BEE CREEK RD TX 78669
| Owner | HORTON JOHN COLEMAN III ETALS |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0142960312 |
| Short ID | 142541 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | D1 Acreage — Qualified Open-Space Land (1-d-1) |
| Valuation | Productivity |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 1,142,579 SF |
| Acres | 26.230 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | ABS 65 SUR 66 BURLESON J ACR 26.230 (1-D-1) |
| Neighborhood | Q4003 |
| Land | $2,105,091 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $2,105,091 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $2,105,091 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $2,105,091 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$2,102,049 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $3,042 |
| Taxable Value | $3,042 |
|---|
Appreciation: Market value has risen +172.8% from $771,555 (2021) to $2,105,091 (2025), a CAGR of 28.5% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2021→2022), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Agricultural parcel countywide rose +96.0%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader agricultural market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 5 taxing entities is 1.7041% in 2025 (+0.0281% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $52. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 61.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($3,042) is $2,102,049 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Agricultural. Agricultural valuation may be subject to rollback taxes if land use changes.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($2,105,091 land vs $0 improvements), about $2/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $2,105,091, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Agricultural property in Travis County — county median $561,432 (P25 $179,824 / P75 $1,355,511, n=7,602). Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the -17.0% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2022–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $581,497 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $8,599. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $31.63 | $31.63 | Paid |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $11.43 | $11.43 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $3.59 | $3.59 | Paid |
| E08 Travis County ESD # 08 | 0.0970% | 0.0790% | 0.0810% | 0.0830% | 0.0930% | +0.0100% | $2.83 | $2.83 | Paid |
| E16 Travis County ESD # 16 | 0.0880% | 0.0740% | 0.0730% | 0.0750% | 0.0775% | +0.0025% | $2.36 | $2.36 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 1.8843% | 1.7820% | 1.6334% | 1.6760% | 1.7041% | +0.0281% | $51.84 | $51.84 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.0397% | $31.63 | 61.0% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $11.43 | 22.0% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $3.59 | 6.9% |
| E08 Travis County ESD # 08 | 0.0930% | $2.83 | 5.5% |
| E16 Travis County ESD # 16 | 0.0775% | $2.36 | 4.6% |
| Total | 1.7041% | $51.84 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $1,475,438 | $2,105,091 | -29.9% |
| Assessed Value | $2,813 | $3,042 | -7.5% |
| Land Value | $1,475,438 | $2,105,091 | -29.9% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $2,813 | $3,042 | -7.5% |
| HS Cap Loss | -$1,472,625 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$48
Estimated
|
~$52
Partial
|
|
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $1,475,438 | $1,475,438 | — | −$1,472,625 | $2,813 | $2,813 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $2,105,091 | $2,105,091 | — | −$2,102,049 | $3,042 | $3,042 | ~$52 | Partial |
| 2024 | $2,105,091 | $2,105,091 | — | −$2,102,197 | $2,894 | $2,894 | $48 | Verified |
| 2023 | $2,105,091 | $2,105,091 | — | −$2,102,222 | $2,869 | $2,869 | $47 | Verified |
| 2022 | $3,107,561 | $3,107,561 | — | −$3,105,187 | $2,374 | $2,374 | $42 | Verified |
| 2021 | $771,555 | — | — | −$769,300 | $2,255 | $2,255 | $42 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -29.9% | -7.5% | 0.2% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +0.0% | +5.1% | 0.1% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +0.0% | +0.9% | 0.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | -32.3% | +20.9% | 0.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +302.8% ! | +5.3% | 0.1% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | 0.3% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +172.8% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -29.9% | +48.1% | -17.0% | +302.8% | 2022 | -32.3% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | 0.3% | 2021 | 0.1% | 2022 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.0000% | 0.0000% | — | 0.0000% | 2025 | 0.0000% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$52 | $46 | ~$13,848 | $52 | 2025 | $42 | 2022 |
Market value changed by 303% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$1,224,747 | ~$1,224,747 | ~1.6590% | ~$20,319 | -17.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,016,650 | ~$1,016,650 | ~1.6140% | ~$16,409 | -31.1% |
| 2029 | ~$843,912 | ~$843,912 | ~1.5689% | ~$13,240 | -42.8% |
| 2030 | ~$700,523 | ~$700,523 | ~1.5239% | ~$10,675 | -52.5% |
| 2031 | ~$581,497 | ~$581,497 | ~1.4788% | ~$8,599 | -60.6% |
| 2027 | ~$1,401,666 | ~$1,401,666 | ~1.7041% | ~$23,886 | -5.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,331,583 | ~$1,331,583 | ~1.7041% | ~$22,691 | -9.7% |
| 2029 | ~$1,265,004 | ~$1,265,004 | ~1.7041% | ~$21,557 | -14.3% |
| 2030 | ~$1,201,753 | ~$1,201,753 | ~1.7041% | ~$20,479 | -18.5% |
| 2031 | ~$1,141,666 | ~$1,141,666 | ~1.7041% | ~$19,455 | -22.6% |
| 2027 | ~$1,254,255 | ~$1,254,255 | ~1.6365% | ~$20,526 | -15.0% |
| 2028 | ~$1,066,230 | ~$1,066,230 | ~1.5689% | ~$16,728 | -27.7% |
| 2029 | ~$906,392 | ~$906,392 | ~1.5014% | ~$13,608 | -38.6% |
| 2030 | ~$770,515 | ~$770,515 | ~1.4338% | ~$11,048 | -47.8% |
| 2031 | ~$655,007 | ~$655,007 | ~1.3662% | ~$8,949 | -55.6% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $2,105,091 places it in the top 25% for Agricultural properties in Travis County (7602 comparable) — 4× the county median of $561,432. Agricultural here is the broad TCAD category — every agricultural property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2,105,091 | $179,824 | $561,432 | $1,355,511 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2024 | $2,105,091 | $193,498 | $574,650 | $1,361,070 | ↑ Top 25% | +23.7% |
| 2023 | $2,105,091 | $150,007 | $423,072 | $1,000,412 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $3,107,561 | $166,375 | $416,994 | $932,726 | ↑ Top 25% | +46.1% |
| 2021 | $771,555 | $105,498 | $286,444 | $607,111 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |