COCHISE TRL TX 78734
| Owner | GRAHAM J SUE KEEFE |
|---|---|
| Parcel ID | 0147550108 |
| Short ID | 149482 |
| Type | Real |
| Use Code | C1 Vacant Lot |
| Valuation | Cost |
| Improvement SF | — |
| Land SF | 15,329 SF |
| Acres | 0.352 |
| Year Built | — |
| Legal | LOT 308 APACHE SHORES FIRST INSTALLMENT |
| Neighborhood | R4006 |
| Land | $523,277 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Land Market | Not Available |
| Total Land | $523,277 |
| Improvement | — |
|---|---|
| Total Improvement | — |
| Market | $523,277 |
|---|---|
| Special Use Exclusion (−) | Not Available |
| Appraised | $523,277 |
| Value Limitation Adjustment (−) (homestead cap) | −$134,477 |
| Net Appraised (assessed) | $388,800 |
| Taxable Value | $388,800 |
|---|
| Total Due | $13,971.89 |
|---|---|
| First Delinquent | 2024 |
Appreciation: Market value has risen +248.9% from $150,000 (2021) to $523,277 (2025), a CAGR of 36.7% over 4 years. This is strong appreciation — well above typical inflation. Growth has been fairly evenly spread across these years rather than concentrated in one jump. Over the same span, the median Land/Vacant parcel countywide rose +283.7%, so this parcel has lagged the broader land/vacant market over the same period.
Tax Burden: The combined rate across 4 taxing entities is 1.6240% in 2025 (+0.0184% vs 2024 — rates increased ). At the current taxable value, estimated annual taxes are $6,314. Lake Travis ISD is the largest single contributor, at 64.0% of the total 2025 levy.
Assessment Gap: Assessed value ($388,800) is $134,477 below market value, suggesting potential for an upward assessment in future years.
Asset Class: Land / Vacant. This is valued using the cost approach, tied more to replacement cost and physical condition than to income performance.
Value Composition: Land carries 100% of market value ($523,277 land vs $0 improvements), about $34/SF of land. With value concentrated in the land, this reads as a land-dominated asset — the classic higher-and-best-use / redevelopment signal. Underwrite the dirt, not the building.
Submarket Position: At $523,277, this parcel sits in the top quartile (≥75th percentile) of Land/Vacant property in Travis County — county median $84,423 (P25 $24,862 / P75 $362,804, n=35,611). Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. See the Peer Set and the Where This Property Stands benchmark below, which narrows to this property's actual use code, for parcel-level comparables.
Forward Outlook: Holding the +10.7% Base-scenario CAGR (Based on 2021–2026 preliminary trend, projected forward from 2026), the model projects market value near $413,938 by 2031, with an estimated annual tax burden around $5,815. Estimated Forward figures are model projections, not certified — see the 6-Year Projection section for the low/base/high bands.
Delinquent Taxes: $13,971.89 in unpaid taxes since 2024. These become a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
| Entity | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | Rate Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Travis County | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +122 |
| Lake Travis ISD | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -101 |
| Travis Central Health | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +39 |
| Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +11 |
Estimate only. The appraisal district sets value as of Jan 1 (not at sale price). A sale is strong evidence of market value and is typically reflected in the next Jan 1 valuation. Taxing units set rates annually. Modeled from government data — not a legal or tax opinion.
| Entity | 2021 Rate | 2022 Rate | 2023 Rate | 2024 Rate | 2025 Rate | YoY (2024→25) | Amt Due | Amt Paid | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.2301% | 1.2121% | 1.0741% | 1.0656% | 1.0397% | -0.0259% | $4,042.35 | $— | $4,042.35 |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3574% | 0.3182% | 0.3047% | 0.3444% | 0.3758% | +0.0314% | $1,461.29 | $— | $1,461.29 |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1118% | 0.0987% | 0.1007% | 0.1080% | 0.1180% | +0.0101% | $458.87 | $— | $458.87 |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.1000% | 0.0867% | 0.0831% | 0.0876% | 0.0904% | +0.0028% | $351.47 | $— | $351.47 |
| Combined Rate | 1.7993% | 1.7157% | 1.5625% | 1.6056% | 1.6240% | +0.0184% | $6,313.98 | $0.00 | $6,313.98 |
| Entity | Tax Rate | Amount Due | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| ILT Lake Travis ISD | 1.0397% | $4,042.35 | 64.0% |
| TCO Travis County | 0.3758% | $1,461.29 | 23.1% |
| THD Travis Central Health | 0.1180% | $458.87 | 7.3% |
| E06 Travis County ESD # 06 | 0.0904% | $351.47 | 5.6% |
| Total | 1.6240% | $6,313.98 | 100.0% |
| 2026 Preliminary Preliminary | 2025 Certified Certified | Change 2025→2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value | $249,180 | $523,277 | -52.4% |
| Assessed Value | $249,180 | $388,800 | -35.9% |
| Land Value | $249,180 | $523,277 | -52.4% |
| Improvement Value | — | — | — |
| Taxable Value | $249,180 | $388,800 | -35.9% |
| Total Tax 2026 = estimate |
~$4,047
Estimated
|
$6,314 | ⓘ |
| Year | Market Value | Land Value | Imprv Value | Value Limitation Adj (−) | Net Appraised (Assessed) | Taxable Value | Total Tax | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Pre | $249,180 | $249,180 | — | — | $249,180 | $249,180 | Not yet — post-cert | Preliminary |
| 2025 | $523,277 | $523,277 | — | −$134,477 | $388,800 | $388,800 | $6,314 | Verified |
| 2024 | $472,500 | $472,500 | — | −$148,500 | $324,000 | $324,000 | $5,202 | Verified |
| 2023 | $270,000 | $270,000 | — | — | $270,000 | $270,000 | $4,219 | Verified |
| 2022 | $217,350 | $217,350 | — | — | $217,350 | $217,350 | $3,729 | Verified |
| 2021 | $150,000 | $150,000 | — | — | $150,000 | $150,000 | $2,699 | Verified |
| Year | MktVal YoY | Assessed YoY | Asmt Ratio | Eff. Tax Rate | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -52.4% | -35.9% | ~100% | Not available | Partial |
| 2025 | +10.7% | +20.0% | 74.3% | 1.2100% | Verified |
| 2024 | +75.0% | +20.0% | 68.6% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2023 | +24.2% | +24.2% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2022 | +44.9% | +44.9% | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| 2021 | base year | — | ~100% | No billing data | Verified |
| Cumulative market value growth (earliest valid year → 2025): +248.9% | |||||
| 12 Month | Hist. Avg | Forecast Avg | Peak | When | Trough | When | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Value Growth | -52.4% | +20.5% | +10.7% | +75.0% | 2024 | -52.4% | 2026 |
| Assessment Ratio | 100.0% | 90.5% | — | 100.0% | 2021 | 68.6% | 2024 |
| Effective Tax Rate (2025) | 1.2100% | 1.2100% | — | 1.2100% | 2025 | 1.2100% | 2025 |
| Tax Amount | $6,314 | $4,433 | ~$5,065 | $6,314 | 2025 | $2,699 | 2021 |
This parcel has unpaid taxes on record. Delinquent taxes are a lien on the property and transfer to the buyer at closing unless negotiated otherwise.
| Year | ~Mkt Value | ~Assessed | ~Rate | ~Ann. Tax | Value Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | ~$275,802 | ~$275,802 | ~1.5801% | ~$4,358 | +10.7% |
| 2028 | ~$305,268 | ~$305,268 | ~1.5363% | ~$4,690 | +22.5% |
| 2029 | ~$337,883 | ~$337,883 | ~1.4925% | ~$5,043 | +35.6% |
| 2030 | ~$373,982 | ~$373,982 | ~1.4487% | ~$5,418 | +50.1% |
| 2031 | ~$413,938 | ~$413,938 | ~1.4048% | ~$5,815 | +66.1% |
| 2027 | ~$270,818 | ~$270,818 | ~1.6240% | ~$4,398 | +8.7% |
| 2028 | ~$294,336 | ~$294,336 | ~1.6240% | ~$4,780 | +18.1% |
| 2029 | ~$319,896 | ~$319,896 | ~1.6240% | ~$5,195 | +28.4% |
| 2030 | ~$347,675 | ~$347,675 | ~1.6240% | ~$5,646 | +39.5% |
| 2031 | ~$377,867 | ~$377,867 | ~1.6240% | ~$6,136 | +51.6% |
| 2027 | ~$280,786 | ~$280,786 | ~1.5582% | ~$4,375 | +12.7% |
| 2028 | ~$316,400 | ~$316,400 | ~1.4925% | ~$4,722 | +27.0% |
| 2029 | ~$356,532 | ~$356,532 | ~1.4267% | ~$5,087 | +43.1% |
| 2030 | ~$401,754 | ~$401,754 | ~1.3610% | ~$5,468 | +61.2% |
| 2031 | ~$452,712 | ~$452,712 | ~1.2953% | ~$5,864 | +81.7% |
In 2025, this property's market value of $523,277 places it in the top 25% for Land/Vacant properties in Travis County (35611 comparable) — 6× the county median of $84,423. Land/Vacant here is the broad TCAD category — every land/vacant property countywide, any size or use — not a use-code-specific peer group. Use the Use Code filter above to narrow to this property's actual type.
| Year | This Property | Bottom 25% | Median | Top 25% | Position | Group YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $523,277 | $24,862 | $84,423 | $362,804 | ↑ Top 25% | +2.1% |
| 2024 | $472,500 | $23,000 | $66,000 | $328,966 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2023 | $270,000 | $24,692 | $71,500 | $270,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +0.0% |
| 2022 | $217,350 | $15,000 | $55,000 | $180,000 | ↑ Top 25% | +100.0% |
| 2021 | $150,000 | $8,000 | $22,000 | $81,900 | ↑ Top 25% | base yr |
| Source | What it provides | Coverage for this parcel | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCAD Certified Appraisal Roll ↗ | Market, assessed, and taxable value; land/improvement split; exemptions | 2025 | Certified |
| Texas Comptroller Annual Jurisdiction Roll (AJR) | Prior-year market and taxable value | 2021–2024 | Verified |
| TCAD Preliminary Export ↗ | First-look 2026 appraisal value, subject to change at certification | 2026 (exported June 9, 2026; certifies July 25, 2026) | Preliminary |
| Travis County Rates History ↗ | Adopted tax rate for each of this parcel's taxing entities | 1990–2025 | Verified |
| TaxCurOpenData | Current-year (2025) tax billing, by taxing entity | 2025 | Verified |
| PIR bulk billing export | Prior-year tax billing, Travis County Tax Office | 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 | Verified |
| TaxDelqOpenData ↗ | Delinquent-account status and balance due | As of June 20, 2026 — balance grows monthly (Tax Code §33.01) | Verified |
| Satellite imagery (Esri World Imagery) | Aerial view of the parcel | Located by geocoding this parcel's address — may not resolve for every address | — |