ARROWEYE TRL TX 78733
| Owner | COZZENS NEIL CONRAD |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0131400644 |
| Short ID | 127505 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 11,247 SF |
| Acres | 0.258 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 23 BRUTON SPRINGS SUBD RESUB OF 50&51 & PT 21 & 61 |
| Neighborhood | N8910 |
| Land | $295,294 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $295,294 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $295,294 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $295,294 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$68,494 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $226,800 |
| Taxable Value | $226,800 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +101.9% from $146,250 (2021) to $295,294 (2025), a CAGR of 19.2% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 1.4261% in 2025 (-0.0118% vs 2024 — rates decreased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $3,234. Eanes ISD is the largest single contributor, at 58.4% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($226,800) is $68,494 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($295,294 land vs $0 improvements), about $26/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $295,294, this parcel sits in the upper-middle (50th–75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +9.4% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $360,556 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $4,223. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IEA Eanes ISD | 1.0608% | 1.0046% | 0.8880% | 0.8855% | 0.8322% | -0.0533% | $1,887.43 | $1,887.43 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $852.42 | $852.42 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $267.68 | $267.68 | Paid |
| E10 Travis County ESD # 10 | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | 0.1000% | +0.0000% | $226.80 | $226.80 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.6300% | 1.5215% | 1.3933% | 1.4379% | 1.4261% | -0.0118% | $3,234.33 | $3,234.33 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| IEA Eanes ISD | 0.8322% | $1,887.43 | 58.4% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $852.42 | 26.4% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $267.68 | 8.3% |
| E10 Travis County ESD # 10 | 0.1000% | $226.80 | 7.0% |
| Total | 1.4261% | $3,234.33 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $229,633 | $295,294 | -22.2% |
| Assessed Value | $229,633 | $226,800 | +1.2% |
| Land Value | $229,633 | $295,294 | -22.2% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $229,633 | $226,800 | +1.2% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$3,275
Estimated
|
~$3,234
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $229,633 | $229,633 | — | — | $229,633 | $229,633 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $295,294 | $295,294 | — | −$68,494 | $226,800 | $226,800 | ~$3,234 | Partial |
| 2024 | $210,000 | $210,000 | — | −$21,000 | $189,000 | $189,000 | $2,718 | Verified |
| 2023 | $157,500 | $157,500 | — | — | $157,500 | $157,500 | $2,195 | Verified |
| 2022 | $196,875 | $196,875 | — | — | $196,875 | $196,875 | $2,996 | Verified |
| 2021 | $146,250 | $146,250 | — | — | $146,250 | $146,250 | $2,384 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -22.2% | +1.2% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +40.6% | +20.0% | 76.8% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +33.3% | +20.0% | 90.0% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | -20.0% | -20.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +34.6% | +34.6% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +101.9% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -22.2% | +13.3% | +9.4% | +40.6% | 2025 | -22.2% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 94.5% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 76.8% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.1000% | 1.1000% | — | 1.1000% | 2025 | 1.1000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$3,234 | $2,705 | ~$3,836 | $3,234 | 2025 | $2,195 | 2023 |
No large value jumps, delinquencies, or data anomalies found for this parcel.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$251,317 | ~$251,317 | ~1.3751% | ~$3,456 | +9.4% |
| 2028 | ~$275,049 | ~$275,049 | ~1.3241% | ~$3,642 | +19.8% |
| 2029 | ~$301,021 | ~$301,021 | ~1.2731% | ~$3,832 | +31.1% |
| 2030 | ~$329,447 | ~$329,447 | ~1.2222% | ~$4,026 | +43.5% |
| 2031 | ~$360,556 | ~$360,556 | ~1.1712% | ~$4,223 | +57.0% |
| 2027 | ~$246,724 | ~$246,724 | ~1.4261% | ~$3,518 | +7.4% |
| 2028 | ~$265,088 | ~$265,088 | ~1.4261% | ~$3,780 | +15.4% |
| 2029 | ~$284,818 | ~$284,818 | ~1.4261% | ~$4,062 | +24.0% |
| 2030 | ~$306,017 | ~$306,017 | ~1.4261% | ~$4,364 | +33.3% |
| 2031 | ~$328,794 | ~$328,794 | ~1.4261% | ~$4,689 | +43.2% |
| 2027 | ~$255,910 | ~$255,910 | ~1.3496% | ~$3,454 | +11.4% |
| 2028 | ~$285,193 | ~$285,193 | ~1.2731% | ~$3,631 | +24.2% |
| 2029 | ~$317,828 | ~$317,828 | ~1.1967% | ~$3,803 | +38.4% |
| 2030 | ~$354,197 | ~$354,197 | ~1.1202% | ~$3,968 | +54.2% |
| 2031 | ~$394,727 | ~$394,727 | ~1.0437% | ~$4,120 | +71.9% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $295,294 places it in the 50th–75th percentile for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 3× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $295,294 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Above median | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $210,000 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $157,500 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $196,875 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $146,250 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |