14120 RUNNING DEER TRL TX 78734
| Owner | CRABILL DENNIS & KATHLEEN TRUST |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0145550711 |
| Short ID | 146666 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 9,014 SF |
| Acres | 0.207 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 1043 APACHE SHORES SEC 2 |
| Neighborhood | R4006 |
| Land | $369,355 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $369,355 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $369,355 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $369,355 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$218,105 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $151,250 |
| Exemptions on file | HS,OV65 |
|---|---|
| Taxable Value | $151,250 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +638.7% from $50,000 (2021) to $369,355 (2025), a CAGR of 64.9% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Most of this growth came in a single year (2024→2025), not a steady climb — worth checking what drove that reappraisal rather than assuming a smooth trend. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has outpaced the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 3 taxing entities is 0.5843% in 2025 (+0.0443% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $884. Travis County is the largest single contributor, at 60.2% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($151,250) is $218,105 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($369,355 land vs $0 improvements), about $41/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $369,355, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +49.2% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $2,728,462 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $1,616. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
No delinquent taxes on record.
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $372.21 | $372.21 | Paid |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $136.73 | $136.73 | Paid |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $109.28 | $109.28 | Paid |
| Combined Rate | 0.5692% | 0.5036% | 0.4884% | 0.5400% | 0.5843% | +0.0443% | $618.22 | $618.22 | Paid |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $372.21 | 60.2% |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.0904% | $136.73 | 22.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $109.28 | 17.7% |
| Total | 0.5843% | $618.22 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $369,355 | $369,355 | +0.0% |
| Assessed Value | ~$166,375 | $151,250 | +10.0% |
| Land Value | $369,355 | $369,355 | +0.0% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | ~$166,375 | $151,250 | +10.0% |
| Exemptions | — | HS,OV65 | |
| HS Cap Protection | ~-$202,980 | — | |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$972
Estimated
|
~$618
Partial
|
ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $369,355 | $369,355 | — | — | $369,355 | $369,355 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $369,355 | $369,355 | — | −$218,105 | $151,250 | $151,250 | ~$618 | Partial |
| 2024 | $150,000 | $150,000 | — | −$12,500 | $137,500 | $89,080 | $756 | Verified |
| 2023 | $125,000 | $125,000 | — | — | $125,000 | $125,000 | $718 | Verified |
| 2022 | $140,000 | $140,000 | — | — | $140,000 | $140,000 | $1,750 | Verified |
| 2021 | $50,000 | $50,000 | — | — | $50,000 | $50,000 | $900 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +0.0% | +144.2% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +146.2% ! | +10.0% | 41.0% | Not available | Partial |
| 2024 | +20.0% | +10.0% | 91.7% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | -10.7% | -10.7% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +180.0% ! | +180.0% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +638.7% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | +0.0% | +67.1% | +49.2% | +180.0% | 2022 | -10.7% | 2023 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 88.8% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 40.9% | 2025 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 0.1700% | 0.1700% | — | 0.1700% | 2025 | 0.1700% | 2025 |
|
Tax Amount
⚑ 2025 total is a derived or partial figure, not independently confirmed |
$618 | $948 | ~$1,332 | $1,750 | 2022 | $618 | 2025 |
Market value changed by 180% in 2022, flagged as unusually large. Verify against comparable sales before using this value in underwriting.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$550,984 | ~$183,013 | ~0.5880% | ~$1,076 | +49.2% |
| 2028 | ~$821,928 | ~$201,314 | ~0.5918% | ~$1,191 | +122.5% |
| 2029 | ~$1,226,107 | ~$221,445 | ~0.5956% | ~$1,319 | +232.0% |
| 2030 | ~$1,829,040 | ~$243,590 | ~0.5994% | ~$1,460 | +395.2% |
| 2031 | ~$2,728,462 | ~$267,949 | ~0.6031% | ~$1,616 | +638.7% |
| 2027 | ~$543,597 | ~$183,013 | ~0.5843% | ~$1,069 | +47.2% |
| 2028 | ~$800,036 | ~$201,314 | ~0.5843% | ~$1,176 | +116.6% |
| 2029 | ~$1,177,450 | ~$221,445 | ~0.5843% | ~$1,294 | +218.8% |
| 2030 | ~$1,732,906 | ~$243,590 | ~0.5843% | ~$1,423 | +369.2% |
| 2031 | ~$2,550,397 | ~$267,949 | ~0.5843% | ~$1,566 | +590.5% |
| 2027 | ~$558,371 | ~$183,013 | ~0.5899% | ~$1,080 | +51.2% |
| 2028 | ~$844,115 | ~$201,314 | ~0.5956% | ~$1,199 | +128.5% |
| 2029 | ~$1,276,087 | ~$221,445 | ~0.6012% | ~$1,331 | +245.5% |
| 2030 | ~$1,929,119 | ~$243,590 | ~0.6069% | ~$1,478 | +422.3% |
| 2031 | ~$2,916,337 | ~$267,949 | ~0.6126% | ~$1,641 | +689.6% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $369,355 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 4× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $369,355 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $150,000 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $125,000 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Above median | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $140,000 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Above median | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $50,000 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↑ Above median | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Partial |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |