975 | ~$17,432,975 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +270.0% |
| 2030 | ~$26,964,320 | ~$26,964,320 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +472.4% |
| 2031 | ~$41,706,855 | ~$41,706,855 | ~0.0000% | ~$0 | +785.3% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $4,711,049 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 8× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $4,711,049 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $4,711,049 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $4,711,049 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $867,071 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Above median | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $867,071 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |